Critz vs. Burns for PA-12

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Murtha's Widow Will Not Run for His Seat

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Murtha's widow endorsed his aide, Mark Critz.

That will help, since Singel and Hafer have excellent name recognition.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

I predict a Democratic hold.  Why?  The Sestak-Specter primary is the same day as election day, meaning high Democratic turnout.

Kudos to Lunar and Brandon. IMHO that alone doesn't explain Critz's winning by a full 9 points, but was undoubtedly a substantial part of it.

Good prognostication 3 months beforehand!

Badger, I think it's clear that Murtha's district wanted more Murtha, thereby electing what would have been his hand-picked successor. 

Also, his ads always started "Millionaire Tim Burns........"   Very effective in a District that's not well off.

Critz to me is scum, but he doesn't have enough power in the House yet to do serious harm.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Obviously Critz was helped somewhat by running a fantastic campaign.

Lying is fantastic?

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Obviously Critz was helped somewhat by running a fantastic campaign.

Lying is fantastic?

The tax thing?  Yeah that's a lie.  ("So and so wants to INSTITUTE A NATIONAL SALES TAX" [and remove the income tax])


But he had an effective messaging of opposing health care, being pro-life and pro-gun, but without antagonizing his union supporters etc.

Oh he learned well from Murtha. 

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

The rematch in the fall will be interesting, I think.