Ukraine 2010

[ag]

98.99% in. Almost there. Again slightly closer:

Yanukovych 35.39%
Tymoshenko 25.01%
Tihipko 13.01%
Yatseniuk 6.98%
Yushchenko 5.48%
Symonenko 3.55%
Lytvyn 2.34%
Tiahnybok 1.43%
Hrytsenko 1.20%

Everyone else under 0.5% each

So, assuming Tymoshenko should be able to gain 10%, we are going to be in for another nailbiter - the current margin is 10.38%

[ag]

99.31% in. One of the last batches from the East has come in.

Yanukovych 35.41%
Tymoshenko 24.98%
Tihipko 13.05%
Yatseniuk 6.95%
Yushchenko 5.46%
Symonenko 3.54%
Lytvyn 2.34%
Tiahnybok 1.43%
Hrytsenko 1.20%

Everyone else under 0.5% each

Most of what's left is in Kirovohrad, Sumy and Cherkasy - should be slightly better for Timoshenko, then for Yanukovych

[ag]

99.69% in.

Yanukovych 35.38%
Tymoshenko 25.01%
Tihipko 13.05%
Yatseniuk 6.95%
Yushchenko 5.45%
Symonenko 3.55%
Lytvyn 2.35%
Tiahnybok 1.43%
Hrytsenko 1.20%

Everyone else under 0.5% each

The final distance will be slightly smaller, as Donets'k, Luhansk, Crimea, Sebastopol and Mykolayiv have reported completely now. So, the final gap should be about 10.35%

[Хahar 🤔]

http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2010/wp0011.html

The Ukrainian results website is actually pretty good; it displays a lot of information in a lot of different and interesting ways. Everything is in Cyrillic though.

It's in mojibake, wtf?

[ag]

99.76% in.

Yanukovych 35.36%
Tymoshenko 25.02%
Tihipko 13.05%
Yatseniuk 6.95%
Yushchenko 5.45%
Symonenko 3.55%
Lytvyn 2.35%
Tiahnybok 1.43%
Hrytsenko 1.20%

Everyone else under 0.5% each

The gap is down to 10.34%

[ag]

http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2010/wp0011.html

The Ukrainian results website is actually pretty good; it displays a lot of information in a lot of different and interesting ways. Everything is in Cyrillic though.

It's in mojibake, wtf?

It's not in Unicode, unfortunately. Choose Cyrillic (Windows) encoding and you will be able to read it, if you know the alphabet, of course.

[Bo]

http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2010/wp0011.html

The Ukrainian results website is actually pretty good; it displays a lot of information in a lot of different and interesting ways. Everything is in Cyrillic though.

It's in mojibake, wtf?

It's not in Unicode, unfortunately. Choose Cyrillic (Windows) encoding and you will be able to read it, if you know the alphabet, of course.

I'm just wondering if you're Russian or Ukranian? You seem to be very interested in those two countries.

[ag]

http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2010/wp0011.html

The Ukrainian results website is actually pretty good; it displays a lot of information in a lot of different and interesting ways. Everything is in Cyrillic though.

It's in mojibake, wtf?

It's not in Unicode, unfortunately. Choose Cyrillic (Windows) encoding and you will be able to read it, if you know the alphabet, of course.

I'm just wondering if you're Russian or Ukranian? You seem to be very interested in those two countries.

This has been discussed here many times Let's put it this way: I was born a citizen of the USSR But I am Mexican now.

[platypeanArchcow]

Any reason Yuschenko did so well in Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk?  (I typed "Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk", then considered editing to "Lwów".  Does that make me a bad person?)  He doesn't appear to be a favorite son or anything.

[Хahar 🤔]

http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2010/wp0011.html

The Ukrainian results website is actually pretty good; it displays a lot of information in a lot of different and interesting ways. Everything is in Cyrillic though.

It's in mojibake, wtf?

It's not in Unicode, unfortunately. Choose Cyrillic (Windows) encoding and you will be able to read it, if you know the alphabet, of course.

Thanks.

[ag]

Any reason Yuschenko did so well in Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk?  (I typed "Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk", then considered editing to "Lwów".  Does that make me a bad person?)  He doesn't appear to be a favorite son or anything.

Well, he did study in Ternopil, I believe. But, mostly, it is just that over the last 5+ years he got positioned as a Ukrainian nationalist (he isn't, really) and a westernizer. Yanukovych is too Russian there, and Tymoshenko too lefty. So, for lack of a better candidate of their own, Halicians have stuck w/ him.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yuschenko kind of ruined his legacy. He could've retired and people would've only thought of him as the hero of the Orange Revolution and forgot his actual presidency. But now...

[big bad fab]

I think there will be much wasted votes in the second round and it will affect more Tymoshenko than Yanukovych.

Isn't the very small result of Symonenko a bit surprising ?
Is he "out of fashion" now or did Tihipko and Yanukovych steal some of his usual votes ?

[minionofmidas]

Any reason Yuschenko did so well in Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk?  (I typed "Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk", then considered editing to "Lwów".

How about "Lemberg"?

[ag]

Symonenko got, what he normally gets there, I believe. This is the Commie electorate: it's stable.

[ag]

Almost there. 99.99% in

Yanukovych 35.32%
Tymoshenko 25.05%
Tihipko 13.06%
Yatseniuk 6.96%
Yushchenko 5.45%
Symonenko 3.55%
Lytvyn 2.35%
Tiahnybok 1.43%
Hrytsenko 1.20%

Everyone else under 0.5% each

The gap is down to 10.27%

[ag]

Any reason Yuschenko did so well in Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk?  (I typed "Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk", then considered editing to "Lwów".

How about "Lemberg"?

Yuriev is also an option

[ag]

All 100% reporting. Done

Yanukovych 35.32%
Tymoshenko 25.05%
Tihipko 13.06%
Yatseniuk 6.96%
Yushchenko 5.45%
Symonenko 3.55%
Lytvyn 2.35%
Tiahnybok 1.43%
Hrytsenko 1.20%
Bohoslovs'ka 0.41%
Moroz 0.38%
Kostenko 0.22%
Suprun 0.19%
Protyvsikh 0.16%
Pabat 0.14%
Ratushniak 0.12%
Brods'ki 0.06%
Riabokon' 0.03%
None of the above 2.20%
Invalid 1.64%

[Joe Republic]

What a difference five years makes...

Yushchenko in fifth place, not even breaking 6%?  Wow.

[big bad fab]

Symonenko got, what he normally gets there, I believe. This is the Commie electorate: it's stable.

Sure, we are no longer in 1999 (22%), but it was still 5% in 2004.
3.5% is even less.

[Hash]

Symonenko got, what he normally gets there, I believe. This is the Commie electorate: it's stable.

Sure, we are no longer in 1999 (22%), but it was still 5% in 2004.
3.5% is even less.

I suppose Tigipko (and Yanukovych) siphoned off a number of his votes. Tigipko placed second in the Donetsk area, where Symonenko and the CPU usually placed second.

[Tender Branson]

Who are the voters of the runner-up candidates most likely to back in the second round ?

I guess Tigipko voters will mainly back Yanukovych, and Yatseniuk and Yushenko voters will back Tymoshenko.

There`s new polling data from the Exit Poll about who these 1st round voters will back in the 2nd:

The gap between presidential candidates Viktor Yanukovych and Yulia Tymoshenko will close significantly in the second round of the presidential election on February 7, and they may each have a fifty-fifty chance of winning the run-off vote, according to the pollsters of the Yaremenko Ukrainian Institute of Social Studies.

"A greater part of the electorate who supported other candidates in the first round are, to some extent, inclined to support Tymoshenko. If the ballot were held today, around 50-51% would have voted for Yanukovych, and some 45-46% for Tymoshenko," Chair of the Yaremenko Ukrainian Institute of Social Studies Olha Balakireva said at a press conference at Interfax-Ukraine on Wednesday.

She said that the "issue could also concern a fifty-fifty option." She said that those who had not supported Tymoshenko and Yanukovych would most likely vote for "the lesser evil."

"This will most likely be the vote 'against,' [someone] rather than a vote 'for,' [someone]" Balakireva said.

She also said that there are certain voters who will go to the polls and will support neither Yanukovych nor Tymoshenko.

Balakireva said that according to a survey, 29% of Sergiy Tigipko's supporters are ready to vote for Tymoshenko in the second round of the election, and 37% for Yanukovych. As for Arseniy Yatseniuk's supporters, 45% of them are ready to vote for Tymoshenko and 18% for Yanukovych, while 52% of Viktor Yuschenko's supporters are more inclined to vote for Tymoshenko, and 8% for Yanukovych, she said.

She also said that a portion of the voters remained undecided. The margin of error is 2.2%.

The Choice 2010 survey was held at 402 polling stations on election day in order to receive a high level of data accuracy. Voters were surveyed immediately after they left polling stations. A total of 804 interviewers questioned 17,512 voters who casted their ballots. Twenty-four percent of voters declined to participate in the survey.

http://www.citylife.donetsk.ua/news/show/10303

[Hash]

Not surprising. Like in Chile, the large margin of the first shouldn't blind anybody into thinking that the runoff is a slam-dunk. The statistical similarities to the Chilean election are quite interesting here... though I hope Yanukovych doesn't win.

[UkrToday]

The above regions maps are misleading.  Unlike the US presidential elections Ukraine's president is elected by a national vote not a regional based college distribution.  For more detailed representation and results in English please refer to  the Ukrainian online elections map that includes the 2004 Presidential election, the 2006 and 2007 Parliamentary elections and the current 2010 Presidential election.

http://ukrainetoday.googlepages.com/UAElections.html

The regions (Oblasts) are administrative only they vary significantly in size and in the number of constituents.  The smallest Oblast/Region has less then 500,000 votes whilst Donetsk has over 3.5 Million constituents and represents over 10 percent of the total electorate. A comparison based on the percentage of vote per region bares no relationshi0p to the overall outcome of the election or to each other Oblast/Region unless you display the results in relation to the total national vote.

The maps below show the results of each candidate based on the percentage of the total national vote.  






http://ukrainetoday.blogspot.com

[minionofmidas]

The above regions maps are misleading.  Unlike the US presidential elections Ukraine's president is elected by a national vote not a regional based college distribution.

Dude, we know that. Not everybody is as dumb as the US Constitution.

Welcome!