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| | |-+  Who has the best chance of winning the GOP primary AND beating Obama?
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Poll
Question: Who has the best chance of winning the GOP primary AND beating Obama?
Romney   -18 (34%)
Huckabee   -5 (9.4%)
Pawlenty   -9 (17%)
Palin   -4 (7.5%)
Thune   -7 (13.2%)
Brown   -2 (3.8%)
Gingrich   -2 (3.8%)
Other   -6 (11.3%)
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Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Who has the best chance of winning the GOP primary AND beating Obama?  (Read 3233 times)
Less-Progressivism, More Realism
Progressive Realist
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« on: January 31, 2010, 12:52:36 am »
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I see some candidates doing better in the general but losing the Republican primary, while other candidates doing better in the primary but losing the general.

What do you think?
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Ready 4 Reform.
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« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2010, 12:54:10 am »
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In before somebody posts "Other: Gary Johnson".
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Senator Libertas
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« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2010, 12:58:01 am »
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In before somebody posts "Other: Gary Johnson".

Yes, why wasn't he included in the poll?
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Sewer
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« Reply #3 on: January 31, 2010, 01:08:50 am »
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In before somebody posts "Other: Gary Johnson".

Yes, why wasn't he included in the poll?

He has no chance of winning the GOP primary.
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xavier110
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« Reply #4 on: January 31, 2010, 01:10:07 am »
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LOL.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: January 31, 2010, 08:03:11 am »
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Other -- but that requires Teddy Roosevelt coming back from the dead!

The twenty-second Amendment precludes Dwight Eisenhower.
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« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2010, 04:04:53 pm »
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In before somebody posts "Other: Gary Johnson".

Yes, why wasn't he included in the poll?

I actually have to agree with Libertas.  Johnson should be included before Brown.
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Mint
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« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2010, 04:11:35 pm »
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Other. I think that the field is so weak that some dark horse or a previously non-political candidate like Petraeus could take it.
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Grumps
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« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2010, 04:46:33 pm »
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None
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In one thread -

« Last Edit: April 23, 2014, 11:45:57 pm by True Federalist »

« Last Edit: April 23, 2014, 11:43:45 pm by True Federalist »

« Last Edit: April 23, 2014, 11:41:31 pm by True Federalist »

-------------------------

Good call on the edit, Ernest.  We don't want the jailed mass murderer to call Dave on copyright infringement.
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« Reply #9 on: February 01, 2010, 07:33:55 pm »
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Romney, followed by T-Paw.
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DS0816
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« Reply #10 on: February 02, 2010, 12:13:57 am »
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Primary? …Whoever is the best-funded candidate.

General? …Won't be happening for the Republican Party.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #11 on: February 02, 2010, 12:18:37 am »
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Primary? …Whoever is the best-funded candidate.

General? …Won't be happening for the Republican Party.

It's way too early to call this election a done deal.
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« Reply #12 on: February 02, 2010, 04:46:19 am »
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Primary? …Whoever is the best-funded candidate.

General? …Won't be happening for the Republican Party.

It's way too early to call this election a done deal.

Too early? …Sure. I can give you that.
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« Reply #13 on: February 02, 2010, 03:00:01 pm »
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I think the 22nd would also preclude zombie TR who served over 7 years

As to the original question, Huckaber.  Lowest unfavorables among Republicans and the strongest in head to head polls vs Obama.
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Alaska Thunderfvck
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« Reply #14 on: February 02, 2010, 04:57:59 pm »
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Jon Huntsman?

Hell id probably vote for him.
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« Reply #15 on: February 02, 2010, 05:56:03 pm »
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Unfortunately for Republicans, those two things are virtually exclusive. The Republican primary voters will want someone farther to the right and the general voting populace is unlikely to hand the presidency over to a teabagger or neocon. Therefore...
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« Reply #16 on: February 02, 2010, 06:29:21 pm »
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Jon Huntsman?

Hell id probably vote for him.

Why?
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« Reply #17 on: February 02, 2010, 07:33:30 pm »
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I think the 22nd would also preclude zombie TR who served over 7 years

I don't expect any rising of the dead, either.

That I bring up Theodore Roosevelt, the second-strongest peacetime President ever, says much about Obama.  I could also bring up Eisenhower for at least one comparison (getting a truce in Korea, making a dignified exit from Iraq) as arguably the third-strongest peacetime President to date. (Unlike most historians, and I am only an amateur, I do not consider Truman a peacetime President due to the Korean War). If one is going to be a President in peacetime, a composite of Theodore Roosevelt (major reformer) and Dwight Eisenhower (make no egregious errors) is the one to aspire to. Jefferson is out of reach, as no equivalent of the Louisiana Purchase is now available, and there are no big nasty wars to evade.  

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As to the original question, Huckabee.  Lowest unfavorables among Republicans and the strongest in head to head polls vs Obama.

Huckabee has arguably the highest floor against Obama because he can hold onto the Clinton-but-not-Obama states while holding onto Georgia and South Carolina and perhaps picking off North Carolina. He also has a lower ceiling because he has no Northern affinities.  Problem is, he released an eventual cop-killer.

« Last Edit: February 02, 2010, 11:42:46 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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ARescan
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« Reply #18 on: February 02, 2010, 09:00:25 pm »
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I'm going with Pawlenty, although Romney could definitely win.
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Jensen
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« Reply #19 on: February 03, 2010, 01:09:20 am »
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Pawlenty or Romney probably. Who knows. The environment in 2012 will be radically different.
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« Reply #20 on: February 03, 2010, 02:02:45 am »
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Romney
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« Reply #21 on: February 03, 2010, 02:40:04 am »
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Romney probably. I have a growing suspicion however that if Thune were to run, he'd win the nomination. If Obama is doing bad enough then....

I think that Obama wouldn't need to do as badly to lose to Romney.
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Alaska Thunderfvck
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« Reply #22 on: February 03, 2010, 04:33:26 pm »
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Jon Huntsman?

Hell id probably vote for him.

Why?

He's not so bad I guess.
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« Reply #23 on: February 03, 2010, 05:29:36 pm »
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Pawlenty or Romney probably. Who knows. The environment in 2012 will be radically different.

I saw that and instantly laughed out loud.
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« Reply #24 on: February 04, 2010, 05:02:35 pm »
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Mitch Daniels
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" But freedom to differ is not limited to things that do not matter much. That would be a mere shadow of freedom. The test of its substance is the right to differ as to things that touch the heart of the existing order."
- Justice Robert Jackson WV SBE v Barnette
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