Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

GOP are most likely NOT taking the House with that setup. And PA-12 as Tilt Republican is rather amusing.

It's not like it voted for McCain and demographically is Republican or anything

Yes, it voted for McCain, the only Republican presidential candidate it has voted for since 1972, and one of the few Republicans it has voted for at all for that time. Even Santorum's weak opponent in 2000 probably won it.

Demographically it is not Republican, quite far from it actually.

Its been shifting Republican so, 10 yrs ago, that seems rather obvious. It was more Dem then the state at-large, now it is more Republican then the State at-large.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

GOP are most likely NOT taking the House with that setup. And PA-12 as Tilt Republican is rather amusing.

It's not like it voted for McCain and demographically is Republican or anything

Yes, it voted for McCain, the only Republican presidential candidate it has voted for since 1972, and one of the few Republicans it has voted for at all for that time. Even Santorum's weak opponent in 2000 probably won it.

Demographically it is not Republican, quite far from it actually.

Its been shifting Republican so, 10 yrs ago, that seems rather obvious. It was more Dem then the state at-large, now it is more Republican then the State at-large.

Not really. No one disputes Hillary would've won the seat. So the 2008 results clearly reflect only Obama, not the polls.

What makes it so idiotic to calling it "Tilt Republican" is that completely ignores the polls.

No there is a clear trend to the GOP from 2000 (more dem then state) 2004 (The same as the state) to 2008 (More GOP then then State).

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

This list has serious flaws.