German Election Prediction Contest (user search)

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German Election Prediction Contest (search mode)

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Topic: German Election Prediction Contest (Read 4629 times)

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Hashemite
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Atlas Superstar

Posts: 32,409

Re: German Election Prediction Contest

« on: September 25, 2009, 07:44:45 PM »

I tried this for Hesse earlier this year (wow, that seems like a long time ago that election)...

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I might give this a try.

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Hash
Hashemite
Moderator
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 32,409

	Re: German Election Prediction Contest « Reply #1 on: September 26, 2009, 06:23:07 PM »
	« Edited: September 27, 2009, 07:58:44 AM by Minister of Free Time Hashemite »

I'll probably fail again, but not as badly as my prediction of a UMP win in Gironde-11.

1. Predict the %'s for Right (CDU, FDP) and Left (SPD, G, DL).

CDU/CSU: 31%
SPD: 26%
FDP: 15%
Left: 12%
Greens: 10%
Others: 6%

Right 46% vs Left 48%

2. Predict the order of the five main parties (list vote).

CDU
SPD
FDP
Left
Greens
CSU
Pirates
NPD

3. Predict the leading party in each state.

SPD: Hamburg, Berlin, Bremen, Brandenburg
Left: Saxony-Anhalt and Thuringia
CSU: Bayern!
CDU: The rest

4. Predict the best and worst states for each of the five main parties (list vote).

SPD, best: Bremen worst: Saxony
CDU/CSU, best: Bayern! worst: Berlin
FDP best: Baden-Württemberg worst: Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Greens best: Berlin, worst: Saxony-Anhalt
Left best: Brandenburg worst: Bayern!

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