Will Republicans lose any Senate seats?
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  Will Republicans lose any Senate seats?
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Poll
Question: Which seats will Republicans lose in 2010?
#1
None - Party like its 1994!
 
#2
Missouri
 
#3
Ohio
 
#4
New Hampshire
 
#5
Kentucky
 
#6
Florida
 
#7
North Carolina
 
#8
Other (unmentioned state)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 50

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Author Topic: Will Republicans lose any Senate seats?  (Read 2549 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #25 on: February 19, 2010, 10:23:42 AM »

None, they hold and gain 7-9 seats.

Are you revising your predictions down? You said the worst case scenario for Republicans was a gain of 9 seats on Wednesday.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #26 on: February 19, 2010, 01:14:27 PM »

I say 4-6 seats, net gain, the GOP will have to sweep every battleground race and the Dems pick up none and thats highly unlikely. I believe MO and OH are tossups and NH is in the lean category.  If Strickland can win his race, OH becomes more of a tossup. 
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KeeptheChange
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« Reply #27 on: February 19, 2010, 02:35:28 PM »

None, they hold and gain 7-9 seats.

Pretty much.  Though by November, I am confident things will be so bad for the country economically that the gain might be 9-11 seats.  And we'll retake the House, also.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #28 on: February 20, 2010, 11:39:40 AM »

I say 4-6 seats, net gain, the GOP will have to sweep every battleground race and the Dems pick up none and thats highly unlikely. I believe MO and OH are tossups and NH is in the lean category.  If Strickland can win his race, OH becomes more of a tossup. 

There's no way Missouri is tossup.  It's lean-D at worst.  Robin Carnahan will tear Roy Blunt apart.  You forget the power of the name "Carnahan" in Missouri politics.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #29 on: February 20, 2010, 12:12:21 PM »

MO, NH, OH, and NC are as possibilities. Obviously they aren't if the election is held tomorrow, but it will actually be held in November, something people seem to forget.
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Rowan
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« Reply #30 on: February 20, 2010, 12:14:09 PM »

I say 4-6 seats, net gain, the GOP will have to sweep every battleground race and the Dems pick up none and thats highly unlikely. I believe MO and OH are tossups and NH is in the lean category.  If Strickland can win his race, OH becomes more of a tossup. 

There's no way Missouri is tossup.  It's lean-D at worst.  Robin Carnahan will tear Roy Blunt apart.  You forget the power of the name "Carnahan" in Missouri politics.

Lean-D? Have you been paying attention to the polling lately?
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Franzl
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« Reply #31 on: February 20, 2010, 12:15:33 PM »

I say 4-6 seats, net gain, the GOP will have to sweep every battleground race and the Dems pick up none and thats highly unlikely. I believe MO and OH are tossups and NH is in the lean category.  If Strickland can win his race, OH becomes more of a tossup. 

There's no way Missouri is tossup.  It's lean-D at worst.  Robin Carnahan will tear Roy Blunt apart.  You forget the power of the name "Carnahan" in Missouri politics.

I'd call it lean-R, actually. Missouri doesn't seem to care about the name anymore.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #32 on: February 20, 2010, 06:05:29 PM »

I say 4-6 seats, net gain, the GOP will have to sweep every battleground race and the Dems pick up none and thats highly unlikely. I believe MO and OH are tossups and NH is in the lean category.  If Strickland can win his race, OH becomes more of a tossup. 

There's no way Missouri is tossup.  It's lean-D at worst.  Robin Carnahan will tear Roy Blunt apart.  You forget the power of the name "Carnahan" in Missouri politics.

Lean-D? Have you been paying attention to the polling lately?

Most of which have been Rasmussen, so take that with a grain of salt.. and we all know how polls are always correct (see New Hampshire).

I'd call MO tossup with the best chance at flipping simply because you have an unethical Washington insider who's funneled by DC lobbyists and a right-wing nut job with an unpopular last name going up against a moderate, respected and popular member of a dynasty in the state who in 2008 received more votes cast for any candidate in Missouri history. Blunt has the national atmosphere at his back and can feed off the anti-Obama sentiment that runs rampant throughout the country, particularly in the rural areas where Obama was never all that popular. I guess it also depends on turnout. Blunt will rack up the margins in Southwest Missouri in his home congressional district (the most conservative part of the state); it just really depends on how well he does in the other rural parts of the state in northern and Southeast Missouri. African American turnout will probably be low, which will hurt Robin, but she could make up for it depending on how strong her message is in the rural counties which in 2008 she proved she has no problem winning, and yes, I realize a U.S. Senate race is different from a statewide election as Secretary of State. Pure tossup right now, and the campaign hasn't even started yet here in Missouri. A lot can happen in between now and November.

If MO doesn't flip, then I doubt any other seats will flip and I can see Republicans holding onto all the other open seats. If MO does flip, that opens up the possibility for NH and OH in that order.
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