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| | | |-+  IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel
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Author Topic: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel  (Read 1807 times)
Rowan
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« on: January 21, 2010, 11:22:58 am »
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IN-09(SUSA)

Sodrel(R): 49%
Hill(D-Inc): 41%

http://elections.firedoglake.com/2010/01/21/in-9-baron-hill-trailing-mike-sodrel-in-fifth-straight-match-up-41-to-49/
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ℒief
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2010, 04:25:39 pm »
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How many young people are included in this poll? 2%? 5%? 
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2010, 04:32:20 pm »
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Bye Bye.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2010, 06:38:02 pm »
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A little less cut and dry, since Sodrel still has to win the primary against that other guy.
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MSG
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« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2010, 09:24:11 pm »
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18-34 is  almost a 2-1 advantage for sodrel yeah thats gonna happen in a district thats dominated by bloomington. i would put good money that sodrel has never won that age group and probably lost by that margin the last two go arounds.  Its the older non bloomington/monroe county residents who make this a marginal republican district not the younger voters if sodrel needs the youth vote to give him a lead hes not winning let alone as JLT said he probably wont make it through the primary.
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Meeker
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2010, 09:26:37 pm »
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And so it goes.
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Bo
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2010, 09:37:21 pm »
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Hill will probably lose this time around.
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Rowan
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« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2010, 09:47:24 pm »
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18-34 is  almost a 2-1 advantage for sodrel yeah thats gonna happen in a district thats dominated by bloomington. i would put good money that sodrel has never won that age group and probably lost by that margin the last two go arounds.  Its the older non bloomington/monroe county residents who make this a marginal republican district not the younger voters if sodrel needs the youth vote to give him a lead hes not winning let alone as JLT said he probably wont make it through the primary.

There were 31 of 18-34 year olds in the entire sample. That equals a MOE of about 300000000%.
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ℒief
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2010, 11:48:34 pm »
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How many young people are included in this poll? 2%? 5%? 

Oh, there are crosstabs. Looks like my second guess was correct. Roll Eyes
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rob in cal
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« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2010, 06:48:04 pm »
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This is exactly the kind of seat the GOP needs to win if there is any chance for Speaker Boehner in Jan of 2011.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #10 on: February 05, 2010, 02:55:52 am »
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This poll is complete garbage.   Hill beat Sodrel by over 20% here in 2008 and Sodrel had upside down favorable ratings(almost 2 to 1 unfavorable) in most polls in that race.   Races where an incumbent loses and then loses again by a huge margin and after that wins again are so rare that I cant even find an example. 
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Conservative frontier
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« Reply #11 on: February 09, 2010, 05:00:53 pm »
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Ugh... I hate both candidates.

I also, am not fond of this district.

But, anyways....

I say

Hill : 54%
Sodrel : 43%

is the best case scenario for Sodrel.
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