Predicted Results for 2010 Governor Races

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA, WY, and AZ I would have to agree will go Republican.  NY, Cuomo will run and Paterson will step aside as far as Freudenthal, he won't run, it too far fetched for him to challenge term limits.  As far as Ma and MD those are going to be razor thin margins.

So, I disagree on GA, WY and AZ, and NY.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Andrew Cuomo has a Kennedy clan connection, Kerry Kennedy Cuomo, I think that boast well for him and his chances as well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think CA and MI will be a test to the Dems like NJ.  Doesn't always vote the same in Presidential elections like it does in midterm elections.  NJ, CA, and Mi will be taken like NJ and CO will be taken like VA.  Dems best case scenario is an even split in the governorships, but it will be a narrow republican victory or an even split.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not to say that the GOP isn't favored to win in MI or PA or WI but those states are must win states critical to electoral victory in 2012.  We must hold those states if we have any chance in OH or CO or NV or even FL in 2012.  Back in the past, those states changed parties when the GOP were winning federal races back in the 90's.  Those aren't GOP trending states and the Dems will have a playing field in WI, PA, and MI in 2010.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As we saw in the 2006 campaign cycle, the GOp was ahead in those states at this point during the campaign.  I am rooting for Knox in PA, he would have the best chance of beating Corbett.

As far as AZ goes, if the polling persist like it is, she won't run in the primary.  AZ is like MO, it likes its checks and balances but McCain can help anyone but Brewer win a state wide race.