Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 27, 2015, 07:30:05 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  Predicted Results for 2010 Governor Races
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3] Print
Author Topic: Predicted Results for 2010 Governor Races  (Read 19336 times)
Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13773


View Profile
« Reply #50 on: January 06, 2010, 02:05:41 am »
Ignore

I hope we nominate Campbell, Whitman is weak and has many faults.

     Nominating Campbell would be very good. Nominating Poizner would be good too. Nominating Whitman would be disastrous.

Yeah, basically. If Republicans don't want to win they will nominate Whitman, which I predict is exactly what will happen.
Logged
prestontakata
Rookie
*
Posts: 23
United States


View Profile
« Reply #51 on: February 15, 2010, 05:50:42 pm »
Ignore

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31623
Colombia


View Profile WWW
« Reply #52 on: February 15, 2010, 06:04:43 pm »
Ignore

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.
Logged


The Prime Minister of New Zealand:

17:40   oakvale   the people are bad and shouldn't be allowed vote whenever possible
17:40   oakvale   The average voter wants to end austerity, bring back hanging and put all immigrants in death
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14180
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #53 on: February 15, 2010, 06:06:54 pm »
Ignore

Here's one I'm willing to make right now:

Andrew Cuomo: 67.98%
GOP Sacrificial Lamb:29.64%
Other:2.38%
Logged

prestontakata
Rookie
*
Posts: 23
United States


View Profile
« Reply #54 on: February 16, 2010, 08:23:51 am »
Ignore

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc. he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.
Logged
prestontakata
Rookie
*
Posts: 23
United States


View Profile
« Reply #55 on: February 16, 2010, 08:24:57 am »
Ignore

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.
Logged
At-large Senator Kalwejt
Kalwejt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39917


View Profile
« Reply #56 on: March 14, 2010, 09:11:34 pm »
Ignore

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.

It would be wonderful to see a Black Democrat as Governor of Alabama Smiley
Logged

Good books tell the truth, even when they're about things that never have been and never will be. They're truthful in a different way

Stanisław Lem
ajc0918
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1379
United States


View Profile
« Reply #57 on: March 14, 2010, 10:43:57 pm »
Ignore

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.

I believe he was only leading in one poll, and it was within the margin...
Logged

Psychic Octopus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9100
United States


View Profile
« Reply #58 on: March 14, 2010, 10:55:33 pm »
Ignore

Michigan: GOP Wins.
Logged

Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14180
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #59 on: March 18, 2010, 12:13:30 am »
Ignore

PA: GOP wins by less than 9.86%.
Logged

Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6626
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #60 on: March 18, 2010, 02:20:53 pm »
Ignore

I think that if Ron Sparks wins D's nomination, he wins the General Election. If the nominee is Davis, the race is a toss up.
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7246
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #61 on: March 29, 2010, 08:52:10 pm »
Ignore

That's right, going against the grain here. Predicting Texas as a Dem pickup.
Logged

Pages: 1 2 [3] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines