Who was the last Republican to win a majority of the Native American vote?
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  Who was the last Republican to win a majority of the Native American vote?
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Author Topic: Who was the last Republican to win a majority of the Native American vote?  (Read 1952 times)
redcommander
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« on: March 14, 2010, 04:00:34 PM »

I know Coolidge did in 24, but who more recently. Did Ben Nighthorse Campbell win a majority when he was in senate?
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Bo
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2010, 04:02:45 PM »

You're talking about all political races, right? In that case, maybe Tom Cole in 2008.
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redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2010, 04:03:35 PM »

Yeah, not local though. Presidential, Senatorial, or House.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2010, 04:04:20 PM »

Yeah, not local though. Presidential, Senatorial, or House.

Tom Cole is in the House of Represenatitives, though, so he counts.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2010, 04:09:30 PM »

Presumably Jo Bonner did in 2008 when he got 98.27% of the vote.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2010, 04:10:25 PM »

Presumably Jo Bonner did in 2008 when he got 98.27% of the vote.

Did he have a Democratic opponent that year? If not, he doesn't count.
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redcommander
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2010, 04:10:36 PM »
« Edited: March 14, 2010, 04:13:02 PM by redcommander »

Actually I just realized since this is the Presidential forum so should I make it the Presidential vote.? That's very interesting though. I didn't know Republicans had an elected official of Native American heritage in Congress presently. Do you think he might run for higher office someday?
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2010, 04:12:28 PM »

Actually I just realized since this is the Presidential forum so should I make it the Presidential vote.? That's very interesting though. I didn't know Republicans had an elected official of Native American heritage in Congress presently.

In that case, Ike might have won the Native American vote.
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2010, 04:18:44 PM »

Presumably Jo Bonner did in 2008 when he got 98.27% of the vote.

Did he have a Democratic opponent that year? If not, he doesn't count.

No. Well, if someone wants the opposite question, when is the last time that a Democrat won a majority of X group while having a Republican opponent. Serrano beat Mohamed 97-3 in NY-16 in 2008.
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Bo
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2010, 05:09:54 PM »

Hoover in 1928 also probably did. He had a Native American VP, after all.
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redcommander
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« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2010, 05:47:04 PM »

That's probably true. I can't seem to find detailed information on the exact percentages of the Native American vote for Republican presidential candidates though.
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Nym90
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« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2010, 10:20:51 PM »

Really no way to know for certain......the overwhelmingly Native counties could give us some clue, but without precinct data it'd be impossible to get anything resembling an accurate overall tally.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2010, 04:29:44 AM »

Really no way to know for certain......the overwhelmingly Native counties could give us some clue, but without precinct data it'd be impossible to get anything resembling an accurate overall tally.
For the question as posed, though, they'd be thoroughly misleading. The offrez (self-identifying) Native American population is not really all that like the reservation population. Well, parts of it are, of course.

As to the major reservations (of actually Native population, not the overrun ones), they've been overwhelmingly Democratic, with very low turnouts, ever since news about federal events started reaching them. Until the 1920s they didn't have the vote at all, and in between there's a short time window where they voted for whichever party controlled access to information - the Sioux rezs voted Republican in the 20s and 30s IIRC.
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useful idiot
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« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2010, 04:37:37 AM »

Well in most of east Oklahoma the highest reported ancestry is Native American, and most of those counties went heavily to McCain; this leads me to believe that Republicans running in the House, Senate, and for Governor there have probably at some point captured a majority of the NA vote. Reservations west of OK have gone heavily Democrat though obviously...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2010, 05:05:53 AM »

Well in most of east Oklahoma the highest reported ancestry is Native American, and most of those counties went heavily to McCain; this leads me to believe that Republicans running in the House, Senate, and for Governor there have probably at some point captured a majority of the NA vote. Reservations west of OK have gone heavily Democrat though obviously...
A majority of Native American identifiers in Oklahoma (though not all. By no means.) are not like what we call Native Americans. They're more like hillbillies with a part-Cherokee grandma.

Except that in their case, both their grandmas are part-Cherokee.
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Nym90
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« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2010, 01:55:37 PM »

Really no way to know for certain......the overwhelmingly Native counties could give us some clue, but without precinct data it'd be impossible to get anything resembling an accurate overall tally.
For the question as posed, though, they'd be thoroughly misleading. The offrez (self-identifying) Native American population is not really all that like the reservation population. Well, parts of it are, of course.

As to the major reservations (of actually Native population, not the overrun ones), they've been overwhelmingly Democratic, with very low turnouts, ever since news about federal events started reaching them. Until the 1920s they didn't have the vote at all, and in between there's a short time window where they voted for whichever party controlled access to information - the Sioux rezs voted Republican in the 20s and 30s IIRC.

Ah, ok. So what you are saying is there are very few heavily Native precincts offrez. That makes sense then.
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« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2010, 02:35:15 PM »

Hoover in 1928 also probably did. He had a Native American VP, after all.

No, he didn't.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #17 on: March 15, 2010, 02:36:41 PM »

What I was getting at is there's quite a sizable population of Native (and mixed, part Native) census identifiers who don't live anywhere near a reservation, do not live in identifiably Native neighborhoods, are really quite well integrated into the White population, are frequently way overstating their Native ancestry, and are without a doubt far less Democratic than the Reservation population, though there's no way of knowing exactly what they vote like. A tally of how the Native population as a whole voted ought to include them, especially as there's every shade of gray between the person as described above, and the offrez fullblood who just happens to be currently living offrez but is otherwise quite like the reservation population.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2019, 10:30:21 AM »

I know Coolidge did in 24, but who more recently. Did Ben Nighthorse Campbell win a majority when he was in senate?

I do not know for sure, but looking at the county results in Colorado's 1998 Senatorial race, it would appear that he did. He must also have won, or come close to winning, Hispanics that year as well:

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TDAS04
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« Reply #19 on: September 07, 2019, 12:36:22 PM »

Hoover in 1928 also probably did. He had a Native American VP, after all.

Oddly enough, the big reservations in South Dakota flipped for Smith.
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