Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread (user search)
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  Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread  (Read 14475 times)
Torie
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Posts: 46,076
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Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: June 25, 2010, 03:28:57 PM »

Updated my predictions. Lots of changes as I hadn't done this in a while.

What do the carets and asterisks mean?
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Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2010, 03:24:10 PM »
« Edited: July 11, 2010, 03:33:00 PM by Torie »

FL 22 is a  toss up? Cook has it as likely Dem. I would mark it lean Dem myself. West is quite the firebrand. I think he may frighten some of the moderate Pubbies in the district, of which there are a considerable number.

If interested, one can watch this now famous, or infamous depending upon your point of view, video of the most charismatic Allen West in action, with one battlefield metaphor after another, rat a tat tat, lock, load, march, take it to the enemy, bang, bang your dead. He certainly isn't dull; he's the guy with whom one would want to be in a foxhole, and not the guy one would want to get mad at you - at all. He could probably snap my neck causing my immediate departure from this mortal coil in about 2 seconds. What do you all think?  

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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2010, 03:19:32 PM »
« Edited: September 04, 2010, 03:24:36 PM by Torie »

I doubt any of the Massachusetts races (aside from MA-10, of course) will be within single-digits come election day.

Yeah, I agree.

Thanks for the local perspective Dan Smiley MA-05 wasn't even on my radar (not that I think it will fall. If it does, the Republicans will probably gain over 100 seats, so yeah...).

Well, on a strictly PVI basis, the GOP taking MA-5 would be their 312th seat (Dem PVI +8), which would leave the Dems with 123 seats. Tongue

Moving right along, a 76 seat House GOP gain has a nice ring to it. That might be where we are headed. It looks like at least 55 seats at the moment. We shall see. These House polls coming out are just devastating for the Dems, assuming that they are vaguely real.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2010, 02:22:36 PM »

GOP +73 seats before you get to the tossups, if I counted right. Wow. Or wait - you don't have any tossups!  Tongue
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2010, 01:31:26 PM »

87 Dem seats fall eh?
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