Alain Marleix is a piece of crap (French redistricting thread)
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  Alain Marleix is a piece of crap (French redistricting thread)
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Author Topic: Alain Marleix is a piece of crap (French redistricting thread)  (Read 10959 times)
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #50 on: October 16, 2009, 06:52:58 PM »

I don't undertand. There will be 11 members who aren't resident in France?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #51 on: October 16, 2009, 07:08:23 PM »

I don't undertand. There will be 11 members who aren't resident in France?

I'm not sure about who can stand, but that's presumably the case.

You will probably see many AFE (Assembly of French Citizens Abroad, a joke legislative body for people like me elected with like 0.5% turnout) MPs standing as well as a lot of old French ladies abroad who happened to be bored. Of course, it seems as if Dominique Paillé (UMP), a former metro MP who failed to become Senator in 2008, will stand, as could Thierry Mariani (UMP), a current metro MP.

It will be interesting for sure, and I'm eager to find out which crooks and tools will want my vote in the 1st constituency.
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« Reply #52 on: November 08, 2009, 12:02:14 PM »

I was finally able to complete a map of the new constituencies



Filled in with notional results found here: http://geoelections.free.fr/France/decoupage/simul_marleix.htm
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #53 on: November 08, 2009, 12:05:51 PM »

Urgh. The gerrymandering of Lille is so blatant.

And then I look at other areas as well. Disgusting.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #54 on: November 08, 2009, 12:53:25 PM »

Urgh. The gerrymandering of Lille is so blatant.

And then I look at other areas as well. Disgusting.

The best thing to show the gerrymander is the following map:



It's a map of an exact tie in votes between left and right, as figured out by Geoelections. They add up to 576 since he wasn't able to extrapolate notionals for French Polynesia's 3rd.

Left and Right tied at 47.93% (the data is the 'decisive round', round where the MP was elected) gives the right 289 seats and the left 281. There are 3 others (2 Mayotte, 1 MIM) and 3 centrists (2 MoDem and Lagarde - so 2 centre and 290 right). Under 1986 borders, a tie would have been left 300, right 271, centre 4 (2 MoDem, Benoit and Lagarde - so 273 right), others 2 (1 MIM, 1 Mayotte).

A note that under these new boundaries, Boisseau (UMP) would have defeated Benoit (UDF) in Ille-et-Vilaine's 6th.

Also, the notional results give the right 354 seats, the left 216, centre 3 and others 3. The 1986 boundaries gave us right 344, left 227, centre 4, others 2. These numbers all prove that Alain Marleix is a liar when he claims that the left does not need 51% for a majority.
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