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Author Topic: VA: Survey USA: McDonnell Leads by 18%  (Read 8940 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« on: November 02, 2009, 01:29:51 pm »
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New Poll: Virginia Governor by Survey USA on 2009-11-01

Summary: D: 40%, R: 58%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

McDonnell (R) 58%

Deeds (D) 40%

Undecided 2%
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auburntiger
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2009, 07:14:12 pm »
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Good God! I almost feel sorry for Deeds.
Even I'm not expecting it to be this bad for him, but hey I'm not complaining Smiley
« Last Edit: November 02, 2009, 07:16:05 pm by auburntiger »Logged

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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2009, 10:11:12 pm »
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Good God! I almost feel sorry for Deeds.
Even I'm not expecting it to be this bad for him, but hey I'm not complaining Smiley

Yeah, I think this poll is a little off, but it'll still be a solid defeat.
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Duke
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2009, 10:42:03 pm »
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I would be surprised to see this big a defeat unless the turnout in NOVA was severely depressed. I think a 55-44 trouncing is probably what we will see, but if it's high turnout and the Democrats do poorly, they may in trouble there in 2012.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2009, 11:45:09 pm »
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I would be surprised to see this big a defeat unless the turnout in NOVA was severely depressed. I think a 55-44 trouncing is probably what we will see, but if it's high turnout and the Democrats do poorly, they may in trouble there in 2012.

I guess we'll see how Democratic NoVA really is. I don't think it's as Dem as people think. I agree that Fairfax has swung abysmally leftwards at full throttle, but I think Loudoun and Prince William will vote McDonnell as well as Henrico and Abermarle (just four that come to mind).
If McDonnell wins by this margin, there is no mathematical way he can lose these Obama counties.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2009, 06:47:18 am »
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I would be surprised to see this big a defeat unless the turnout in NOVA was severely depressed. I think a 55-44 trouncing is probably what we will see, but if it's high turnout and the Democrats do poorly, they may in trouble there in 2012.

I guess we'll see how Democratic NoVA really is. I don't think it's as Dem as people think. I agree that Fairfax has swung abysmally leftwards at full throttle, but I think Loudoun and Prince William will vote McDonnell as well as Henrico and Abermarle (just four that come to mind).
If McDonnell wins by this margin, there is no mathematical way he can lose these Obama counties.

McDonnell won all those except for Albemarle in 2005, so they aren't in much doubt. Albemarle shouldn't swing that much because it's part of Deeds' Senate district. I'm also expecting McDonnell will pick up Suffolk and Newport News in Hampton Roads.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2009, 11:06:19 am »
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I would be surprised to see this big a defeat unless the turnout in NOVA was severely depressed. I think a 55-44 trouncing is probably what we will see, but if it's high turnout and the Democrats do poorly, they may in trouble there in 2012.

Turnout by Dems may be lower just because it matters a whole lot less now for them, especially since there's no Senate/Presidential elections.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2009, 11:18:49 pm »

Another good year for SurveyUSA polling ...
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2009, 11:32:16 pm »
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I would be surprised to see this big a defeat unless the turnout in NOVA was severely depressed. I think a 55-44 trouncing is probably what we will see, but if it's high turnout and the Democrats do poorly, they may in trouble there in 2012.

I guess we'll see how Democratic NoVA really is. I don't think it's as Dem as people think. I agree that Fairfax has swung abysmally leftwards at full throttle, but I think Loudoun and Prince William will vote McDonnell as well as Henrico and Abermarle (just four that come to mind).
If McDonnell wins by this margin, there is no mathematical way he can lose these Obama counties.

McDonnell won all those except for Albemarle in 2005, so they aren't in much doubt. Albemarle shouldn't swing that much because it's part of Deeds' Senate district. I'm also expecting McDonnell will pick up Suffolk and Newport News in Hampton Roads.

Albemarle went for McDonnell but Newport News didn't. What the frak?
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