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Author Topic: French Regionals 2010  (Read 41402 times)
Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #325 on: March 14, 2010, 02:19:31 pm »
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Quote from: Umengus on March 14, 2010, 02:18:57 pm
besancenot and de sarnez, losers!!!!!!!!

not a news.
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PGSable
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« Reply #326 on: March 14, 2010, 02:20:17 pm »
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How accurate are the exit polls? Roumégas is at 9,5%. Can he make it over 10%?
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Umengus
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« Reply #327 on: March 14, 2010, 02:21:02 pm »
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IDF: FN could be at 12 % but it's a rumor...
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Hashemite
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« Reply #328 on: March 14, 2010, 02:21:24 pm »
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Quote from: PGSable on March 14, 2010, 02:20:17 pm
How accurate are the exit polls? Roumégas is at 9,5%. Can he make it over 10%?

He could, we'll see.
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Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Umengus
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« Reply #329 on: March 14, 2010, 02:21:32 pm »
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Quote from: PGSable on March 14, 2010, 02:20:17 pm
How accurate are the exit polls? Roumégas is at 9,5%. Can he make it over 10%?

yes of course
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
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« Reply #330 on: March 14, 2010, 02:22:02 pm »
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Quote from: PGSable on March 14, 2010, 02:20:17 pm
How accurate are the exit polls? Roumégas is at 9,5%. Can he make it over 10%?

Yes, it's to be watched. Frêche making great lord on France2, proposes alliances with Mandroux and Roumégas.
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14/01/2011: Tunisia
11/02/2011: Egypt
20/10/2011: Libya
??/??/2012: ??

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!
PGSable
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« Reply #331 on: March 14, 2010, 02:23:31 pm »
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If Roumégas does qualify, there will be a four-way race, which means that it would be theoretically possible that no single list would get a majority in the regional council… (Not that I see it as very likely, but it's a possibility.)
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #332 on: March 14, 2010, 02:23:43 pm »
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TV5 Monde has published an exit poll by party groupings

Extreme Left: 3.3%
Left: 50.5%
Centre: 4.0%
Right: 27.4%
Extreme Right: 13.0%

which by my calculations put the left on 53.8% and the right on 40.4%
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Umengus
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« Reply #333 on: March 14, 2010, 02:24:05 pm »
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Le Soir: Ségolène Royal (PS) en tête dans le Poitou-Charentes, selon des résultats partiels
Ségolène Royal (PS) est en tête du premier tour des élections régionales dans la région Poitou-Charentes avec 39,15% des voix, selon des résultats partiels du ministère de l'Intérieur portant sur 75,7% des bulletins dépouillés. (ap)
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Umengus
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« Reply #334 on: March 14, 2010, 02:26:06 pm »
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Le Soir: Michel Vauzelle (PS) en tête en région PACA, selon des résultats partiels
Michel Vauzelle (PS) est en tête du premier tour des élections régionales dans la région Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur avec 26,92% des voix, selon des résultats partiels du ministère de l'Intérieur portant sur 20,06% des bulletins dépouillés. (ap)
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Hashemite
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« Reply #335 on: March 14, 2010, 02:28:25 pm »
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Quote from: PGSable on March 14, 2010, 02:23:31 pm
If Roumégas does qualify, there will be a four-way race, which means that it would be theoretically possible that no single list would get a majority in the regional council… (Not that I see it as very likely, but it's a possibility.)

The 25%-of-seats bonus will give a majority rather easily, even in that case, imo.
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Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Umengus
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« Reply #336 on: March 14, 2010, 02:29:04 pm »
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Aquitaine:

ps: 36

UMP: 21

Lasalle: 11

EE: 9 (not sure)

FN 8
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Hashemite
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« Reply #337 on: March 14, 2010, 02:29:14 pm »
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Corse. D'après les premières estimations de l'AFP, la liste UMP arriverait en tête (21,2%) devant les nationalistes modérés (17,8%).

Go Simeoni!
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Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
PGSable
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« Reply #338 on: March 14, 2010, 02:30:07 pm »
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Quote from: Breizh on March 14, 2010, 02:28:25 pm
Quote from: PGSable on March 14, 2010, 02:23:31 pm
If Roumégas does qualify, there will be a four-way race, which means that it would be theoretically possible that no single list would get a majority in the regional council… (Not that I see it as very likely, but it's a possibility.)

The 25%-of-seats bonus will give a majority rather easily, even in that case, imo.

Definitely. Frêche needs one third of the vote to get a majority (one third of 75% plus the 25% bonus), and he likely will get over one third, even in a four-way race.
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Umengus
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« Reply #339 on: March 14, 2010, 02:30:15 pm »
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Selon les premières estimations, portant sur 70% des suffrages exprimés, le candidat UMP Jean-Luc Warsmann devancerait légèrement le président sortant divers gauche Jean-Paul Bachy avec 33% des suffrages contre 30%. le candidat du FN Bruno Subtil obtiendrait 14% des sufrages. En revanche Europe-Ecologie d'Eric Loiselet n'atteindrait pas les 10% requis pour se maintenir éventuellement au second tour.
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Umengus
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« Reply #340 on: March 14, 2010, 02:30:58 pm »
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Le Soir: Philippe Richert (UMP) en tête en région Alsace, selon des résultats partiels
Philippe Richert (UMP) est en tête du premier tour des élections régionales dimanche dans la région Alsace avec 33,54% des voix, selon des résultats partiels du ministère de l'Intérieur portant sur 45,07% des bulletins dépouillés.
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Hashemite
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E: -1.29, S: -7.30


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« Reply #341 on: March 14, 2010, 02:32:56 pm »
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I hope somebody will talk about Bretagne soon. Or Normandie. Or Corse. Or Lorraine. Or DOM-TOM.
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20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #342 on: March 14, 2010, 02:33:58 pm »
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Good speech of Aubry, inter-runs will be interesting, UMP trying to mobilize, PS lot of self confidence could encourage contempt toward EE, EE could fight.
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14/01/2011: Tunisia
11/02/2011: Egypt
20/10/2011: Libya
??/??/2012: ??

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!
Hashemite
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E: -1.29, S: -7.30


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« Reply #343 on: March 14, 2010, 02:34:33 pm »
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Reunion from RFO:

Selon les derniers résultats (encore non officiels), le président sortant de la Région Réunion, tête de liste d’Alliance, arrive en tête des votes dépouillés avec 31 % des voix.

Conformément aux sondages réalisés avant l’élection, l’infatigable président de la Région Réunion Paul Vergès, tête de liste d’Alliance, âgé de 85 ans, devance le député maire UMP du Tampon Didier Robert, de la liste La Réunion en confiance (26 % des voix) et Michel Vergoz, tête de liste de Pour une Réunion plus juste avec l’union des socialistes (12 %).

Suivent Jean-Paul Virapoullé (La Réunion nout fierté, 7 %), Nadia Ramassamy (Avenir Meilleur pour la population de la Réunion dans la France et l’Europe, 5,5 %) et André Thien-Ah-Koon (Mouvement Divers Droite, 6 %), qui franchissent la barre des 5%, ce qui leur permettra de fusionner avec une liste présente au deuxième tour et de voir leurs frais de campagne remboursés.

so..

PCR 31
UMP 26 (very good!)
PS 12
DVD 7
DVD 5
DVD 6
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Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Umengus
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« Reply #344 on: March 14, 2010, 02:36:17 pm »
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NPDC

PS: 29
UMP: 19,4
FN: 19,1
EE: 10
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #345 on: March 14, 2010, 02:36:49 pm »
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France 24 is publishing numbers and they seem akin to our local elections to be honest (all figures up to 5.00pm CET)

Turnout
Nationally: 39%
Island of Paris: 33%

Local Results
Corsica: UMP 21.2% ahead of Nationalists
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Umengus
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« Reply #346 on: March 14, 2010, 02:37:03 pm »
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Rhone alpes

UMP: 26 %
PS: 26 %
EE: 17 %
FN: 14 %
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Hashemite
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E: -1.29, S: -7.30


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« Reply #347 on: March 14, 2010, 02:38:28 pm »
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Pays-de-Loire for OpinionWay:

PS 34.5
UMP 32.3
EE 13.3
FN 7.4
FG 4.6
MODEM 4.6
Regionalist 1.7
LO 1.6
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Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #348 on: March 14, 2010, 02:38:35 pm »
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Let's note the fall of NPA, not an election for them but well, such results are never good.

Quote from: Harry Hayfield on March 14, 2010, 02:36:49 pm
France 24 is publishing numbers and they seem akin to our local elections to be honest (all figures up to 5.00pm CET)

Turnout
Nationally: 39%
Island of Paris: 33%

Interesting if so, and well it is Ile-de-France. Smiley
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14/01/2011: Tunisia
11/02/2011: Egypt
20/10/2011: Libya
??/??/2012: ??

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!
Hashemite
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Posts: 30173
Paraguay


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E: -1.29, S: -7.30


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« Reply #349 on: March 14, 2010, 02:39:48 pm »
Ignore
NPDC for OpinionWay

PS 29.3
UMP 19.4
FN 19.1
EE 10.6
FG 9.7
MODEM 3.6
CNI 3.1
NPA 3
LO 1.3
Agriculteurs 0.9
Logged


Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
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