When Will Andrew Cuomo Announce His Candidcy for Governor of New York?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:49:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  When Will Andrew Cuomo Announce His Candidcy for Governor of New York?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: When Will Andrew Cuomo Announce His Candidcy for Governor of New York?  (Read 11024 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 04, 2010, 10:45:23 PM »

Go.
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2010, 10:58:32 PM »

February 13, 2010.
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2010, 11:01:01 PM »


Is that a guess, or did he make it official?
Logged
CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2010, 11:06:58 PM »

when is the deadline?
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2010, 11:08:38 PM »


Total guess.
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,445


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 04, 2010, 11:14:07 PM »


July 22nd
Logged
Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2010, 12:03:06 AM »

Soon.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 06, 2010, 12:27:13 AM »

If he doesn't announce it in January, it probably won't happen.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 06, 2010, 12:45:07 AM »


How do you know this? 

Last I heard, the New York primaries might need to be moved up to comply with new federal rules on military absentee ballots.  The NYS Board of Elections hasn't posted their 2010 political calendar yet.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 07, 2010, 12:25:36 AM »

I doubt he announces real soon since he has superior name recognition and money.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 07, 2010, 01:38:40 AM »

When the dark clouds move in from the east and the coyotes begin to howl in the distance... that's when.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 07, 2010, 02:05:44 AM »

As an offhand thought, the less time he actually has to "campaign" for the primary, the better off Cuomo would be.  If Paterson isn't able to engage in a negative, defensive campaign, then Cuomo seems to win by default and be better positioned for the general.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 07, 2010, 07:53:04 AM »

Yeah, Cuomo could declare the day before the filing deadline and walk into the nomination. He doesn't need to announce any time soon.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 07, 2010, 08:02:13 PM »

Yeah, Cuomo could declare the day before the filing deadline and walk into the nomination. He doesn't need to announce any time soon.

It would be impossible for Cuomo to declare the day before the filing deadline in New York.  By definition, were Cuomo to wait that long, he wouldn't be the parties' nominee, and would have to go out and get enough signatures to get on the ballot.  That doesn't happen in a day - and someone would notice if Cuomo for Governor petitions were circulating sooner.

At the latest, Cuomo must declare before the NYS Democratic Party Convention, which likely will be held in May.   In the real world, he has to announce sooner than that to start to build support at the convention - probably in the next few months.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 07, 2010, 08:38:01 PM »

As an offhand thought, the less time he actually has to "campaign" for the primary, the better off Cuomo would be.  If Paterson isn't able to engage in a negative, defensive campaign, then Cuomo seems to win by default and be better positioned for the general.

Lunar - you're forgetting one thing.  The blacks won't like that type of maneuver.  And Paterson is not blind enough to miss that attack opportunity (he'd probably make it his own campaign).  Which is why it'll happen soon or not happen at all.

Add to that what cinyc said.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 07, 2010, 09:09:02 PM »

As an offhand thought, the less time he actually has to "campaign" for the primary, the better off Cuomo would be.  If Paterson isn't able to engage in a negative, defensive campaign, then Cuomo seems to win by default and be better positioned for the general.

Lunar - you're forgetting one thing.  The blacks won't like that type of maneuver.  And Paterson is not blind enough to miss that attack opportunity (he'd probably make it his own campaign). 

I don't see why entering the race early is going to help Cuomo with black voters
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 07, 2010, 11:32:27 PM »

As an offhand thought, the less time he actually has to "campaign" for the primary, the better off Cuomo would be.  If Paterson isn't able to engage in a negative, defensive campaign, then Cuomo seems to win by default and be better positioned for the general.

Lunar - you're forgetting one thing.  The blacks won't like that type of maneuver.  And Paterson is not blind enough to miss that attack opportunity (he'd probably make it his own campaign). 

I don't see why entering the race early is going to help Cuomo with black voters

I don't see why it would either.  But if he is concerned about his general election position, he should be concerned about pissing them off by appearing to sweep the black man off his pedestal (even an unpopular black man).

That problem may arise whenever he enters though.
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,693
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 08, 2010, 01:53:35 AM »

Even if the blacks aren't big on him, who cares? Who's going to beat him?

Besides I have a tough time seeing Paterson being insanely popular even among blacks.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 08, 2010, 09:54:57 AM »

Even if the blacks aren't big on him, who cares? Who's going to beat him?

Besides I have a tough time seeing Paterson being insanely popular even among blacks.

That's not what matters.  Cuomo faces the danger of black people reacting negatively to his entry on the thought that he's taking away the office from a black.  The more he acts entitled to the office, the more likely that event is to occur.

As for the general election, I doubt the Republicans have the candidate to defeat him but don't forget that the Cuomos still have a lot of enemies in NY and the black percentage of the population is not trivial.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: January 08, 2010, 11:54:48 PM »

Poll after poll has shown Cuomo absolutely murdering Paterson among blacks. A smear campaign by Paterson and the Al Sharptons of the world may damage his position among them a bit but this is a little ridiculous. Paterson is not popular with blacks or really anyone for that matter.
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: January 09, 2010, 04:00:17 PM »

If blacks start to dislike Cuomo if/when he enters (assuming Paterson stays in the race), Cuomo can always tell them that Obama personally told Paterson to withdraw from the race.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: January 09, 2010, 04:07:38 PM »

Poll after poll has shown Cuomo absolutely murdering Paterson among blacks. A smear campaign by Paterson and the Al Sharptons of the world may damage his position among them a bit but this is a little ridiculous. Paterson is not popular with blacks or really anyone for that matter.

If you don't believe me, just watch.  That assumes, of course, that he waits forever to file or actually runs at all, of course.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: January 09, 2010, 04:08:56 PM »

If blacks start to dislike Cuomo if/when he enters (assuming Paterson stays in the race), Cuomo can always tell them that Obama personally told Paterson to withdraw from the race.

And how well did it go over in NY when Obama hinted that "we want Cuomo, not you"?

NYers don't like be told what to do.  Especially by outsiders.
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: January 09, 2010, 06:32:33 PM »

If blacks start to dislike Cuomo if/when he enters (assuming Paterson stays in the race), Cuomo can always tell them that Obama personally told Paterson to withdraw from the race.

And how well did it go over in NY when Obama hinted that "we want Cuomo, not you"?

NYers don't like be told what to do.  Especially by outsiders.

Would it be better if Hillary told them? She's not an outsider (at least, not anymore).
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: January 10, 2010, 12:16:27 AM »

If blacks start to dislike Cuomo if/when he enters (assuming Paterson stays in the race), Cuomo can always tell them that Obama personally told Paterson to withdraw from the race.

And how well did it go over in NY when Obama hinted that "we want Cuomo, not you"?

NYers don't like be told what to do.  Especially by outsiders.

Would it be better if Hillary told them? She's not an outsider (at least, not anymore).

Don't worry, I'll tell them. Problem solved.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 11 queries.