NY-23 in 2010

[DemocratsVictory2008]

I just read that Hoffman may run again for the GOP. This would be a huge mistake for them by running a retread after the debacle on tuesday. NY-23 is very republican but more so at the local level as Obamas 52-47 win there was only slightly less than the national average. He didnt even campaign in upstate NY in the primary or the general and had he done so it would have been at least as Democratic as the rest of america. It is NOT a very religious, social conservative area at all. If Cuomo is at the top of the ballot and has an easy race for Governor, Owens should beat Hoffman fairly easily.

[DemocratsVictory2008]

of those 4..i'd probably rank Murphy as most likely to win in large part b/c Gillibrand on the ballot will help him a lot in NY-20. I 'd say Owens has a better shot than Arcuri based on a slightly more Democratic district and the fact that Hoffman could be back again as a retread. Massa is the most likely to lose based on the fact that McCain won his district and Kuhl was a major underperfomer in general. Massa also barely won in 08

[DemocratsVictory2008]

Now Hoffman "unconceded" and is blaming ACORN for losing. If he's the candidate again now, the gop can kiss NY-23 goodbye after this spectacle. Maybe Hoffman would be better off using the $$ for the 2010 campaign instead of a months- long legal battle which he has zero chance of winning.