Will these PA Candidates lose their seats/flip parties?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Any first termer is vulnerable particulary if the climate shifts from DEm to Rep. The only exception is if the GOP candidate is horrible. So that puts PA-03 in the competative category. I think that as of right now it is likely that both PA-06 and PA-07 will vote the same way as the other. They are both marginal to lean Dem, both open, and both have reasonably strong contenders on both sides.

PA-10 is definately not a district you want to take for granted. If a wave of even 5% or more strikes it will definately rear its head in this district.


PA-11, I will agree with Flyers

PA-12 McCain was the first Repub to win this district in years. Murtha's nonense alone and Russell's strong fundraising alone would make it a 5% seat like Flyers said, however, the possibility of even a slight wave must be considered and it wouldn't take much of a wave to flip over a seat that would be so close anyways.

PA-15. If you couldn't swipe it in 2006 or 2008, its probably not going in 2010. Though I would keep my eye on it to be safe.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

With J. J. it certainly has become interesting but this thread would be a world more interesting if a certain poster from Phill was here lol