Newt Gingrich: Analysis

[#CriminalizeSobriety]

Gingrich isn't going to run. He played these same games before 2008. He is an attention whore but knows he isn't electable.

he knew 2008 was a lost cause. Why go for a year you know you WILL lose?

He knows he will lose in 2012 too. Newt can't win a primary in any state and will lose to Obama under almost any circumstances.

put the two next to eachother in a debate and I can promise Newt will sweep the floor. His affairs are another subject to the campaign...

Newt Ginrich would end up like Fred Thompson in 2008. He has his hardcore fans but it won't get him anywhere. He also doesn't fill any particularly unique niche, which means that it will be hard to consolidate a base against well-funded and well-known opponents like Mitt Romney.

Fred didn't try AT ALL. Newt has been for the past decade going around all over for this

Fred just had his name on the ballot during the campaign, until someone finally woke him up for South Carolina, so he could throw it to McCain.

[12th Doctor]

pbrower2a suggests a 12-point margin separating the winner and loser in the 2012 presidential election if former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich [R-Georgia] wins his party's nomination. For President Barack Obama [D-Illinois], that would be a 4.75% additional shift, over his 2008 margin, in the U.S. popular vote for 2012. Here is a scenario.…

ELECTION 2012

Newt Gingrich [R-Georgia] vs. * Barack Obama [D-Illinois]

Gingrich 43.20% 153 electoral votes
Obama 55.20% 385 electoral votes

what do you base this on Obama's approval ratings?

While I think Gingrich is unlikely to win, with Obama's lack of popularity, I hardly think it will be a wash.  I support Gingrich, but not because he's sure to win.  Rather he will be able to set a vision for the GOP for the next 20 years.  Gingrich is the only person out there who has ideas, which is something the Republican Party desperately needs right now, not more of the same hackish rhetoric that people have become all too familiar with.  The last thing we need is a "knee jerk conservative."  What we need more than anything is someone who can show that he has actually thought about the issues.

Looking at it now, though, I have, somewhat ironically become convinced that Gingrich might be the only Republican who can actually defeat the President for re-election.  Many in the country have turned sour on the President, without going to the full extreme and joining the Tea Party idiots.  What they are looking for is a Republican candidate who is an intellectual and actually makes sense.  I jumped on the Gingrich bandwagon thinking "he's gonna get killed, but he sets us on our way for the future (like Barry Goldwater, in a way)."  Now I look at and think that he is the only one out there who has a chance to change the dynamic enough in 2012 to end up in the Oval Office.  Some ultra-social conservative, religious nut-job, socialist-baiting, Tea Party elbow rubbing foot-in-mouth candidate will have as many people behind him in November as he did in June.

[12th Doctor]

I don't think Gingrich is playing around, BTW.  He wasn't playing around in 2008, either... he used 2008 as a chance to get his name back into the discussion, to set up 2012.  I have it on good authority that he is quietly organizing on the state level.

[TheGreatOne]

I honestly beleive Newt is the strongest canidate.  His time hasn't past.  He still carries alot of weight within the Republican Party and he can appeal to a broader range of supporters than many Republican challengers besides Ron Paul, who appeals to people from the extreme left to the extreme right.  Nothing I've read from his critics has really convinced me otherwise.

[Derek]

Sean Hannity would love to see him run.

[pbrower2a]

Sean Hannity would love to see him run.

WHO CARES?

[California8429]

Sean Hannity would love to see him run.

WHO CARES?

basically

[Derek]

I'm making a joke because every time Newt is on that show Hannity asks him if he's running in 2012 and you can tell Gingrich gets frustrated with it.

[California8429]

I'm making a joke because every time Newt is on that show Hannity asks him if he's running in 2012 and you can tell Gingrich gets frustrated with it.

anytime he goes on ANY show he's asked if he's running for President, same thing happens to EVERY potential candidate

[Derek]

idk what I'd do without you