I think Gore would have beaten McCain easily.
Why? McCain was perceived as more moderate than Bush Jr., was a "war hero", and didn't have a DUI story. I think McCain would have easily beat Gore.
McCain would have won NH, but Gore would have won Florida. The Bush name probably swung a lot of people in Florida, otherwise I think they would have gone with Gore.
McCain in 2000 probably would have had a decent shot at winning back some of the blue firewall states the GOP hadn't won since 1988.
I agree.
I think McCain would have had a shot in Oregon, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania