Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2013, 08:59:56 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 House Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R): Favorables of Dems in Key Districts
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R): Favorables of Dems in Key Districts  (Read 1555 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27995
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« on: March 17, 2010, 02:54:51 pm »
Ignore

Favorable ratings in key swing districts according to GOP firm Ayres, McHenry & Associates (400 Likely Voters in each district, MoE=4.9%, March 8-10, 2010):

AZ-08 (Gabrielle Giffords): 51% Favorable, 35% Unfavorable (2008: Giffords 55%, Republican 43%)

CO-04 (Betsy Markey): 36% Favorable, 37% Unfavorable (2008: Markey 56%, Republican 44%)

FL-02 (Allen Boyd): 42% Favorable, 38% Unfavorable (2008: Boyd 62%, Republican 38%)

NC-08 (Larry Kissell): 35% Favorable, 22% Unfavorable (2008: Kissell 55%, Republican 45%)

NV-03 (Dina Titus): 41% Favorable, 43% Unfavorable (2008: Titus 47%, Republican 42%)

NY-24 (Michael Arcuri): 47% Favorable, 24% Unfavorable (2008: Arcuri 52%, Republican 48%)

OH-01 (Steve Driehaus): 48% Favorable, 33% Unfavorable (2008: Driehaus 53%, Republican 47%)

PA-04 (Jason Altmire): 54% Favorable, 22% Unfavorable (2008: Altmire 56%, Republican 44%)

TX-17 (Chet Edwards): 51% Favorable, 33% Unfavorable (2008: Edwards 53%, Republican 46%)

VA-02 (Glenn Nye): 48% Favorable, 18% Unfavorable (2008: Nye 52%, Republican 48%)

http://innovation.cq.com/atlas/district_08
Logged
Senator Ben
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29801
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: 0.35

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2010, 03:01:14 pm »
Ignore

VA-02 (Glenn Nye): 48% Favorable, 18% Unfavorable (2008: Nye 52%, Republican 48%)

Weird.
Logged

Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
ajc0918
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1322
United States


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2010, 05:23:05 pm »
Ignore

Favorable ratings in key swing districts according to GOP firm Ayres, McHenry & Associates (400 Likely Voters in each district, MoE=4.9%, March 8-10, 2010):

FL-02 (Allen Boyd): 42% Favorable, 38% Unfavorable (2008: Boyd 62%, Republican 38%)

NC-08 (Larry Kissell): 35% Favorable, 22% Unfavorable (2008: Kissell 55%, Republican 45%)

http://innovation.cq.com/atlas/district_08

These two surprised me, I expected Boyd to be more favorable, but then again it is a R+6 seat. If he loses his primary (very unlikely but it could happen to Al Lawson) this seat could be up for grabs
And Kissell looks pretty secure.
Logged

Badger
badger
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8531
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2010, 05:40:01 pm »
Ignore

Good numbers for Altmire. Surprisingly strong numbers for Dreihaus which makes me wonder why Chabot is beating him so badly in polls.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6854


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2010, 05:55:25 pm »
Ignore

Head-to-head matchups might mean something. Just because a candidate in a Republican district is liked doesn't mean the voters won't dump them for a Republican.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8052
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2010, 05:57:49 pm »
Ignore

I'd very much like to see some for NY-20 (Scott Murphy) and NY-23 (Bill Owens). I wonder how they'd go considering they were special election wins...
Logged


Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27121


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2010, 06:03:46 pm »
Ignore

AZ-08 (Gabrielle Giffords): 51% Favorable, 35% Unfavorable (2008: Giffords 55%, Republican 43%)

But Carl assured me she was going to lose in a landslide!!!
Logged



Proud Member of the International Posters' Union
Badger
badger
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8531
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2010, 06:13:04 pm »
Ignore

AZ-08 (Gabrielle Giffords): 51% Favorable, 35% Unfavorable (2008: Giffords 55%, Republican 43%)

But Carl assured me she was going to lose in a landslide!!!

Yes, she's completely alienated her district you know.

This Republican pollster is obviously showing its liberal bias.
Logged
Senator X
jdb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6084
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2010, 07:21:23 pm »
Ignore

Good numbers for Altmire. Surprisingly strong numbers for Dreihaus which makes me wonder why Chabot is beating him so badly in polls.

Driehaus was trailing badly in one poll (and a farly suspect one at that), there has been no other polling of the district, nor much evidence to suggest anything, but another close race.
Logged

Cool Grin Tongue Smiley Sad Huh Angry Wink Roll Eyes Undecided Cheesy
Shocked Lips sealed

Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53025
Norway


View Profile WWW
« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2010, 09:16:00 pm »
Ignore

These numbers aren't telling us much that we didn't know (or ought to have guessed) already.
Logged

'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27978


Political Matrix
E: 2.84, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2010, 09:19:03 pm »
Ignore

These numbers aren't telling us much that we didn't know (or ought to have guessed) already.

Yep.
Logged
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30154
Paraguay


Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30


View Profile WWW
« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2010, 10:55:07 pm »
Ignore

Popular incumbents or non-polarizing incumbents. Who'd have guessed?
Logged



Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 36286
United States


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: March 18, 2010, 11:10:51 pm »
Ignore

I'd very much like to see some for NY-20 (Scott Murphy) and NY-23 (Bill Owens).

I want to see NY-19 (John Hall) too.
Logged
Vepres
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8146
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: March 18, 2010, 11:19:58 pm »
Ignore

Markey is probably going down because of her party, regardless of her merits.
Logged

LOL, Failure

Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6854


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: March 19, 2010, 07:28:53 am »
Ignore

Markey is probably going down because of her party, regardless of her merits.

I'm hearing that Cory Gardner is a gaffe machine. Any truth to that?
Logged
So the Heroes Fall
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 68062
Sweden


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: March 19, 2010, 10:40:23 am »
Ignore

AZ-08 (Gabrielle Giffords): 51% Favorable, 35% Unfavorable (2008: Giffords 55%, Republican 43%)

LOL.
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory