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| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Sam Spade, Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Which Party Will Control Congress?
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Poll
Question: Which political party will control Congress after next year's midterm elections?
Senate: Democrats   -60 (48%)
Senate: Republicans   -2 (1.6%)
Senate: Even split   -1 (0.8%)
House: Democrats   -51 (40.8%)
House: Republicans   -11 (8.8%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Which Party Will Control Congress?  (Read 1302 times)
PASOK Leader Hashemite
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« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2009, 09:48:44 pm »
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House: Democrats
Senate: "Democrats"
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2009, 12:01:22 pm »
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A GOP take over of the House is possible, but not likely. 

There is no chance in hell of the GOP winning a majority in the Senate.  They'd have to win 11 seats in addition to defending every single one they now hold, several of which are in swing states with retiring incumbents.
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Governor Vepres
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2009, 01:02:55 pm »
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My gut feeling at this moment is a one to two seat R gain in the Senate and a slim R majority in the house. That said, we still have a year to go.
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2009, 02:50:21 pm »
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GOP would need to pick up more than 40 seats to take the House, aka bigger than 2006. That's not going to happen.

Senate is basically impossible.
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2009, 03:01:55 pm »
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Options 1 and 4, The GOP picks up two senate seats and gains twenty house seats.

In a way, the Republicans still control the Senate Tongue

Just not officially.  Tongue

HAHA, so true.
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2009, 03:04:22 pm »
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Republicans just aren't going to take back the House. They should be happy that they'll probably continue to unofficially control the Senate.
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2009, 03:15:17 pm »
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I'm usually pretty pessimistic and overly cautious in my predictions, but there is no realistic scenario where the GOP gains control over either section of congress, especially the Senate. Even during an epic landslide, another incredibly unlikely scenario, it would be incredibly difficult for the Senate to switch.

Really? I think it's certian that the Republicans will control the Senate. Agree with your second sentence, though.
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« Reply #22 on: November 07, 2009, 04:45:55 pm »
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My gut feeling at this moment is a one to two seat R gain in the Senate and a slim R majority in the house. That said, we still have a year to go.

40 seats? I don't see how that is possible. 20-30 seats maybe but 40 is really stretching it.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #23 on: November 07, 2009, 05:26:05 pm »
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House: Blue-Dog Democrats
Senate: Olympia Snowe
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2009, 05:29:23 pm »
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And who will control redistricting in how many states? That'll be more important than wether Republicans just cut the Dem House majority to shreds or actually take it over.
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« Reply #25 on: November 07, 2009, 05:29:43 pm »
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It would take an epic landslide to lose the House, but it's still feasible.

To lose the Senate....I dare someone to get the math to work on that one

Losing Senate or House is impossible, without some epic GOP landslide.

However, I dought GOP can recover so quickly after all these mess years in power, to retake Congress of make more than marginal gains.
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« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2009, 06:52:09 pm »
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GOP would need to pick up more than 40 seats to take the House, aka bigger than 2006. That's not going to happen.

Senate is basically impossible.

Agreed. Obama and the Dems aren't in as bad shape electorally as many say.
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« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2009, 07:21:48 pm »
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My gut feeling at this moment is a one to two seat R gain in the Senate and a slim R majority in the house. That said, we still have a year to go.

If Republicans have enough of a tidal wave in their favor to get the House, they would almost certainly gain more than just a Senate seat or two. 
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« Reply #28 on: November 07, 2009, 08:53:16 pm »
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I can't see the Republicans gaining fewer than 50 seats.  We are entering the greatest period of political volatility since the Civil War.  Expect wild swings from one party to the other until someone manages to finally solve some of the problems the country faces.
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« Reply #29 on: November 08, 2009, 03:58:55 am »
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I can't see the Republicans gaining fewer than 50 seats.  We are entering the greatest period of political volatility since the Civil War.  Expect wild swings from one party to the other until someone manages to finally solve some of the problems the country faces.

List the 50 that are bound to switch.
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