Fivethirtyeight

[East Coast Republican]

Dailykos in disguise.

Why anybody takes Nate Silver seriously is beyond my comprehension.  Back in August he confidently proclaimed unemployment wouldn't hit 10%.  I actually think he said it wouldn't go above 9.7%

Way to go Nathaniel!

[Lunar]

I thought he gave it a 30% chance of reaching 10%

[East Coast Republican]

One can only hedge so much.

He's actually been wrong about a lot of things lately (Christie shouldn't count on Daggett effect to save him).  He should stick to poll analysis instead of trying to spin polls or political events to his liking.

[War on Want]

Cool story bro.

[Holmes]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VmvpI9kI5g4

[Psychic Octopus]

OMG NATE SILVER IS THE NEW JESUS!!1!!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VmvpI9kI5g4

Why are there so many videos of kids dancing?

[Associate Justice PiT]

     I only like 538 for the articles that really get at statistical analysis anyway.

[12th Doctor]

Since the site's 2008 projections were more favorable to McCain than the actual election was, I have a hard time seeing how you back up this claim.

[East Coast Republican]

Did Mr. "I have three degrees even read my original post and follow up post??  I focused on how he's always spinning other polls and political events to favor liberals-his opinion piece on Christie not being able to save Daggert is a PERFECT example. 

There are many others.  Check it out.  That's how I back up my claim.  It's not even a claim-read the other posters on the site. Their opinions are BAD.

I have no opinion on his magical machine during 2008 but it didn't seem much better than any other polling people.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Truly shocking that a 1 in a 3rd chance happened.

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[East Coast Republican]

You must be blind.  Now THAT would be shocking.

What about his don't count on Daggett effect to save Christie?  Silver has actually called Republicans Aholes in the past on his blog, where analysis is supposed to be objective and politics 'are done right.'

Why is it so hard for you guys to admit that he should just stick to the analysis of polls instead of giving his liberal objection and spin on every piece of news to hit the airwaves?  Huh??

[East Coast Republican]

From Mr. Silver on primary night in VA:

'8:15 EDT [Ed]b] If I were Bob McDonnell, I wouldn't be real happy about tonight's results. Deeds showed no real regional weaknesses, and with all due consideration of the problems that Moran and McAuliffe caused themselves and each other, it does look like the Bath County senator knows how to run a campaign. [/b] The win was decisive enough that there shouldn't be too many hard feelings among Democrats, and Deeds will get some nice media buzz. And let's don't forget that Deeds basically tied McDonnell in the AG race four years ago, despite being outspent. The first couple of head-to-head polls between Deeds and McDonnell should be very interesting.'

Yeah, McDonnell shouldve been deathly afraid of a strong primary performance by Deeds in which only the party faithful turned out.  Deeds certainly knows how to run a campaign based on this primary.  Forget the endorsement by the Washington Post.  I can't believe McDonnell even beat Deeds.

Wow Nate. 

[12th Doctor]

Okay... now I remember why I blocked East Coast Republican.  Switching the "Ignore" button back on.  The only person in the history of the Atlas Forum I have ever blocked.

[East Coast Republican]

He's always running to cover the President's behind as well.

In july he said oh yeah public option is gonna pass and then when it looked like it was dead he said 'well, we need to ask ourselves if it was ever really alive to begin with.'

If he's running a blog that claims to be objective, then he should be objective.  Otherwise, take out the 'politics done right' and he can offer all the polls and opinions he desires.

Decent 2008 polls though.

The nail in the coffin for fivethirtyeight: Nate started posting on DailyKos before starting his own site.  It's not like he posted there because he couldn't post anywhere else.  He liked Dailykos and agreed with what was going on at that site.  Yes, hints of liberal bias and original postings at dailykos.  I'm just being overly analytical I guess.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Since the site's 2008 projections were more favorable to McCain than the actual election was, I have a hard time seeing how you back up this claim.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I can't believe Soulty is defending the site. I thought all Republicans hated it with a passion.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I can't believe Soulty is defending the site. I thought all Republicans hated it with a passion.

Every republican is not an idiot.