1976: Gerald Ford vs. Jimmy Carter with no OPEC oil embargo
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April 19, 2024, 03:50:48 PM
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  1976: Gerald Ford vs. Jimmy Carter with no OPEC oil embargo		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 1976: Gerald Ford vs. Jimmy Carter with no OPEC oil embargo  (Read 3953 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
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« on: March 19, 2010, 06:46:00 PM »
The Yom Kippur War never occurs, thus Nixon doesn't need to save Israel and there is no OPEC oil embargo. Thus the U.S. economy never goes into a recession in 1974-1976. After Nixon resigns, Ford still pardons Nixon. However, the economy on election day 1976 is much better than in RL, with unemployment being 4% and inflation being 3% (in contrast to 8% unemployment and 5% inflation in RL). In 1976, the Dems still nominate Jimmy Carter, while the GOP nominates Ford as in RL (after Ford survives a tough primary challenge from Ronald Reagan). How would this election turn out? You pick the VPs. Discuss, with maps.
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Dancing with Myself
tb75
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« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2010, 06:48:37 PM »


Ford narrowly wins due to the good economy.

Ford-279
Carter-255
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Bo
Rochambeau
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E: -5.23, S: -2.52

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« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2010, 06:52:40 PM »
Quote from: SE Lt. Gov tb75 on March 19, 2010, 06:48:37 PM


Ford narrowly wins due to the good economy.

Ford-279
Carter-255

Does Maine go to Ford? Also, your EV is incorrect since 279+255=534 while there are 538 EVs.
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tb75
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2010, 06:55:28 PM »
Sorry, HYG:



Ford-283
Carter-255
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Bo
Rochambeau
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Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2010, 06:58:37 PM »


Ford/Dole-288 EV-49.61 PV
Carter/Mondale-250 EV-48.52% PV
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Bo
Rochambeau
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Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2010, 07:39:18 PM »
tb75, what would the PV be in your opinion?
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Dancing with Myself
tb75
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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2010, 07:41:00 PM »
Ford-51.00%
Carter-49.99%

Despite a narrow EV win, Ford almost loses the popular vote.
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Cassius Dio
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« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2010, 08:46:15 PM »


Ford wins a 277-261 margin over Carter.
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