NY-23 in 2010 (user search)
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: November 06, 2009, 10:32:51 PM »

We need to do what we did in the Lousianna special election in 2008. Switch candidates and find a much more politically experienced, mainstream conservative Republican who can win Hoffman's vote, some of the Dede vote that was just voting for the R, and finally some of the McHugh voters that didn't vote in 2009 but will in 2010. I am sure there are numerous people that would fit that description in that distract.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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Posts: 54,123
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2009, 02:53:04 PM »

I just read that Hoffman may run again for the GOP. This would be a huge mistake for them by running a retread after the debacle on tuesday. NY-23 is very republican but more so at the local level as Obamas 52-47 win there was only slightly less than the national average. He didnt even campaign in upstate NY in the primary or the general and had he done so it would have been at least as Democratic as the rest of america. It is NOT a very religious, social conservative area at all. If Cuomo is at the top of the ballot and has an easy race for Governor, Owens should beat Hoffman fairly easily.

I think Hoffman would be able to run an effective campaign as long as the Republicans don't nominate a centre-left RINO in a closed door meeting.  I mean, it is sad when the Republican is more liberal than the Democrat.  No wonder the far-right wingnuts were screaming bloody murder.

Upstate New York isn't the south.......

It's more similar to the Upper South than you might imagine actually.

The district might be Republican, but it isn't conservative

Depends on your definition of conservative. McHugh certainly wasn't a RINO.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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Atlas Institution
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Posts: 54,123
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2009, 10:07:31 PM »

I just read that Hoffman may run again for the GOP. This would be a huge mistake for them by running a retread after the debacle on tuesday. NY-23 is very republican but more so at the local level as Obamas 52-47 win there was only slightly less than the national average. He didnt even campaign in upstate NY in the primary or the general and had he done so it would have been at least as Democratic as the rest of america. It is NOT a very religious, social conservative area at all. If Cuomo is at the top of the ballot and has an easy race for Governor, Owens should beat Hoffman fairly easily.

I think Hoffman would be able to run an effective campaign as long as the Republicans don't nominate a centre-left RINO in a closed door meeting.  I mean, it is sad when the Republican is more liberal than the Democrat.  No wonder the far-right wingnuts were screaming bloody murder.

Upstate New York isn't the south.......

It's more similar to the Upper South than you might imagine actually.

The district might be Republican, but it isn't conservative

Depends on your definition of conservative. McHugh certainly wasn't a RINO.

True, but he was also a well established incumbent, not to mention Hoffman is clearly to his right.

I am still praying Hoffman isn't our nominee in 2010, if my previous posts haven't made that clear already. If he does run though, I think he can win, but it will be more difficult and take more money and resources to accomplish.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 13, 2009, 09:03:07 PM »

McHugh was not a moderate, he was a Conservative though not as right leaning as Hoffman.
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