Quinnipiac: Kasich and Strickland are tied

[Ronnie]

Strickland: 40%
Kasich: 40%
Undecided/Other: 20%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1394

I think this is shaping up to be an interesting race.

[Lunar]

As long as Quinnipiac (R) isn't secretly working for the Kasich campaign....

but anyway, aren't those numbers an improvement for Ted?

/exits the spin zone

[Ronnie]

No those numbers aren't an improvement for Strickland.  The last Quinnipiac poll (9/15) was 46-36 in favor of Ted.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2009/11/11/oh-gov-poll-economy-weighs-down-strickland/

[Rowan]

I posted this in the 2010 section.

[Lunar]

No those numbers aren't an improvement for Strickland.  The last Quinnipiac poll (9/15) was 46-36 in favor of Ted.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2009/11/11/oh-gov-poll-economy-weighs-down-strickland/

fair enough.  I guess I was thinking of some of the other polls that have had Kasich ahead.

[Sam Spade]

No those numbers aren't an improvement for Strickland.  The last Quinnipiac poll (9/15) was 46-36 in favor of Ted.

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2009/11/11/oh-gov-poll-economy-weighs-down-strickland/

fair enough.  I guess I was thinking of some of the other polls that have had Kasich ahead.

Only Rasmussen, I think.  Though I seem to remember PPP saying it was basically tied.

[Lunar]

a'ight, anyway, I think we can all agree that Kasich is looking more and more like a credible candidate.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Assuming Kasich gets his fundraising in gear. At the end of the first half of the year, Strickland had about a 9-1 cash on hand advantage.

[Vepres]

Wow, last I looked at this race (winter of last year admittedly), Strickland was thought to win easily IIRC.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wow, last I looked at this race (winter of last year admittedly), Strickland was thought to win easily IIRC.

Well, in the meantime he caught, like most governors, a severe case of recessionitis. 

[Rowan]

It really is amazing though how the winds have shifted though. In Q's first poll in February, Strickland was up by 30 points over Kasich. And now it is tied, without much shift in Kasich's name recognition.

[Badger]

Yep, as long as Bush's recession holds out for another year, the Republicans might be able to score some wins.

[Lunar]

Yep, as long as Bush's recession holds out for another year, the Republicans might be able to score some wins.

Portman also seems to be a fairly talented candidate while Fisher seems to be a bit of an old fart.
If Portman wins in 2010, I would place him among the five most likely senators to be president someday.

And I dislike the guy and whatnot, but he's in the top 1% of well connected types and seems more polished than most first time state-wide campaigners.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Yep, as long as Bush's recession holds out for another year, the Republicans might be able to score some wins.

Portman also seems to be a fairly talented candidate while Fisher seems to be a bit of an old fart.
If Portman wins in 2010, I would place him among the five most likely senators to be president someday.

And I dislike the guy and whatnot, but he's in the top 1% of well connected types and seems more polished than most first time state-wide campaigners.

Yeah, I always wondered why the handiccapers like Cillizza thought that the Democrats had the advantage here. Probably they assumed that Portman's ties to Bush's administration would overwhelm his other advantages.

[TeePee4Prez]

OUCH!  WTF?

[Mr. Morden]

If Portman wins in 2010, I would place him among the five most likely senators to be president someday.

...and the most likely senator to be the 2012 GOP VP nominee (IMHO).

[JohnnyLongtorso]

If Portman wins in 2010, I would place him among the five most likely senators to be president someday.

...and the most likely senator to be the 2012 GOP VP nominee (IMHO).

Not if the nominee doesn't have foreign policy experience (which is likely at this point, considering the likely spread of candidates).

[Mr. Morden]

If Portman wins in 2010, I would place him among the five most likely senators to be president someday.

...and the most likely senator to be the 2012 GOP VP nominee (IMHO).

Not if the nominee doesn't have foreign policy experience (which is likely at this point, considering the likely spread of candidates).

How do you define "foreign policy experience"?  Portman will have served in both houses of Congress and served as US trade rep.  Is that less "foreign policy experience" than any other senator who's likely to be considered for VP in 2012?  Are you expecting Romney to pick John McCain or Richard Lugar as his running mate?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

If Portman wins in 2010, I would place him among the five most likely senators to be president someday.

...and the most likely senator to be the 2012 GOP VP nominee (IMHO).

Not if the nominee doesn't have foreign policy experience (which is likely at this point, considering the likely spread of candidates).

How do you define "foreign policy experience"?  Portman will have served in both houses of Congress and served as US trade rep.  Is that less "foreign policy experience" than any other senator who's likely to be considered for VP in 2012?  Are you expecting Romney to pick John McCain or Richard Lugar as his running mate?

He was trade representative for about a year, and when he was in the House he was on the Ways and Means and Budget committees. That's a pretty thin foreign policy resume.

[Mr. Morden]

He was trade representative for about a year, and when he was in the House he was on the Ways and Means and Budget committees. That's a pretty thin foreign policy resume.

So what senator do you think is more likely to be the Republicans' 2012 VP nominee?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

He was trade representative for about a year, and when he was in the House he was on the Ways and Means and Budget committees. That's a pretty thin foreign policy resume.

So what senator do you think is more likely to be the Republicans' 2012 VP nominee?

Thune or one of the generic conservatives on the Foreign Relations committee. Maybe DeMint if they're feeling saucy.