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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
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Topic: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general (Read 722 times)
Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
on:
January 23, 2010, 06:30:27 pm »
[img]http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2008&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;9;6&AK=2;3;5&AZ=2;10;5&AR=2;6;5&CA=1;55;5&CO=2;9;4&CT=1;7;5&DE=1;3;5&DC=1;3;8&FL=2;27;5&GA=2;15;5&HI=1;4;7&ID=2;4;6&IL=1;21;5&IN=2;11;5&IA=1;7;5&KS=2;6;6&KY=2;8;5&LA=2;9;5&MD=1;10;6&MA=1;12;6&MI=1;17;5&MN=1;10;5&MS=2;6;5&MO=2;11;5&MT=2;3;5&NV=1;5;5&NH=1;4;5&NJ=1;15;5&NM=1;5;5&NY=1;31;6&NC=2;15;5&ND=2;3;5&OH=2;20;4&OK=2;7;6&OR=1;7;5&PA=1;21;5&RI=1;4;6&SC=2;8;5&SD=2;3;5&TN=2;11;5&TX=2;34;5&UT=2;5;6&VT=1;3;5&VA=2;13;5&WA=1;11;5&WV=2;
If this didn't work I'll try to post another map. I have them tied at 269. Bush winning the election without the popular vote.
Obama- Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Oregon, Michigan, Washington, New Hampshire.
Bush- Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Indiana, North Carolina, Montana.
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N.i.K.
Psychic Octopus
YaBB God
Posts: 9221
Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: 0.70
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
Reply #1 on:
January 23, 2010, 06:35:23 pm »
Bush would have destroyed Obama on the experience issue, and on political positions. The Obama of 2004 was portrayed as far more liberal then now. Bush picks up every state except Massachusetts, Vermont, and DC.
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Senator Libertas
Libertas
YaBB God
Posts: 14848
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -6.43
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
Reply #2 on:
January 23, 2010, 07:02:26 pm »
355
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183
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RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
YaBB God
Posts: 9546
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
Reply #3 on:
January 23, 2010, 07:32:09 pm »
Bush would win everything but DC.
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Quote from: independentTX on February 15, 2013, 01:44:08 am
Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.
So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
tonyreyes89
Jr. Member
Posts: 71
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
Reply #4 on:
January 24, 2010, 05:13:50 pm »
Quote from: Libertas on January 23, 2010, 07:02:26 pm
355
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183
This
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
Reply #5 on:
January 24, 2010, 08:01:23 pm »
Bush/Cheney-468 EV-61.23% PV
Obama/Edwards-70 EV-37.79% PV
NY and MD could go either way. Bush would easily defeat Obama in 2004 due to the experience issue (Bush would say that it is too dangerous giving a state senator the nuclear button when the U.S. is constantly facing the threat of terrorism), due to Obama's staunch liberalism, and due to the good economy in 2004.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
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Reply #6 on:
January 29, 2010, 01:23:09 pm »
http://
I was more meaning both of them in their primes. I think it would be close, but the states would've been further apart. For example, Obama would win New York by just as large of a margin and Bush would win Texas by just as much of a margin.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Bush 2004 vs Obama in general
«
Reply #7 on:
January 29, 2010, 01:24:15 pm »
Of course Bush would've won in 2004 and Obama would have won in 2008. They would've each gone over 500 electoral votes in the elections they won against the other one.
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