Texas gubernatorial primary: final predictions

[Mr. Morden]

This is coming up in just a few days, isn't it?  Anyone want to make a final prediction on the %ages?

[Eraserhead]

Perry 51%
Hutchinson 37%
Medina 12%

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Perry - 48
Hutchison - 34
Medina - 18

And for the Democrats:

White - 65
Shami - 23
Other - 12

[ej2mm15]

Perry 48%
Hutchinson 31%
Medina 21%

White 70%
Shami 20%
Alvarado 7%
Aguado 3%

[tmthforu94]

Republican Primary:
Perry - 46%
Hutchison - 35%
Medine - 19%

Democratic Primary:
White - 72%
Shami - 18%
Alvarado - 7%
Aguado - 3%

[Franzl]

I don't know enough to make a full prediction, but Texas Republicans are stupid enough to give Perry a large margin.

I say Perry avoids the run-off.

[CatoMinor]

Republican Primary:
Perry - 48%
Hutchison - 34%
Medina - 18%

Democratic Primary:
White - 76%
Shami - 16%
Alvarado - 6%
Aguado - 3%

[HappyWarrior]

So no one thinks that Hutchison will win?

[Eraserhead]

So no one thinks that Hutchison will win?

There is absolutely no reason to think she will. The funny thing, I think, is that Debra "9/11 might have been an inside job" Medina is almost certainly still going to crack double digits in a Republican primary in Texas (of all places).

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

So no one thinks that Hutchison will win?

There is absolutely no reason to think she will. The funny thing, I think, is that Debra "9/11 might have been an inside job" Medina is almost certainly still going to crack double digits in a Republican primary in Texas (of all places).

That would be great. Even better if she beats that hack Hutchison.

[CatoMinor]

So no one thinks that Hutchison will win?

No, Perry has done a thorough job of pointing out in baisicly every one of his adds "SHE VOTED FOR THE BAILOUT!!!!!!!!!!!1111!!!!!!1!!!"

[Barnes]

Poor Kay.

I mean, of course I don't want the Republicans to win, but, since this is Texas, Hutchison is about the best you can get.

[California8429]

Perry 46%
Hutchinson 33%
Medina 21%

White 69%
Shami 21%
Alvarado 8%
Aguado 2%

[Joe Biden 2020]

Perry wins a narrow victory setting himself up for a good general election campaign on his way to a third term, unfortunately.

[Vepres]

I'm holding out hope for Hutchinson, though I don't have to best track record of supporting winning candidates

[Lief 🗽]

Perry: 52%
Hutchison: 32%
Medina: 16%

White: 74%
Shami: 15%
Other: 11%

[The Mikado]

I'll go with Lief's numbers for the Dems, as they're as good as any.  For the GOP, I'm saying Perry 56, Hutchinson 29, Medina 15.  KBH's voters are disheartened and won't show up.

[Dan the Roman]

I'll go with Lief's numbers for the Dems, as they're as good as any.  For the GOP, I'm saying Perry 56, Hutchinson 29, Medina 15.  KBH's voters are disheartened and won't show up.

Which is bad news for the SBOE  races and hence for the country.

Anyway,

Perry 53
Hutchison 31
Medina 16

[Sam Spade]

Right now, it's about a 50-50 shot that Perry gets 50% and avoids the runoff.  That's really all that matters.

[Niemeyerite]

Perry 45%
Hutchinson 38%
Medina 17%

---------

White 65%
Shami 15%
Others 20%

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Perry 44%
Hutchinson 36%
The truther nutjob 20%

[Хahar 🤔]

It's not Hutchinson, damn it.

[Eraserhead]

Right now, it's about a 50-50 shot that Perry gets 50% and avoids the runoff.  That's really all that matters.

I'd still be interested in hearing what number you think Medina will pull in...

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/politics/Early-voting-numbers-doubled

Turnout (based on early voting) seems to be high. No idea what that means.

[Eraserhead]

http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/politics/Early-voting-numbers-doubled

Turnout (based on early voting) seems to be high. No idea what that means.

Good news for Medina (?)