Which of these French Regions will the UMP win ?
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  Which of these French Regions will the UMP win ?
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Question: Which of these French Regions will the UMP win ?
#1
None
 
#2
Alsace
 
#3
Guyane
 
#4
Alsace and Guyane
 
#5
Alsace, Guyane and Corse
 
#6
Alsace, Guyane, Corse and one or two others
 
#7
More than 5 regions
 
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Total Voters: 10

Author Topic: Which of these French Regions will the UMP win ?  (Read 1293 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« on: March 15, 2010, 11:53:11 AM »

Well, it's interesting, though the suspense is very limited...

My head says that they'll win Alsace and Guyane, but my heart says they'll keep none. We'll see. Tongue
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2010, 01:36:35 AM »

Alsace, Corse and Guyane most likely.
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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
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« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2010, 05:14:14 AM »

Is this for the 2012 Presidential Election or some other election?

I don't know enough to say. The only French Elections I've followed are the 2002 and 2007 Presidential ones.
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big bad fab
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« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2010, 06:43:26 AM »

Corse: of course not.

Alsace: most probably.

Guyane: it's very fluid between 2 rounds... and even if the DVG supported by the UMP wins, frankly, this wouldn't be a UMP victory. Not at all (even if, on Sunday, Xavier Bertrand will say it Grin).
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2010, 07:13:00 AM »
« Edited: March 16, 2010, 07:15:28 AM by Antonio V »

Corse: of course not.

Alsace: most probably.

Guyane: it's very fluid between 2 rounds... and even if the DVG supported by the UMP wins, frankly, this wouldn't be a UMP victory. Not at all (even if, on Sunday, Xavier Bertrand will say it Grin).

Well, at least symbolically, it will be a victory for the right.


Is this for the 2012 Presidential Election or some other election?

I don't know enough to say. The only French Elections I've followed are the 2002 and 2007 Presidential ones.

We just had Regional elections last Sunday (the equivalent of your gubernatiorial elections), and we'll have the runoff next Sunday. Wink
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Hash
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« Reply #5 on: March 16, 2010, 08:27:27 AM »

In Corse, what has been picked up by the media is the total annihilation of the right, I mean they got 21% with no dissident lists. With the left certainly going to unite, the question there is whether or not the UMP can manage to come second in the runoff or if they'll fall third behind Simeoni. It's lost.

Even in Alsace, the left is ahead of the right. Richert can win with around 50% of MoDem voters, almost all Alsace d'abord voters (they voted Zeller in 2004, not FN. The UMP can hold it.

In Guyane, it all depends on what the dissidents do. Apart from Roger Arel, I know next to nothing about the DVD candidates and whether or not they're egomaniacs or results of a major civil war inside the right which makes them hostile to the official candidate. Though a UMP victory here wouldn't be surprising: Alexandre is a good popular centre-left candidate, Taubira is an annoying sod and has never been amazingly popular in local elections in Guyane, and a UMP victory would make funds from Paris easier to come through.

No chances in any other regions. 
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big bad fab
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« Reply #6 on: March 16, 2010, 09:18:05 AM »

In Corse, what has been picked up by the media is the total annihilation of the right, I mean they got 21% with no dissident lists. With the left certainly going to unite, the question there is whether or not the UMP can manage to come second in the runoff or if they'll fall third behind Simeoni. It's lost.


Unity has been reached between the 4 left lists in Corse.
Game over for the UMP.
And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister Wink
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Hash
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« Reply #7 on: March 16, 2010, 10:54:33 AM »

In Corse, what has been picked up by the media is the total annihilation of the right, I mean they got 21% with no dissident lists. With the left certainly going to unite, the question there is whether or not the UMP can manage to come second in the runoff or if they'll fall third behind Simeoni. It's lost.


Unity has been reached between the 4 left lists in Corse.
Game over for the UMP.
And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister Wink

Yes, indeed. Giacobbi will be President of the executive and Bucchini the Communist will be President of the assembly. First big regional spot for a communist.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #8 on: March 16, 2010, 11:31:21 AM »

And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister Wink

He was considered as likely to join the government ? Huh Didn't know.
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Hash
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« Reply #9 on: March 16, 2010, 11:40:09 AM »

And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister Wink

He was considered as likely to join the government ? Huh Didn't know.

Yes, back in September/October 2009 or something.
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big bad fab
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« Reply #10 on: March 16, 2010, 11:43:52 AM »

And game over for Giacobbi as Sarkozy's minister Wink

He was considered as likely to join the government ? Huh Didn't know.

Yes, back in September/October 2009 or something.

In July-October... Wink you know how Sarkozy like to speak about remaniement but never doing it...
With also Villepinist Georges Tron and with Axel Poniatowski (game over for him also !!).
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big bad fab
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« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2010, 09:49:02 AM »

And Bretagne !

Malgorn 43%
Le Drian 42,5%
Hascoet 14,5%

Grin
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2010, 10:53:04 AM »

And Bretagne !

Malgorn 43%
Le Drian 42,5%
Hascoet 14,5%

Grin


Wow... Hash wouldn't be happy... Tongue
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big bad fab
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« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2010, 10:57:11 AM »

And Bretagne !

Malgorn 43%
Le Drian 42,5%
Hascoet 14,5%

Grin


Wow... Hash wouldn't be happy... Tongue

En fait, je ris jaune du brillant succès de l'UMP en perspective dans la région Bretagne.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2010, 11:01:11 AM »

And Bretagne !

Malgorn 43%
Le Drian 42,5%
Hascoet 14,5%

Grin


Wow... Hash wouldn't be happy... Tongue

En fait, je ris jaune du brillant succès de l'UMP en perspective dans la région Bretagne.

Yeah, I supposed that (anyways with the current situation it's probably the second metropolitan region you have the most chances to win Wink).
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Hash
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« Reply #15 on: March 17, 2010, 11:15:19 AM »

Don't forget the likely UMP victory in Limousin against a divided left!
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #16 on: March 17, 2010, 11:22:15 AM »

Don't forget the likely UMP victory in Limousin against a divided left!

Grin
Actually I don't understand why they bothered to even try to reach an agreement there. Let's just run separately where we're able to ! Tongue
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phk
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« Reply #17 on: March 17, 2010, 12:54:58 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2010, 01:16:18 PM by phknrocket1k »

Well, it's interesting, though the suspense is very limited...

My head says that they'll win Alsace and Guyane, but my heart says they'll keep none. We'll see. Tongue

1: 10 gcd, diophantine
2: 10 induction
3: 10 sets
4: 10 set proof
5: 10 surjection
6: 5 n choose k
7: 5 equivalence
8: 0 Q-R countable
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #18 on: March 17, 2010, 01:00:42 PM »

Well, it's interesting, though the suspense is very limited...

My head says that they'll win Alsace and Guyane, but my heart says they'll keep none. We'll see. Tongue

1: 10 gcd, diophantine
2: 10 induction
3: 10 sets
4: 10 set proof
5: 5 n choose k
6: 5 equivalence
7: 5, Q-R countable

Hm... Traduction ?
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phk
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« Reply #19 on: March 17, 2010, 03:06:43 PM »

Well, it's interesting, though the suspense is very limited...

My head says that they'll win Alsace and Guyane, but my heart says they'll keep none. We'll see. Tongue

1: 10 gcd, diophantine
2: 10 induction
3: 10 sets
4: 10 set proof
5: 5 n choose k
6: 5 equivalence
7: 5, Q-R countable

Hm... Traduction ?

1: 10 gcd, diophantine
2: 10 induction
3: 10 sets
4: 10 set proof
5: 10 surjection
6: 10 n choose k
7: 3 equivalence
8: 5 Q-R countable
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #20 on: March 19, 2010, 12:08:13 AM »

Well, it's interesting, though the suspense is very limited...

My head says that they'll win Alsace and Guyane, but my heart says they'll keep none. We'll see. Tongue

1: 10 gcd, diophantine
2: 10 induction
3: 10 sets
4: 10 set proof
5: 5 n choose k
6: 5 equivalence
7: 5, Q-R countable

Hm... Traduction ?

Translation. Speak English. Smiley
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #21 on: March 19, 2010, 01:48:09 AM »

Well, it's interesting, though the suspense is very limited...

My head says that they'll win Alsace and Guyane, but my heart says they'll keep none. We'll see. Tongue

1: 10 gcd, diophantine
2: 10 induction
3: 10 sets
4: 10 set proof
5: 5 n choose k
6: 5 equivalence
7: 5, Q-R countable

Hm... Traduction ?

Translation. Speak English. Smiley

Damn it. Each time I make an English mistake, you're here. Tongue

Thanks. Wink
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #22 on: March 19, 2010, 02:03:25 PM »

Seems Reunion is in play as well for the UMP.
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