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| | |-+  The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Austrian Presidential Election ?
Heinz Fischer (Incumbent-SP/IND)   -41 (56.9%)
Barbara Rosenkranz (FP)   -25 (34.7%)
Other candidate (please post)   -2 (2.8%)
Invalid   -4 (5.6%)
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Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...  (Read 107579 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: January 01, 2010, 01:21:44 am »
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Heres an overview of 2010 elections in Austria:

* 14 March: Lower Austria Town Council Elections (excl. St. Plten, Krems & Waidhofen/Ybbs)

* 14 March: Tyrol Town Council Elections (excl. Innsbruck)

* 14 March: Vorarlberg Town Council Elections

* 21 March: Styria Town Council Elections (excl. Graz)

* 21 March: Referendum in Southern Burgenland on the construction of a new asylum facility

* 25 April: Presidential Elections

* 30 May: Burgenland State Elections

* 26 September: Styria State Elections

* 10 October: Vienna State, County & Town Council Elections

Heres a map (green = state elections, light green = town council elections):



And the results of the previous Presidential and State Elections:

2004 Presidential Election:

Dr. Heinz Fischer (SP): 52.39% - 2.166.690 votes
Dr. Benita Ferrero-Waldner (VP): 47.61% - 1.969.326 votes

2005 Vienna State Elections:

SP: 49.1% (55 seats)
VP: 18.8% (18 seats)
FP: 14.8% (13 seats)
Greens: 14.6% (14 seats)
KP: 1.5%
BZ: 1.2%

2005 Styria State Elections:

SP: 41.7% (25 seats)
VP: 38.7% (24 seats)
KP: 6.3% (4 seats)
Greens: 4.7% (3 seats)
FP: 4.6%
LH: 2.1%
BZ: 1.7%

2005 Burgenland State Elections:

SP: 52.2% (19 seats)
VP: 36.4% (13 seats)
FP: 5.8% (2 seats)
Greens: 5.2% (2 seats)
BWP: 0.4%
« Last Edit: August 24, 2012, 12:26:03 am by Tender Branson »Logged
Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: January 01, 2010, 01:45:01 am »
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Radical Muslims threaten women's minister

By David Rogers

A banned radical Islamic organisation has sent a threatening letter to Social Democratic (SP) Womens Minister Gabriele Heinisch-Hosek after she called for a ban on burkas, according to the sterreich newspaper.

The newspaper reported today (Weds) that the Hizb ut-Tahrir organisation based in Lebanon had sent it a three-page email after Christmas in which it condemned the ministers remarks last week and threatened her using the sentence from the Koran: "And know that Allah is strong in punishment."

The organisations Vienna spokesman Shaker Assem also called "on Austrian Muslims to cease supporting the SP".

sterreich said it had handed the document to the Federal Crime Office (BK), adding that to date there had been no serious investigation of Islamic fundamentalists in Austria.

Hizb ut-Tahrir which experts say is the first transnational organisation dominated by Palestinians calling for a caliphate or world-wide Islamic state - is considered dangerous and was banned in 2003 in Germany for its support of violence.

A spokesperson for Heinisch-Hosek said her ministry had been in contact with the Office for Protection of the Constitution and the Fight against Terrorism and was taking the matter very seriously.

Some Austrian media have reported that the Office for Protection of the Constitution and the Fight against Terrorism has had Hizb ut-Tahrir under observation.

In her comments in several interviews on 23 December, Heinisch-Hosek had said: "I consider the burka a sign of the submission of women. It greatly hinders women from finding jobs in the labour market. If more women wearing burkas appear in Austria, I will test a ban on them and enact administrative fines for women wearing them in public buildings."

She added that Islam was a danger to womens rights when it led to "politically fundamentalist-oriented policies" such as the mandatory wearing of burkas.

http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2009-12-30/19256/Radical_Muslims_threaten_women%27s_minister
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« Reply #2 on: January 01, 2010, 02:58:14 am »
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In her comments in several interviews on 23 December, Heinisch-Hosek had said: "I consider the burka a sign of the submission of women. It greatly hinders women from finding jobs in the labour market. If more women wearing burkas appear in Austria, I will test a ban on them and enact administrative fines for women wearing them in public buildings."

She added that Islam was a danger to women’s rights when it led to "politically fundamentalist-oriented policies" such as the mandatory wearing of burkas.

Roll Eyes

Good God, Austria's a bad place.
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The idea of parodying the preceding Atlasian's postings is laughable, of course, but not for reasons one might expect.
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« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2010, 01:35:34 am »
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In a newspaper interview today, H.C. Strache (FP-leader) said that he has not ruled out running for President on his own (he wants to abolish the Presidency), but also said that Barbara Rosenkranz would be a good candidate. She also said that she'll make an announcement on the matter soon. Strache also said that the FP is certain to run a candidate against President Fischer to avoid his re-election. That Strache is now thinking to run for President has probably to do with the fact that he has looked at internal Vienna polls and realized that he has no chance to become Mayor of Vienna on Oct. 10 ...

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-steigt-in-Hofburg-Wahl-ein-0608737.ece
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« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2010, 02:04:36 am »
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Asylum seekers centre controversy

By Thomas Hochwarter

VP Interior Minister Maria Fekter has said she is considering legal action after plans to build a centre for asylum seekers at a remote Burgenland town were rejected by local authorities.

Fekter revealed last weekend a care centre for asylum seekers just arrived in Austria would be built in Eberau in Burgenlands Gssing district. But many of the 1,000 Eberau residents were outraged by the news, and local authorities rejected the project following calls from SP Burgenland governor Hans Niessl. Constitutional law experts now expect a referendum over the project.

Gssing authorities claimed the project had been rejected as it did not match the area zoning plan of the site where the ministry wanted the centre to be built.

Niessl hit out at Fekter in a TV interview. "You must not deal with people like that, the governor said, criticising the fact that Eberau residents had not been informed about the plan for construction of the centre at any stage ahead of last weekends announcement. Fekter meanwhile said her plans for building the centre in Eberau were still valid, adding judges were now set to check the construction assignment.

The Eberau centre was regarded as a support centre for existing asylum seekers centres in Traiskirchen, Upper Austria, and Thalham, Lower Austria. "I will not be afraid of facing this debate, the minister said. Fekter claimed the area would benefit from the project as 130 jobs would be created.

SP governor Hans Niessl said residents not just of Eberau but of the whole district as well as people living in the neighbouring districts of Oberwart and Jennersdorf would be able to vote on the project in a referendum before any work starts. He has been backed by federal VP Environment Minister Nikolaus Berlakovich who comes from Burgenland.

VP Eberau Mayor Walter Strobl meanwhile apologised to residents for not informing them at all about his negotiations with the interior ministry.

http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4975&Alias=wzo&cob=458057&Page16617=1

Im already looking forward to the results of this referendum.

2008 Election Results in the town of Eberau:

VP: 53.6%
SP: 24.6%
FP: 12.6%
Greens: 3.4%
BZ: 3.2%

2008 Election Results in the 3 districts where the referendum will be held:

Gssing

SP: 37.2%
VP: 35.6%
FP: 14.4%
BZ: 5.7%
Greens: 4.4%

Jennersdorf

SP: 34.0%
VP: 30.6%
FP: 17.6%
BZ: 8.2%
Greens: 6.7%

Oberwart

SP: 41.2%
VP: 28.1%
FP: 17.6%
BZ: 5.5%
Greens: 4.9%
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« Reply #5 on: January 04, 2010, 01:41:26 am »
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New Market/TT poll for Tyrol on the construction of minarets in the state:

64% - ban the construction of minarets (38% strongly, 26% somewhat in favor)
31% - allow the construction of minarets (16% strongly, 15% somewhat in favor)

The 15% who say they somewhat favor the construction, break down in 3 groups:

32% want minarets only with a certain height
32% want minarets only in bigger cities like Innsbruck
29% want only a handful minarets and the number limited by law

Younger voters (15-29) and older voters (50+) are most likely to back a ban. 70% of young voters back a ban and among older voters 46% are strongly against minarets.

http://tt.com/tt/tirol/story.csp?cid=18281110&sid=56&fid=21

73% of Tyrolians also want the Christian cross to remain in classrooms. The European Supreme Court recently ruled that crosses in Italian classrooms must be removed.

9% want symbols of other religions in Tyrolian classrooms.

9% want to remove all religious symbols from the classroom.

9% have no opinion.

http://tt.com/tt/tirol/story.csp?cid=18281426&sid=56&fid=21
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« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2010, 02:00:43 am »
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New OGM/KZ poll for the Styria state elections:

SP: 36% (-6)
VP: 36% (-3)
FP: 13% (+8)
Greens: 7% (+2)
KP: 4% (-2)
BZ: 3% (+1)
Others: 1% (nc)

Gov. Voves (SP) beats challenger Schtzenhfer (VP) in the direct vote for Gov.:



Gov. Voves has a 61-32 favorable rating, Schtzenhfer is at 58-31.

http://www.kleinezeitung.at/system/galleries/upload/5/2/7/2257751/OGMUmfrage1.PDF
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« Reply #7 on: January 08, 2010, 01:13:05 am »
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New Tyrol poll for the Presidential Elections by Market:

Pres. Heinz Fischer Approval Rating:

80% Strongly/Somewhat Approve
6% Strongly/Somewhat Disapprove

Will you vote for Fischer's re-election ?

73% Yes

Do you want an opponent for Fischer ?

59% No

http://tt.com/tt/home/story.csp?cid=18416678&sid=57&fid=21

In the 2004 election, Fischer got only 43% of the votes in Tyrol - his worst result in Austria.

He won the election with 52% of the vote.
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« Reply #8 on: January 08, 2010, 01:22:47 am »
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Will the VP run a candidate?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2010, 01:31:56 am »
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Will the VP run a candidate?

This is debated right now within the party and there are deep divisions within the party.

Fischer is hugely popular and internal VP polls show that a conservative candidate would be completely destroyed in the general election, currently getting only 25% support vs. 70% for Fischer.

Tyrol Governor Gnther Platter (VP) for example doesn't want a VP-candidate, because Fischer has done a good job. On the other hand, Governor of Lower Austria Erwin Prll (VP) who turned down a candidacy last year and was considered the only VP-candidate with chances against Fischer, wants a VP-candidate to oppose Fischer.

Also, Fritz Kaltenegger, general secretary of the VP, wants one. I don`t know what the consensus is in the party right now, but I guess they will finally back Fischer's re-election and refuse to run a candidate. Instead they will focus their resources on the state elections this year, with Styria being very important. They could oust SP-governor Voves there and enter a VP-FP coalition in the state.

That the VP is not running a Presidential candidate has also its risks, because the FP could run a candidate on their own and dig deep into the center-right electorate that normally votes for the VP. But I guess the VP is risking this, because the FP has never run a good Austrian-wide Presidential campaign and first they have to top the 18% they got in the 2008 parliamentary elections.
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« Reply #10 on: January 10, 2010, 03:00:37 am »
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New 24/Gallup poll on the construction of a new asylum facility in Southern Burgenland:

(Only people from Southern Burgenland questioned  by Gallup for the Referendum on March 21):

67% against construction
33% for construction

(All Austrian voters questioned by Gallup: "Are you in favor of building a new asylum center in your own district ?")

58% against construction
33% for construction

Austrian voters by 71-20 favor allocating asylum seekers to all states relative to their population share, instead of creating asylum centers.

Austrian voters also back the SP on the asylum issue (32-23), thinking that the party does a better job in opposing the construction of a new asylum center than the VP, which favors the construction.

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Mehrheit-gegen-drittes-Asyllager-0613018.ece

....

New Vienna State Elections poll, also by Gallup/24:

SP: 45-46%
FP: 20-21%
VP: 17-18%
Greens: 14-15%

Direct vote for Mayor:

Hupl (SP): 57%
Strache (FP): 18%

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Haeupl-verliert-seine-Mehrheit-0613195.ece

New Burgenland State Elections poll, also by Gallup/24:

SP: 50-51%
VP: 31-32%
FP: 11-12%
Greens: 5-6%

Direct vote for Governor:

Niessl (SP): 61%
Steindl (VP): 31%

Construction of Asylum Centre in Southern Burgenland (all state voters):

72% Oppose

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Niessl-schafft-50-Prozent-0613297.ece
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« Reply #11 on: January 10, 2010, 01:06:59 pm »
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New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt (650 voters polled Jan. 4-8):

FPK (ex-BZ): 31% (-14)
SP: 28% (-1)
VP: 10% (-7)
Greens: 7% (+2)
FP: 5% (+1)
"Not sure": 19% (+19)

The current government there (FPK/VP) still has a slight majority (41-40), but voters are deeply frustrated about the state government because of the Hypo-bailout and the debt that resulted from the fiasco.

Which party do you blame most for the Hypo-debacle ?

FPK: 52%
VP: 32%
SP: 11%

Do you think that new elections should be held in Carinthia ?

51% Yes
39% No

http://www.humaninstitut.at/humaninstitut/download.php?file=KAERNTNER_POLIT_BAROMETER_JAN_2010.pdf
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« Reply #12 on: January 11, 2010, 02:36:12 pm »
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New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt (650 voters polled Jan. 4-8):

FPK (ex-BZ): 31% (-14)
SP: 28% (-1)
VP: 10% (-7)
Greens: 7% (+2)
FP: 5% (+1)
"Not sure": 19% (+19)

The current government there (FPK/VP) still has a slight majority (41-40), but voters are deeply frustrated about the state government because of the Hypo-bailout and the debt that resulted from the fiasco.

Which party do you blame most for the Hypo-debacle ?

FPK: 52%
VP: 32%
SP: 11%

Do you think that new elections should be held in Carinthia ?

51% Yes
39% No

http://www.humaninstitut.at/humaninstitut/download.php?file=KAERNTNER_POLIT_BAROMETER_JAN_2010.pdf

who is "not sure" ? what a joke poll...
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm  

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

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« Reply #13 on: January 11, 2010, 03:02:56 pm »
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who is "not sure" ? what a joke poll...

Those who are not sure for whom they would vote or if they would vote at all. It's not so uncommon to give that option in polls.
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« Reply #14 on: January 12, 2010, 12:56:45 am »
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who is "not sure" ? what a joke poll...

Those who are not sure for whom they would vote or if they would vote at all. It's not so uncommon to give that option in polls.

They are not pushing leaners. Gallup/OGM/Market for example do not report undecideds, therefore everything is adding up to 100%. The situation in Carinthia is complex now and many voters dont know who to back. They are right-wing voters, but think the FPK/BZ/VP-leadership fukked the state. Nonetheless, they would never vote for the left parties. These people are now undecided and would either stay at home in new elections, or reluctantly back the Right - despite their failures.

There`s also news on the asylum story, with Interior Minister Fekter now trying to put asylum seekers into internment camps as long as these people are thrown out of the country again:

Austria's interior minister wants to detain asylum seekers

Vienna - Austria's Interior Minister Maria Fekter said Sunday that asylum seekers arriving in the country should be detained until their applications are processed. The measure would be a response to the fears of the Austrian population, the Conservative People's Party (OVP) politician told broadcaster ORF.

Fekter suggested 28 days of "compulsory attendance" at an initial intake centre for asylum seekers or their confinement there for the duration of the time it took to process their applications.

OVP coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party (SPO), the Green Party and human rights groups reacted with outrage, while the far-right Freedom Party (FPO) criticized Fekter's asylum policy as too liberal.

Fekter has come under fire in recent weeks in a dispute over plans for a new asylum centre in the town Eberau in the state of Burgenland. The SPO and local residents and authorities rejected the plan but Fekter said she would consider legal action.

Link
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: January 14, 2010, 02:18:41 am »
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New poll by OGM for News on Fekter's idea to put asylum seekers in internment:

49% support
39% oppose

(Meanwhile, constitutional experts have said that Fekter's idea would probably violate the Austrian constitution of free movement and would have no chance at the Supreme court.)

On the other hand, FP-leader Strache wants electronic ankle bracelets for all asylum seekers that are moving out of the first-arrival-centers to monitor them, so they cannot commit crimes.

Constitutional experts have said this method would be in line with the constitution, contrary to interning them.
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« Reply #16 on: January 14, 2010, 02:34:14 am »
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Catholic Church exodus

By David Rogers

The number of Catholics leaving the Church soared last year, according to Catholic press agency Kathpress.

It reported today (Weds) that 53,216 people had left the Church last year - 30.9 per cent more than in 2008.

The figure was 0.96 per cent of all Austrian Catholics, the agency said.

The number of Catholics in Austria at the end of 2009 was 5.53 million, down by 0.8 per cent from the 5.58 Catholics at the end of 2008, Kathpress said.

Erich Leitenberger, press spokesman for the Vienna archdiocese, said every departure from the Church was "painful", but added the number of Catholics had remained "relatively stable" in 2009.

He also claimed the recession was one of the major factors behind the exodus as people who formally leave the Church no longer have to pay a church tax.

The increase in Church departures last year was highest in Linz diocese - 43.5 per cent. Many observers said that had been largely down to Pope Benedict XVIs nomination of conservative Windischgarst Pastor Gerhard Maria Wagner as auxiliary bishop. The ultra-conservative priest had labelled the Harry Potter books "the work of Satan," called homosexuality "curable" and said natural disasters like the 2004 tsunami in Southeast Asia and Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans had been Gods punishment of human sin.

The Pope later withdrew the nomination after a subsequent public outcry.

A Linz diocese spokesman said today that the number of Church departures there last year had been "painful" and "a cause of great concern."

Diocese official Gabriele Eder-Cakl added that the Popes lifting of the excommunications of some bishops of the Pius Brotherhood last year had also caused some Catholics to leave the Church.

The Pius Brotherhood rejects some of the teachings of the Second Vatican Council and includes a bishop who has denied the Holocaust.

The second-largest increase, 40.3 per cent, occurred in Feldkirch diocese in Vorarlberg, where Bishop Elmar Fischer made controversial remarks about homosexuality.

The lowest increase was in Carinthia, 15.1 per cent, and Vienna ranked in the middle of Austrian dioceses with an increase of 27.8 per cent.

Austria has the eighth highest percentage of people claiming to follow a religious faith - 79 per cent - among European Union (EU) member states, according to EU statistics.

http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2010-01-13/19590/Catholic_Church_exodus
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« Reply #17 on: January 14, 2010, 11:40:32 am »
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With the FPK/BZ convention coming up on Saturday, FPK-leader Uwe Scheuch (who initiated the coup d'etat of Carinthia-BZ switching to FPK and into the arms of HC Strache) is now under corruption watch. He apparently promised to give a Russian investor the Austrian citizenship if he invests in Carinthia and pays heavily to the FPK party. Now "News" has published audio-tapes of Scheuch. Asked about it, Scheuch said "he can't remember what he said". The state-VP, which is in a coalition with the FPK/BZ has said their government is in danger. SP and Greens have called for Scheuch to step down and new elections.

Should be a fun convention on Saturday: Will Josef Bucher of the federal BZ now win the Reconquista in Carinthia and triumph over Scheuch, who allegedly only invites Scheuch-loyal delegates to the convention to secure his election as leader ? Or will the FPK lemmings vote for Scheuch no matter how corrupt and unsympathetic this guy is ? I hope that Bucher wins the leadership vote.
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« Reply #18 on: January 16, 2010, 12:49:58 pm »
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Scheuch wins 90.2% of the delegates at the FPK-party convention and the FPK will now run on a CDU/CSU model with the FP. Bucher will maybe create a new BZ in Carinthia and will announce his plans on Monday. The state-VP will also decide on Monday whether or not to continue the FPK-VP government because of Scheuch's corruption allegations.
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« Reply #19 on: January 16, 2010, 01:02:34 pm »
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New OGM-Carinthia poll:

SP: 32% (+3)
FPK: 22% (-23)
VP: 15% (-2)
FP: 9% (+5)
Greens: 8% (+3)
"Not Sure": 14%

http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/fpk/2269085/scheuch-halbiert-haiders-partei.story
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« Reply #20 on: January 16, 2010, 01:11:58 pm »

Haha.
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« Reply #21 on: January 16, 2010, 01:31:56 pm »
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Haha.

Yeah.

Nobody likes Scheuch, not even the Carinthians, as shown in 3 new polls out today.

The first is the APA/OGM trust index of Austrian far-right politicians (500 Austrians questioned):

Ursula Haubner, sister of Jrg Haider and still member of the BZ, gets the most trust among Austrians with 35% having trust and 38% having no trust.

HC Strache, Austrian FP-leader is second, with a 32-62 rating.

Josef Bucher, BZ-leader is third with 28-38.

Barbara Rosenkranz, who is the likely FP-presidential candidate, is at 12-40 (still relatively unknown among the Austrian public).

Uwe Scheuch, is the next to last, with a 11-57 rating.

http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/Drittes_Lager_Jaenner10.pdf

A second poll by Market (400 Austrians questioned) for "DerStandard" asked the following question:

"Which of the following persons do you think is the rightful heir of Jrg Haider ?"

32% Strache
12% Haubner
12% Bucher
10% Petzner
9% Claudia Haider
8% Drfler
3% Fekter
3% Scheuch
1% Dinkhauser

http://derstandard.at/1262209664829/Umfrage-Haiders-Erbe-heisst-Strache

The last poll is by OGM (500 Carinthians polled), which is already mentioned above:



It asks: Who do you trust more ?

First among all voters, then among people who voted BZ in the 2009 state elections ...
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« Reply #22 on: January 16, 2010, 01:40:38 pm »
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(Nonetheless, Scheuch has a pretty hot wife ...)



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KuntaKinte
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E: -3.23, S: -0.52

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« Reply #23 on: January 16, 2010, 11:58:39 pm »
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New OGM-Carinthia poll:

SP: 32% (+3)
FPK: 22% (-23)
VP: 15% (-2)
FP: 9% (+5)
Greens: 8% (+3)
"Not Sure": 14%

http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/fpk/2269085/scheuch-halbiert-haiders-partei.story

Oh yeah, that's great news!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #24 on: January 17, 2010, 02:02:05 am »
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New OGM-Carinthia poll:

SP: 32% (+3)
FPK: 22% (-23)
VP: 15% (-2)
FP: 9% (+5)
Greens: 8% (+3)
"Not Sure": 14%

http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/fpk/2269085/scheuch-halbiert-haiders-partei.story

Oh yeah, that's great news!

Yeah, mostly because Carinthia now (or soon) has 4 rightist parties (FPK, VP, FP, BZ).

Sooner or later (maybe in the next 3 years) the FP Carinthia will integrate into the FPK and Bucher has already said that he'll create a new Carinthia BZ. Just look at the 14% who currently say they are not sure who to vote for. Theres still some potential for a new BZ in Carinthia, because the 90% of pre-selected delegates who voted for Scheuch are not representative of the electorate. And the electorate doesn't like Scheuch.

In a few years the polls might look like:

SP: 30-35%
FPK (incl. FP): 30-35%
VP: 15-20%
BZ: 10-15%
Greens: 5-10%

We could also see a revival of Social Democracy in the state, with the SP going to 40% if they find a good leader in the near future.
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