2010 State Elections in Germany
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Author Topic: 2010 State Elections in Germany  (Read 69915 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #175 on: May 09, 2010, 12:09:05 PM »
Quote from: DL on May 09, 2010, 12:07:48 PM
Are all the numbers we are seeing now just exit poll numbers or are these actual results?

No, they are projections by 2 polling institutes for 2 TV stations, based on a chunk of already counted precincts. The more precincts are counted, the more reliable these projections will get.
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Franzl
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« Reply #176 on: May 09, 2010, 12:10:02 PM »
That said, German exit polls are usually extremely accurate, compared to a lot of countries.
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #177 on: May 09, 2010, 12:11:35 PM »
19:04 (ARD)

CDU   34,1
SPD   34,4
GREEN   12,3
FDP   6,9
LEFT   5,7

Quote from: DL on May 09, 2010, 12:07:48 PM
Are all the numbers we are seeing now just exit poll numbers or are these actual results?

This numbers are projections including exit polls and actual results
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DL
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« Reply #178 on: May 09, 2010, 12:13:14 PM »
Looks more and more like the SPD will get about one seat more than the CDU - that means Kraft becomes Premier! :-)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #179 on: May 09, 2010, 12:17:43 PM »
The Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger says that district results will start coming in in about 45 minutes.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #180 on: May 09, 2010, 12:19:44 PM »
The Pirate Party is @ 2% btw.
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,970
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

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« Reply #181 on: May 09, 2010, 12:22:05 PM »
Some exit polls

First voters


Woman:


Men:


Worker:


unemployed:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #182 on: May 09, 2010, 12:25:12 PM »
I suppose 5-6% of first time voters also voted for the Pirates, because 15% of this group doesn´t show up in this exit poll.
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

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« Reply #183 on: May 09, 2010, 12:25:28 PM »
19:21 (ZDF)

CDU   34,3
SPD   34,5
GREEN   12,3
FDP   6,7
LEFT   5,7
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,970
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

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« Reply #184 on: May 09, 2010, 12:27:43 PM »
19:20 (ARD)

CDU   34,4
SPD   34,4
GREEN   12,3
FDP   6,8
LEFT   5,4
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #185 on: May 09, 2010, 12:30:47 PM »
Hmm, seems this will come down to a few votes statewide ...
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Franzl
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« Reply #186 on: May 09, 2010, 12:32:58 PM »
RECOUNT!!!
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

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« Reply #187 on: May 09, 2010, 12:36:12 PM »

This is NRW not Florida Grin
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« Reply #188 on: May 09, 2010, 12:39:02 PM »
lol
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #189 on: May 09, 2010, 12:41:07 PM »

Haha. Was there even a Hessen recount in 2008 ?

(PS: I think German elections are perfect enough to avoid something known as "recount")
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Franzl
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« Reply #190 on: May 09, 2010, 12:43:19 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 09, 2010, 12:41:07 PM

Haha. Was there even a Hessen recount in 2008 ?

(PS: I think German elections are perfect enough to avoid something known as "recount")

Don't think there ever was a recount....but it's not even that important in a proportional system whether it's 0.1% more or less (usually).
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #191 on: May 09, 2010, 12:43:57 PM »
Certainly not a recount in the British or American sense. They do a sort of canvass of suspicious results (although I've noticed some obvious howlers in final precinct results over the years Roll Eyes ) and it happens from time to time that these actually lead to a change of a seat or so.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #192 on: May 09, 2010, 12:50:42 PM »
Some CDU guy, Willy Wimmer, wants CDU Chancellor Merkel to step down now ...
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DL
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« Reply #193 on: May 09, 2010, 12:54:45 PM »
Funny how Merkel was so popular while she was locked into a grand coalition with the FDP - but now that she has what she always wanted - a majority with the crackpot FDP - suddenly no one likes her anymore.

What is the moral of this story?
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,970
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

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« Reply #194 on: May 09, 2010, 12:59:04 PM »
19:55 (ARD)

CDU   34,6
SPD   34,4
GREEN   12,2
FDP   6,8
LEFT   5,4
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Hans-im-Glück
Franken
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,970
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

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« Reply #195 on: May 09, 2010, 01:06:15 PM »
19:59 (ZDF)

CDU   34,3
SPD   34,5
GREEN   12,4
FDP   6,6
LEFT   5,7

In both projections (ARD+ZDF) have the SPD and the Greens a majority with +1 seat
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #196 on: May 09, 2010, 01:06:49 PM »
Hilarious cliffhanger.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #197 on: May 09, 2010, 01:10:04 PM »
Still no district results ... Sad

In Austria, every town would be counted by now (I know you have 2 votes, but we also had 80% turnout 2 years ago) ... Wink
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #198 on: May 09, 2010, 01:10:51 PM »

No...this:



Is a Hilarious Cliffhanger.
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Franzl
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« Reply #199 on: May 09, 2010, 01:11:43 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 09, 2010, 01:10:04 PM
Still no district results ... Sad

In Austria, every town would be counted by now (I know you have 2 votes, but we also had 80% turnout 2 years ago) ... Wink

Maybe the vote counters are on strike.
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