Quinnipiac: Christie by 9
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  Quinnipiac: Christie by 9
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Christie by 9  (Read 1437 times)
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« on: August 11, 2009, 08:00:03 AM »

                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                    Aug 11  Jul 14  Jun 10
                    2009    2009    2009



Corzine              42     41      40
Christie             51     53      50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)      1      1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)     -      -       -
DK/NA                6      6       9


It's 46–40–7% if you include Daggett in the mix.
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xavier110
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2009, 02:37:21 PM »

It's going to close up a bit as we approach election day. A good portion of the undecided voters are minorities who will end up voting for Corzine.

Christie will probably win but only by a few points, esp. if there is a third-party candidate.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2009, 08:37:53 PM »

It would seem that the three-way numbers are more relevant, seeing as how Daggett is on the ballot, has some money, and will be in the debates.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2009, 09:08:37 AM »

Sometime talk to me about interesting when Christie drops below 50%.  It was also probable that the few undecideds broke toward Corzine, or that he sure up some Democratic support.  But Christie fails to dip below 50% and Corzine was trailing heavily in his own internal
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Rowan
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2009, 09:15:12 AM »

It would seem that the three-way numbers are more relevant, seeing as how Daggett is on the ballot, has some money, and will be in the debates.

Third-party candidates traditionally overpoll when you ask about them specifically in a question. The much better way would be for the person being polled to volunteer that they are voting third party.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2009, 10:19:44 AM »

Closing finally? Hmm.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2009, 02:33:28 PM »

PS: All movement in this poll, if you check the internals, was amongst the Democratic party.  Corzine has solidified that "base" but made absolutely no progress (literally—the numbers are almost exactly the same) with Republicans or independents.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2009, 01:31:02 PM »

PS: All movement in this poll, if you check the internals, was amongst the Democratic party.  Corzine has solidified that "base" but made absolutely no progress (literally—the numbers are almost exactly the same) with Republicans or independents.

I would consider coalescing the Democratic vote in NJ a form of progress.
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