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Author Topic: Predicted Results for 2010 Governor Races  (Read 14678 times)
Senator Sbane
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« Reply #50 on: January 06, 2010, 02:05:41 am »
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Quote from: PiT (The Physicist) on November 29, 2009, 06:53:55 pm
Quote from: SoIA NiK on November 29, 2009, 04:17:59 pm
I hope we nominate Campbell, Whitman is weak and has many faults.

     Nominating Campbell would be very good. Nominating Poizner would be good too. Nominating Whitman would be disastrous.

Yeah, basically. If Republicans don't want to win they will nominate Whitman, which I predict is exactly what will happen.
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prestontakata
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« Reply #51 on: February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm »
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Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #52 on: February 15, 2010, 06:04:43 pm »
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Quote from: prestontakata on February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm
Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.
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« Reply #53 on: February 15, 2010, 06:06:54 pm »
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Here's one I'm willing to make right now:

Andrew Cuomo: 67.98%
GOP Sacrificial Lamb:29.64%
Other:2.38%
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prestontakata
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« Reply #54 on: February 16, 2010, 08:23:51 am »
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Quote from: Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas on February 15, 2010, 06:04:43 pm
Quote from: prestontakata on February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm
Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc. he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.
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prestontakata
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« Reply #55 on: February 16, 2010, 08:24:57 am »
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Quote from: prestontakata on February 16, 2010, 08:23:51 am
Quote from: Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas on February 15, 2010, 06:04:43 pm
Quote from: prestontakata on February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm
Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.
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Senator Kalwejt
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« Reply #56 on: March 14, 2010, 09:11:34 pm »
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Quote from: prestontakata on February 16, 2010, 08:24:57 am
Quote from: prestontakata on February 16, 2010, 08:23:51 am
Quote from: Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas on February 15, 2010, 06:04:43 pm
Quote from: prestontakata on February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm
Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.

It would be wonderful to see a Black Democrat as Governor of Alabama Smiley
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ajc0918
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« Reply #57 on: March 14, 2010, 10:43:57 pm »
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Quote from: prestontakata on February 16, 2010, 08:24:57 am
Quote from: prestontakata on February 16, 2010, 08:23:51 am
Quote from: Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas on February 15, 2010, 06:04:43 pm
Quote from: prestontakata on February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm
Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.

I believe he was only leading in one poll, and it was within the margin...
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N.i.K.
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« Reply #58 on: March 14, 2010, 10:55:33 pm »
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Michigan: GOP Wins.
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Bo
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« Reply #59 on: March 18, 2010, 12:13:30 am »
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PA: GOP wins by less than 9.86%.
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #60 on: March 18, 2010, 02:20:53 pm »
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I think that if Ron Sparks wins D's nomination, he wins the General Election. If the nominee is Davis, the race is a toss up.
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My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13
Holmes
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« Reply #61 on: March 29, 2010, 08:52:10 pm »
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That's right, going against the grain here. Predicting Texas as a Dem pickup.
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