VA: SUSA: Deeds is a joke candidate

[Rowan]

McDonnell 59%
Deeds 40%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=83ab7b50-6f0f-4257-9c76-c8d22c795ab6&c=77

[Umengus]

and the sample is Gop +1

Game over.

[You kip if you want to...]

All of the Democratic candidates were joke candidates.

[Jayhawker]

19 points isn't that much. Deeds can still win, and he will!!!

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

McDonnell is getting 31% of the black vote according to this poll.

[Beet]

McDonnell is winning 31% of blacks, he is also crushing Deeds among those making less than $50k a year... that's the Dems' base. I'm having a hard time believing it will be that big of a win based on this poll, even though I did predict it a few weeks ago.

[Rowan]

The blacks from the ghetto aren't even going to bother showing up, therefore making the blacks that do show up more conservative.

[Dan the Roman]

Lol at SurveyUSA in regards to the black vote. If true, this would be better than Michael Steele did by 9 points. Also LOL at Deeds in regards to the fact that if he were winning 85% of it he would still be losing by 15 points.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

The blacks from the ghetto aren't even going to bother showing up, therefore making the blacks that do show up more conservative.

Of all the idiocy that has spewed forth from you, this ranks among the stupidest.

[Alexander Hamilton]

The blacks from the ghetto aren't even going to bother showing up, therefore making the blacks that do show up more conservative.

Of all the idiocy that has spewed forth from you, this ranks among the stupidest.

You clearly haven't seen many of his posts.

[Ronnie]

Yeah, I have trouble believing this poll.  If McDonnell wins, he'll probably win by 7-8 points tops.

[Sam Spade]

It ain't gonna be 19, but unless something changes soon, I'd have to say that double-digits is certainly a reasonable possibility.  Likely depends on turnout.

[Holmes]

This kind of reminds me of Jim Gilmore and an interview I remember watching, where he said he just knew he could surpass a 20 point deficit in the end.

[Senator Ben]

This poll is such bullshit, I don't even know where to begin.

[Stampever]

I can see McDonnell pulling out 10%, but not 19%.

[East Coast Republican]

This poll is such bullshit, I don't even know where to begin.

Complain all you want 9th grader.  McDonnell has this wrapped up and is probably going to win by more than 10% BUT let's be conservative and say more than 8%.

Hmm that's a funny word.  Conservative.  Looks like Virginia just got a whole lot more Conservative

[Sam Spade]

I can see McDonnell pulling out 10%, but not 19%.

You shouldn't be modest.  McDonnell could pull out 15% given the right conditions and turnout.  Doesn't mean he will, of course.

[Prez Duke]

When is Deeds going to make his move, Ben? Isn't the election in 2 weeks or so? If he does win, this one may be bigger than Truman defeating Dewey.

[Tender Branson]

Hmmmm. SUSA is otherwise a really good pollster, but Deeds getting only 2/3 of Blacks is weird.

Let`s try another breakdown:

White (76%): 36-64
Black (17%): 85-15
Others (7%): 50-50

Deeds = 45%

[Communists For McCain]

When is Deeds going to make his move, Ben? Isn't the election in 2 weeks or so? If he does win, this one may be bigger than Truman defeating Dewey.

True that.

[Rowan]

Isn't 17% black high?

[Tender Branson]

Isn't 17% black high?

There are probably no Exit Polls, so we won`t know it anyway.

[Badger]

Hmmmm. SUSA is otherwise a really good pollster, but Deeds getting only 2/3 of Blacks is weird.

Let`s try another breakdown:

White (76%): 36-64
Black (17%): 85-15
Others (7%): 50-50

Deeds = 45%

For that matter, McDonnell getting even 15% of the black vote, and splitting the "other" vote (including NoVa's rapidly growing and overwhelmingly Democratic hispanic vote) seems generous. That said, Deeds is indeed in danger of possibly losing by over 10.

[© Tweed the Younger]

*generic comment about subsample MoE*

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Virginia is the real joke here.