Marketing Research Institute poll says Bush +15 in Louisiana

[DanimalBr]

This is an older poll taken from Oct. 4-7.  I don't know if it's already been posted here or not, although I don't recall seeing it up here.  And not that it matters as Louisiana will definenlty go to Bush.  But here it is for what it's worth.

Bush:  51
Kerry:  36

http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20041015/APP/410151011&cachetime=3&template=dateline

[King]

Looks about right...

[Sam Spade]

Key thing here is that they say Vitter is up to 47% in LA.

I'd give him perhaps a 25-30% chance now to break 50% and stay away from the runoff.

Bush will win LA by about 12%, imo.  Kind of makes you wonder why Kerry was running ads there earlier.

[King]

Key thing here is that they say Vitter is up to 47% in LA.

I'd give him perhaps a 25-30% chance now to break 50% and stay away from the runoff.

Bush will win LA by about 12%, imo.  Kind of makes you wonder why Kerry was running ads there earlier.

Kerry held rallies in Texas during May...

[Alcon]

Key thing here is that they say Vitter is up to 47% in LA.

I'd give him perhaps a 25-30% chance now to break 50% and stay away from the runoff.

Bush will win LA by about 12%, imo.  Kind of makes you wonder why Kerry was running ads there earlier.

If you look at the internals, they aren't all that amazing for Vitter. Also, Kerry bought ads there after poll results with Bush up 6 in May, I'd venture.