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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
(Moderator:
Joe Republic
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Maine's Question 1
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Topic: Maine's Question 1 (Read 71805 times)
Badger
badger
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 8531
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #675 on:
November 05, 2009, 07:37:02 pm »
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 01:45:06 pm
You'd be lucky if you were half the man JS is, jmfcst.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
Posts: 27978
Political Matrix
E: 2.84, S: 0.00
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #676 on:
November 07, 2009, 12:21:59 pm »
SUBSTANTIVE COMMENTARY
I really don't know what all you homos are so saddened about here.
First off, looking at your goals, your interests, and the fact you post pictures of yourself on this site looking for other attention whores to "admire" you, most of you should probably take what you can get, whether it's male, female, animal or confused and forget about marriage.
Second, for those of you who do get some tail, the dates you pick up at a bar rarely, if ever, make good marriage material. I can assure you it works exactly the same for us normals too.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 6521
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #677 on:
November 07, 2009, 12:59:14 pm »
lol Spade. Thanks for your wise insight.
Logged
LINCOLN REPUBLICAN
Winfield
YaBB God
Posts: 9838
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #678 on:
November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm »
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
Logged
Umengus
YaBB God
Posts: 1936
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #679 on:
November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am »
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Logged
Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm »
Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm
against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...
but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."
Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".
"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 6521
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #680 on:
November 11, 2009, 09:41:32 am »
Nah, it's pretty popular in liberal territory. Have you seen the town results map? Down in Cumberland, some parts of York and on the midcoast, No won by large margins, but up in the rural and catholic part of the state, they got blown out of the water.
Well, if you consider cities like Lewiston and Augusta to be liberal, then yeah, maybe it's not popular in liberal territory, but...
And don't make it sound like it was a large margin.
A few years ago, this sort of referendum might not even have broken 40% in the state, especially on an off-off year.
Logged
Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30153
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #681 on:
November 11, 2009, 09:52:20 am »
Quote from: Holmes on November 11, 2009, 09:41:32 am
Nah, it's pretty popular in liberal territory. Have you seen the town results map? Down in Cumberland, some parts of York and on the midcoast, No won by large margins, but up in the rural and catholic part of the state, they got blown out of the water.
Well, if you consider cities like Lewiston and Augusta to be liberal, then yeah, maybe it's not popular in liberal territory, but...
And don't make it sound like it was a large margin.
A few years ago, this sort of referendum might not even have broken 40% in the state, especially on an off-off year.
U r stupid librul biash. Maine is a hippie librul tree-huggin state all around.
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
Posts: 12180
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #682 on:
November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm »
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
Logged
Alexander Hamilton
YaBB God
Posts: 9395
Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: -5.13
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #683 on:
November 11, 2009, 02:08:10 pm »
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
I hate to say this, but the comparison is meaningless.
Logged
people suck
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
Posts: 12180
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #684 on:
November 11, 2009, 04:13:39 pm »
Quote from: Alexander Hamilton on November 11, 2009, 02:08:10 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
I hate to say this, but the comparison is meaningless.
And why would that be?
Logged
Dan the Roman
liberalrepublican
YaBB God
Posts: 1792
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #685 on:
November 11, 2009, 08:25:28 pm »
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 04:13:39 pm
Quote from: Alexander Hamilton on November 11, 2009, 02:08:10 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
I hate to say this, but the comparison is meaningless.
And why would that be?
Probably because one was a law and one an amendment. And I would agree with that argument if it wasn't for the CA Supreme Court transforming the situation. Nevertheless, one was a vote on a hypothetical, the other on a concrete concept.
Logged
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31289
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #686 on:
November 11, 2009, 08:36:01 pm »
Why would it being a vote on a hypothetical make it a poor comparison? If anything, that would make the comparison stronger because the differences would only serve to make the shift even greater.
Logged
n/c
Dan the Roman
liberalrepublican
YaBB God
Posts: 1792
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #687 on:
November 11, 2009, 08:51:14 pm »
Quote from: Alcon on November 11, 2009, 08:36:01 pm
Why would it being a vote on a hypothetical make it a poor comparison? If anything, that would make the comparison stronger because the differences would only serve to make the shift even greater.
Because voting to ban Gay Marriage in 2000 was a free vote for people. It was something that was never going to happen, and no one was hurt by it in the view of those voting yes. Even the Gay community struggled to come up with a reason why it was bad.
Prop 8 was entirely different. You had people who were already getting married whose status would be thrown into doubt. You had people who could be married who you would be telling that they should not be able to if you voted Yes. Voting Yes was an entirely different matter.
That said, I have my own view on Prop 8, and they mainly relate to the fact that the Gay community has to separate social equality from legal equality. One is guaranteed, the other earned, and even in the best of cases never total. Gay rights groups have to realize that if they are going to use these laws as fronts to force their views on others, then people will vote on that basis, rather than on the basis of legal rights. They did not learn that lesson in California, nor evidently are they learning the correct lesson from Maine.
Logged
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
Posts: 12180
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #688 on:
November 11, 2009, 09:36:31 pm »
Quote from: Dan the Roman on November 11, 2009, 08:25:28 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 04:13:39 pm
Quote from: Alexander Hamilton on November 11, 2009, 02:08:10 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
I hate to say this, but the comparison is meaningless.
And why would that be?
Probably because one was a law and one an amendment. And I would agree with that argument if it wasn't for the CA Supreme Court transforming the situation. Nevertheless, one was a vote on a hypothetical, the other on a concrete concept.
And you think people saw a difference? LOL
Logged
Dan the Roman
liberalrepublican
YaBB God
Posts: 1792
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #689 on:
November 12, 2009, 07:01:44 am »
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 09:36:31 pm
Quote from: Dan the Roman on November 11, 2009, 08:25:28 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 04:13:39 pm
Quote from: Alexander Hamilton on November 11, 2009, 02:08:10 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
I hate to say this, but the comparison is meaningless.
And why would that be?
Probably because one was a law and one an amendment. And I would agree with that argument if it wasn't for the CA Supreme Court transforming the situation. Nevertheless, one was a vote on a hypothetical, the other on a concrete concept.
And you think people saw a difference? LOL
Probably not if the CA Supreme Court had not bothered to point it out to them fairly clearly.
Logged
Alexander Hamilton
YaBB God
Posts: 9395
Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: -5.13
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #690 on:
November 12, 2009, 11:43:29 am »
Quote from: Dan the Roman on November 12, 2009, 07:01:44 am
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 09:36:31 pm
Quote from: Dan the Roman on November 11, 2009, 08:25:28 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 04:13:39 pm
Quote from: Alexander Hamilton on November 11, 2009, 02:08:10 pm
Quote from: sbane on November 11, 2009, 02:04:58 pm
Quote from: Umengus on November 11, 2009, 08:30:09 am
Quote from: Thomas E. Dewey on November 10, 2009, 11:17:01 pm
Quote from: Grumpy Gramps on November 05, 2009, 12:12:09 pm
Is anyone suprised by the result of the vote? (I dont feel like reading 44 pages of replies.)
I must say I was surprised, pleasantly surprised.
not surprised. Gay marriage is not popular, even in liberal territory. I'm curious to see if the liberal theory: "it's a question of time because young voters are more gay-friendly" will work. It's based on the fact that young people will not change their mind in future.
Have you ever heard of prop 22? It was a gay marriage ban passed in California in 2000. Guess how much it passed by? It passed by slightly more than a 22 point margin in hippie, tree huggin, librul California. In 2008 it passed by only a 5 point margin. Why will that trend not continue?
Here is a nice little comparison between the two votes. Have fun.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-2008election-prop8prop22,0,333635.htmlstory
I hate to say this, but the comparison is meaningless.
And why would that be?
Probably because one was a law and one an amendment. And I would agree with that argument if it wasn't for the CA Supreme Court transforming the situation. Nevertheless, one was a vote on a hypothetical, the other on a concrete concept.
And you think people saw a difference? LOL
Probably not if the CA Supreme Court had not bothered to point it out to them fairly clearly.
Or if it wasn't titled on the ballot "eliminate the right"...
For some reason, I think people much a much harder time "eliminating rights" than simply banning gay marriage outright.
Logged
people suck
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31289
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #691 on:
November 12, 2009, 01:29:24 pm »
And you think that completely eliminates a 20-point gap?
Logged
n/c
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
Posts: 12180
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #692 on:
November 12, 2009, 02:13:09 pm »
Quote from: Alcon on November 12, 2009, 01:29:24 pm
And you think that completely eliminates a 20-point gap?
Exactly. Even if it did have some impact at the margins, it was not much. Worst case scenario would have been a 8-10 point margin yes vote if the supreme court had not interfered. Which would still mean that in 8 years, the pro-gay marriage side had gained a 12-14 point margin advantage.
Logged
Badger
badger
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 8531
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #693 on:
November 12, 2009, 08:42:42 pm »
Quote from: Dan the Roman on November 11, 2009, 08:51:14 pm
Quote from: Alcon on November 11, 2009, 08:36:01 pm
Why would it being a vote on a hypothetical make it a poor comparison? If anything, that would make the comparison stronger because the differences would only serve to make the shift even greater.
Because voting to ban Gay Marriage in 2000 was a free vote for people. It was something that was never going to happen, and no one was hurt by it in the view of those voting yes. Even the Gay community struggled to come up with a reason why it was bad.
Prop 8 was entirely different. You had people who were already getting married whose status would be thrown into doubt. You had people who could be married who you would be telling that they should not be able to if you voted Yes. Voting Yes was an entirely different matter.
That said, I have my own view on Prop 8, and they mainly relate to the fact that the Gay community has to separate social equality from legal equality.
One is guaranteed, the other earned, and even in the best of cases never total. Gay rights groups have to realize that if they are going to use these laws as fronts to force their views on others, then people will vote on that basis, rather than on the basis of legal rights. They did not learn that lesson in California, nor evidently are they learning the correct lesson from Maine.
But legal equality strongly
affects
social equality. The same way immeidiately after desegregation was instituted by "federal overreaching" southern support for segregation plummeted in opinion polls. The legalization of interracial marriage didn't make it universally accepted of course, but went a long way towards removing the taboo and allowing people to rely on "well, it's the law" as a reflexive shelter.
Logged
Marston
Sr. Member
Posts: 320
Re: Maine's Question 1
«
Reply #694 on:
November 10, 2011, 01:57:07 am »
http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/c6bfec2a92b2424e945ad2c5f5892484/ME--Gay-Marriage-Maine/
Looks like we may be going to round-two on this next year if the marriage equality activists choose to do so. The article says they'll make they're decision in January.
Logged
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