German Election Prediction Contest

[Hans-im-Glück]

I remember that we did one of these last time. Anyway.

1. Predict the %'s for Right (CDU, FDP) and Left (SPD, G, DL).

CDU/CSU: 33.5%
SPD: 26.0%
FDP: 13.8%
Left: 10.9%
Greens: 10.8%
Others: 5.0%

Turnout: 74.7%

Red-Red-Green: 47.7%
Black-Yellow: 47.3%

You must be logged in to read this quote.

1 - CDU/CSU
2 - SPD
3 - FDP
4 - Left
5 - Greens

You must be logged in to read this quote.

SPD wins Hamburg, Bremen, Berlin and Brandenburg (close to the left)

The Left wins Sachsen-Anhalt and Thüringen. (in both states close between the Left and the CDU, in S.-A. maybe nearly a 3 way-tie)

CSU wins in Bavaria.

CDU wins everywhere else.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

CDU/CSU: Best = Bavaria, Worst = Berlin
SPD: Best = Bremen, Worst = Saxony
FDP: Best = Banden-Württemberg, Worst = Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Left: Best = Brandenburg, Worst = Bavaria
Greens: Best = Berlin, Worst = Sachsen-Anhalt

To predict the constituencies is only speculation, but there will be no big difference to 2005