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| | |-+  The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Austrian Presidential Election ?
Heinz Fischer (Incumbent-SP/IND)   -41 (56.9%)
Barbara Rosenkranz (FP)   -25 (34.7%)
Other candidate (please post)   -2 (2.8%)
Invalid   -4 (5.6%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...  (Read 118585 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #825 on: April 15, 2012, 04:55:16 am »
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Strache at the final FP campaign event in Innsbruck:

Quote


Strache verteidigt rassistischen Slogan und will "anstndige Leute"

Auch Strache konnte sich einen Seitenhieb auf Oppitz-Plrer und ihre zum Teil in trkischer Sprache affichierte Wahlwerbung nicht verhalten. "Ich wei nicht, ob ich in Izmir oder in Innsbruck bin", meinte er und erntete Applaus. Er verteidigte erneut die mit der Aufschrift "Heimatliebe statt Marokkaner-Diebe" heftig kritisierten und schlielich abmontierten Wahlplakate der Innsbrucker FP. "Niemand von uns ist ein Auslnderfeind, wir wollen anstndige Leute", erklrte er.

"Deutsche Landessprache beherrschen"

Jeder anstndige Zuwanderer habe frher oder spter das Recht, die sterreichische Staatsbrgerschaft zu bekommen. Dafr msse er aber die deutsche Landessprache beherrschen, einen Arbeitsplatz haben und fleiig sein.

Do you see the irony ?

Hint: Take a look at the poster behind Strache ... Smiley
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #826 on: April 15, 2012, 08:34:31 am »
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Hehe:



Smiley

90 minutes to go. Then we can see how well the Pirates did with their 3000 budget ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #827 on: April 15, 2012, 10:41:01 am »
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20 minutes until the first results. I'm hoping for an epic fail result for the FP (well, the FP has always been epic fail in Innsbruck, so the question is only if they get more or less than 10%).
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #828 on: April 15, 2012, 10:46:50 am »
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4 of 152 Sprengel already counted (2,63% of the votes):



Platzgummer (VP) leads Oppitz-Plrer (FI) by 1 vote for Mayor ... Tongue

http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #829 on: April 15, 2012, 10:49:12 am »
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It looks that out of the first 4 precincts, 3 are retirement home precincts.

Thats why the Greens suck right now ...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #830 on: April 15, 2012, 10:50:42 am »
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Also, turnout seems to be really crappy, in the lower 40s.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #831 on: April 15, 2012, 10:59:41 am »
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2 precincts are in a Mormon Church ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #832 on: April 15, 2012, 12:09:49 pm »
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About 2/3 of the vote in now:

VP and FI are still fighting for 1st place.

The Greens are now at their 2006 level, which would again be their best result in Innsbruck.

The 14.6% for the SP would not be their worst result, they got 11.7% in 2000.

The FP continues to suck (8% is way below the 13% they got in 1989 and 1994).

The Pirates will get 1 seat in the city council for the first time with a campaign budget of only 3000.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #833 on: April 15, 2012, 12:51:58 pm »
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100% counted:



Seats:



Change compared with 2006:



Mayoral direct election:



http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at

Oppitz-Plrer (FI) and Platzgummer (VP) will advance to a run-off in 2 weeks.
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« Reply #834 on: April 15, 2012, 01:44:44 pm »
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That Pirate poster is great to learn colors in German.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #835 on: April 16, 2012, 02:56:37 am »
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Also, turnout seems to be really crappy, in the lower 40s.

Final results (incl. postal votes) actually show turnout up to 52.3%, which is still the worst figure ever in Innsbruck and down by 5.5% compared with the 2006 elections.

Final result (incl. postal votes):

21.9% [+7.3] VP (9 seats)
21.0%  [-5.8] FI (9 seats)
19.1% [+0.6] Greens (8 seats)
14.5%  [-5.2] SP (6 seats)
  7.9%  [-1.5] LRF (3 seats)
  7.7% [+2.7] FP (3 seats)
  3.8% [+3.8] Pirates (1 seat)
  2.7%  [-0.2] TSB (1 seat)
  1.4% [+0.5] KP
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #836 on: April 16, 2012, 03:32:13 am »
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Here you can see that the FI and the VP and also the TSB is in reality just "the VP". Christine Oppitz-Plrer (FI) and Christoph Platzgummer (VP) - which will head to the run-off - even held a joint post-election event together:



Tongue

So, the 3 lists of the VP actually got 46% yesterday.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #837 on: April 23, 2012, 09:47:54 am »
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New "Heute" ("Today") newspaper poll:

27% FP
27% SP
23% VP
13% Greens
  3% BZ
  7% Others (Pirates, KP, CP)

http://www.heute.at/news/politik/art23660,696631
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #838 on: April 23, 2012, 09:54:58 am »
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New Gallup poll shows the FP pulling ahead again after months of being tied or second:



The news release says that the "Pirates" have 5% of the 6% who voted for "other parties".



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-ist-schon-Erster/63650869

...

A new IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung shows a weak FP:



This poll looks like a joke poll and total outlier. 7% for the BZ ? LOL.

http://www.krone.at/Oesterreich/Umfrage-Fiasko_fuer_die_FPOe_-_Platz_2_ist_weit_entfernt-Lebenszeichen_der_VP-Story-318953
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« Reply #839 on: April 24, 2012, 07:02:16 pm »
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If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is?
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« Reply #840 on: April 24, 2012, 08:36:20 pm »
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If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is?

I rather think most Pirate voters couldn't care less which party comes out on top.
If anything they might prefer FP on top, after all the far-right and the pirates share the same demographic base, young working-class males who dislike/distrust the establishment.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #841 on: April 25, 2012, 12:47:31 am »
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If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is?

I rather think most Pirate voters couldn't care less which party comes out on top.
If anything they might prefer FP on top, after all the far-right and the pirates share the same demographic base, young working-class males who dislike/distrust the establishment.

I don't think you can say that the Pirates will be responsible for the FP winning.

A previous poll has shown that SP, FP and Greens would all lose about 3% each if the Pirates and a Frank Stronach party would run next year.

Because the Pirates are mostly a protest party, I even think that they would hurt the FP the most during the election campaign.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #842 on: April 28, 2012, 12:50:27 pm »
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New Gallup poll for 24 shows that the Pirates now have officially Parliamentary support:

27%  (-1) FP
27%  (nc) SP
22%  (nc) VP
13%  (-1) Greens
  6% (+1) Pirates
  3%  (nc) BZ
  2% (+1) Others

Majority for FPVP and SPVP and FP-SP (totally unlikely though).

No majority for SP-Greens-Pirates.

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Piraten-Partei-schon-bei-sechs-Prozent-laut-OeSTERREICH-Umfrage/64347638
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« Reply #843 on: April 28, 2012, 01:06:52 pm »
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PS:

24 notes that the Pirate voters are made up mostly by voters who have not voted in 2008 (they account for about 50% of all Pirates) and former FP, SP, Green and BZ voters with about equal support. Only the VP doesn't seem to lose voters to the Pirates, but the VP is badly damaged anyway.
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« Reply #844 on: April 28, 2012, 01:11:20 pm »

Pirates are cute, but they're pretty useless, so this Germanic Pirate-mania is becoming a bit stupid.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #845 on: April 28, 2012, 01:24:57 pm »
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Pirates are cute, but they're pretty useless, so this Germanic Pirate-mania is becoming a bit stupid.

Maybe the Pirate-mania will die off in the next year anyway and if not, they still have to collect 2600 signatures somehow to be on the ballot.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #846 on: April 29, 2012, 05:39:40 am »
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Recent comments on FP-leader Strache's Facebook site regarding a 15-year old Turkish arsonist who burned down the Catholic Dome in Wr. Neustadt incl. 1 million of damage:



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/chronik/niederoesterreich/Wiener-Neustadt-Feuerteufel-will-Dom-reparieren/63865026

Shocked
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #847 on: April 29, 2012, 11:17:04 am »
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http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at

Oppitz-Plrer (FI) and Platzgummer (VP) will advance to a run-off in 2 weeks.

With 100% counted once again, Christine Oppitz-Plrer wins the run-off with 56% of the vote and remains the Mayor of Innsbruck.

Before the run-off, she announced that she would seek a coalition between FI, Greens and either SP or VP, while ruling out any coalition that includes the FP.

Platzgummer on the other hand said that he would also include the FP in a coaliton.

Therefore, I'm quite happy with the result.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #848 on: May 05, 2012, 08:06:28 am »
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New "Profil" poll by Karmasin Motivforschung:

29% SP
26% FP
24% VP
12% Greens
  2% BZ
  7% Others (Pirates, CP, KP, LIF (?), planned Stronach-party etc.)

You can clearly see that the FP, Greens and BZ all lose votes to the Pirates, while the SP and VP remain mostly where they were.

Direct vote for Chancellor:

21% Faymann (SP)
16% Spindelegger (VP)
14% Strache (FP)
  6% Glawischnig (Greens)

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0003/profil-umfrage-volkspartei-legt-zu-freiheitliche-verlieren

Austrians also want the border checks back, according to the same poll:

70% favor the re-introduction of border and passport checks, like Sarkozy wants it
25% are opposed

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-grosse-mehrheit-fuer-wiedereinfuehrung-der-passkontrollen

Austrians are also against the SP-proposal to limit the average working time of Austrians to 38,5 hours a week. Currently, the average Austrian works about 43 hours each week.

50% are opposed
41% support the proposal

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-haelfte-der-oesterreicher-glaubt-nicht-an-erfolg-des-transparenzpakets
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #849 on: May 12, 2012, 11:49:50 pm »
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FP is now clearly first in the new Gallup poll for 24:



Pirates now at 7%, which is their highest share ever.

FP+Pirates+BZ are at 37% - which would be a new record for protest partys.

SPVP government (47%) is now without a majority (50% for FP/Greens/Pirates/BZ).

It also looks like the Pirates are mostly gaining from the SP, VP, Greens and BZ - but not the FP.

Approval Ratings for Austrian Party leaders:



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FP-voran-Faymann-legt-zu/65833391
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