What does a Gary Johnson win map look like?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  What does a Gary Johnson win map look like?
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Author Topic: What does a Gary Johnson win map look like?  (Read 1087 times)
JoeSchmoe
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« on: August 31, 2021, 04:24:47 PM »

If Gary Johnson didn't make such an ass of himself during the 2016 campaign and actually won, what would his election win map look like and would he be re-elected president? Why or why not?
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2021, 01:09:49 AM »

2016

Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA)
Fmr. Governor Gary Johnson (R-NM) / Governor John Kasich (R-OH) ✔

2020

President Gary Johnson (R-NM) / Vice President John Kasich (R-OH)
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) / Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) ✔
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Vice President Christian Man
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2021, 05:58:43 PM »
« Edited: September 01, 2021, 06:03:10 PM by Soc. Dem Paleocon »

Was able to get it to a draw, which with Reps. controlling both chambers, would guarantee a G. Johnson win. I don't think Johnson would've won if he got the nomination, I think it would've looked something like 317-221 for Clinton, but I had to adjust some of the states.



Governor Gary Johnson/Secretary Tom Ridge: 269 E.V.--49.2%
Secretary Hillary Clinton/Senator Tim Kaine: 269 E.V.--49.4%
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Telesquare
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« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2021, 07:00:50 PM »

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Canis
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« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2021, 07:07:11 PM »

A win for Gary Johnson as a third-party candidate would have been him getting 5% of the popular vote to secure federal funding for the Libertarians. Also winning a state would have been a massive win for him the only state he could have conceivably won was his home state of NM but seeing how he only got 9% their IRL and 15% as a candidate for Senate I don't think he realistically could have done it.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2021, 05:19:38 PM »



Former Governor Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Former Governor Bill Weld (L-MA): 35.63%, 284 EVs
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN): 29.76%, 175 EVs
Former Secretary Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA): 31.85%, 79 EVs
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Chips
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« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2021, 10:48:52 AM »

If everything went right for Gary (as a Republican):



A close election where Gary comes out on top:

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Pres Mike
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2021, 03:44:42 PM »

1. He wins Utah because of a four way race. He has to do MUCH better nationally. Election gets thrown to the House

2. Trump gets caught using the n word betweent November and the House election in Jan

3. Republicans, afraid of voting for Trump since the public has turned aganist him, make a deal with Democrats to vote for Johnson.
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