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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Election What-ifs?
Past Election What-ifs (US)
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Johnson vs. Grant 1868
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Topic: Johnson vs. Grant 1868 (Read 944 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
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Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
on:
December 22, 2009, 02:21:35 am »
Grant wins
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OC
olawakandi
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Posts: 8397
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #1 on:
December 23, 2009, 06:31:24 am »
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #2 on:
December 23, 2009, 01:28:42 pm »
Quote from: WEB Dubois on December 23, 2009, 06:31:24 am
Why would Andrew Johnson do so well against Grant? He was extremely unpopular in 1868 (and he was not removed from office by one vote), and running against a popular war hero would almost certainly cause Johnson to lose in a landslide, especially since many blacks throguhout the South were given the right to vote and American troops were still in the South to make sure that this right was enforced.
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olawakandi
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Posts: 8397
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
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Reply #3 on:
December 23, 2009, 06:54:04 pm »
Well maybe not the impeached Johnson, but certainly the Johnson coming off electoral victory in 1864 with Abe Lincoln.
Johnson was very much like Polk, southern populist that served in times of war.
WVA, LA, and TN probably would have trended towards Johnson's way the others can be argued.
Disenfranchisement among blacks were very widespread in the south except for Florida.
«
Last Edit: December 23, 2009, 06:59:45 pm by WEB Dubois
»
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #4 on:
December 23, 2009, 06:59:32 pm »
Quote from: WEB Dubois on December 23, 2009, 06:54:04 pm
I thought of Johnson being very much like Polk both Southern populist that served during the times of war.
Coming out of the Civil War the Union was very much divided and I thought of in terms of disenfranchisement of blacks that southern states other than Florida would have prevented black males from voting.
Also, why would Johnson win New Hampshire, New York, New Jersey, and Iowa. Those states hated him very much. Horatio Seymour only won New York and New Jersey in 1868 because he was Governor of New York, and besides, Seymour was nowhere near as racist and controversial as Johnson was.
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olawakandi
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Posts: 8397
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #5 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:08:40 pm »
Polk and Pierce both won Iowa and NH before the Civil War and I was thinking in terms of that.
But on the other side of things NY and NJ weren't going Democratic.
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Jbrase
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Posts: 4943
Political Matrix
E: 6.32, S: -6.09
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #6 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:12:26 pm »
Johnson would get destroyed just about everywhere
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olawakandi
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Posts: 8397
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #7 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:18:22 pm »
Probably the result would be similar to the 1904 result concerning alton parker without TX.
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #8 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:21:18 pm »
Quote from: SE Lt. Gov. JBrase on December 23, 2009, 07:12:26 pm
Johnson would get destroyed just about everywhere
This map seems about right, except I would make Florida barker blue and give Kentucky to Grant.
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CPT MikeyMike
mikeymike
YaBB God
Posts: 3707
Political Matrix
E: 6.58, S: -3.30
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #9 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:21:49 pm »
Quote from: TheDarkMagician on December 23, 2009, 06:59:32 pm
Quote from: WEB Dubois on December 23, 2009, 06:54:04 pm
I thought of Johnson being very much like Polk both Southern populist that served during the times of war.
Coming out of the Civil War the Union was very much divided and I thought of in terms of disenfranchisement of blacks that southern states other than Florida would have prevented black males from voting.
Also, why would Johnson win New Hampshire, New York, New Jersey, and Iowa. Those states hated him very much. Horatio Seymour only won New York and New Jersey in 1868 because he was Governor of New York, and besides, Seymour was nowhere near as racist and controversial as Johnson was.
Here is the clear answer - WEB Dubios has never had any logic when creating election what-if maps.
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #10 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:24:38 pm »
Quote from: CPT MikeyMike on December 23, 2009, 07:21:49 pm
Quote from: TheDarkMagician on December 23, 2009, 06:59:32 pm
Quote from: WEB Dubois on December 23, 2009, 06:54:04 pm
I thought of Johnson being very much like Polk both Southern populist that served during the times of war.
Coming out of the Civil War the Union was very much divided and I thought of in terms of disenfranchisement of blacks that southern states other than Florida would have prevented black males from voting.
Also, why would Johnson win New Hampshire, New York, New Jersey, and Iowa. Those states hated him very much. Horatio Seymour only won New York and New Jersey in 1868 because he was Governor of New York, and besides, Seymour was nowhere near as racist and controversial as Johnson was.
Here is the clear answer - WEB Dubios has never had any logic when creating election what-if maps.
If that's genuinely the case, then he should stop making them.
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OC
olawakandi
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Posts: 8397
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #11 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:25:16 pm »
You are very much incorrect on that one, the earlier maps not so much because those maps are controversal, but the present time maps like from the 1960's onward I am very much accurate on my predictions.
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CPT MikeyMike
mikeymike
YaBB God
Posts: 3707
Political Matrix
E: 6.58, S: -3.30
Re: Johnson vs. Grant 1868
«
Reply #12 on:
December 23, 2009, 07:40:20 pm »
Quote from: WEB Dubois on December 23, 2009, 07:25:16 pm
You are very much incorrect on that one, the earlier maps not so much because those maps are controversal, but the present time maps like from the 1960's onward I am very much accurate on my predictions.
BULLsh**t!!
And here is just one example...
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=64060.msg1328072#msg1328072
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