Gray Davis beat the recall in counties forming a majority of California's population.
As for suburban counties, Marin county is hardcore Democratic.
Most of the greater Bay Area is hardcore Democratic, across urban, suburban, & rural areas alike. CA-11 is pretty much the only part that would ever be remotely close short of Susan Collins vs. Gene Taylor.
If no 3rd party candidates were allowed, and it was Tom Campbell / Dierdre Scozzafava vs Zell Miller / Fred Phelps, I think the former could win in even Berkeley.
