Gallup Presidential Polls 1936-2000

[Bo]

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

What caused Anderson to move so high in mid-1980?

[Bo]

What caused Anderson to move so high in mid-1980?

I'm guessing dissatisfaction with both Carter and Reagan among many voters.

[I left.]

What caused Anderson to move so high in mid-1980?

I'm guessing dissatisfaction with both Carter and Reagan among many voters.

Brilliant! You should become a political commentator!

[Sasquatch]

You can find all of the national polls from 2000 over at pollingreport.com, even the ones where Gore was beating McCain in early 2000.

[N.i.K.]

What is up with 1944? I had no idea that Roosevelt was that close to Dewey in the months leading to the election, as most accounts I have read of it say...

*Runs to get FDR biography*

"In 1944, there was little doubt that FDR would win a record-breaking fourth term."

[Bo]

What is up with 1944? I had no idea that Roosevelt was that close to Dewey in the months leading to the election, as most accounts I have read of it say...

*Runs to get FDR biography*

"In 1944, there was little doubt that FDR would win a record-breaking fourth term."

I'd just guess poor sampling or maybe more FDR voters (who were typically poorer) didn't have access to phones.

[Nym90]

Democrats used to underpoll in the 1930's and 40's because it was very difficult to poll many Democratic voters due to them lacking telephones.

[Bo]

I'm surprised LBJ got support in the high 70s in the early summer of 1964. Sure, Goldwater was nuts, but those amrgins are just ridiculous.

[Mr.Phips]

What is the deal with that one poll showing Bush leading Clinton 48%-40% in a two person race in June 1992?  I believe Perot didnt drop out until the Democratic convention in July. 

[Bo]

What is the deal with that one poll showing Bush leading Clinton 48%-40% in a two person race in June 1992?  I believe Perot didnt drop out until the Democratic convention in July. 

I guess Bush led Clinton due to the GOP Convention bounce.

[memphis]

I'm surprised LBJ got support in the high 70s in the early summer of 1964. Sure, Goldwater was nuts, but those amrgins are just ridiculous.

Residual shock from the Kennedy assassination. Imagine if Bush had been running for re-election in early 2002 (with a good economy as well).

[Mr.Phips]

What is the deal with that one poll showing Bush leading Clinton 48%-40% in a two person race in June 1992?  I believe Perot didnt drop out until the Democratic convention in July. 

I guess Bush led Clinton due to the GOP Convention bounce.

The GOP Convention didnt occur until late August. 

[Joe Republic]

What caused Anderson to move so high in mid-1980?

I'm guessing dissatisfaction with both Carter and Reagan among many voters.

What is up with 1944? I had no idea that Roosevelt was that close to Dewey in the months leading to the election

I'd just guess poor sampling or maybe more FDR voters (who were typically poorer) didn't have access to phones.

What is the deal with that one poll showing Bush leading Clinton 48%-40% in a two person race in June 1992?  I believe Perot didnt drop out until the Democratic convention in July.  

I guess Bush led Clinton due to the GOP Convention bounce.

Thanks for posting this information and all, but it's best if you let the grown-ups talk now.

[N.i.K.]

That is what I suspected; but the 1940 results aren't far off from the total.

[Bo]

I'm surprised Ike and Stevenson were so close near the 1952 election. Was it just a bad sample, or did Ike really overperform (and why)?

[Χahar]

It's worth noting that the media was in the tank for Stevenson.

[Bo]

It's worth noting that the media was in the tank for Stevenson.

Why, though? Ike was a war hero.

[Tuck!]

1996 shows a final poll of 55 for Clinton. Then at the top it says the final is 52. Which one is correct?

[Bo]

1996 shows a final poll of 55 for Clinton. Then at the top it says the final is 52. Which one is correct?

If you look carefully, the 1996 polls only extend to August (on the chart). I think Gallup's November poll showed 52% for Clinton, while their August poll showed 55% for Clinton.

[Tuck!]

Clinton has said that he got lazy and apathetic towards the end of the 1996 campaign trail. I wonder why that didn't reflect in the poll.

[Bo]

Clinton has said that he got lazy and apathetic towards the end of the 1996 campaign trail. I wonder why that didn't reflect in the poll.

Because not everything Clinton (or any politician) says is accurate.

[Bo]

I added in these two charts:

[Bo]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110548/gallup-presidential-election-trialheat-trends-19362004.aspx

Does anyone know how to put charts from this link directly onto here? Those charts are pretty much the same (except for 2004), but they look neater.

[Californian Tony]

Why in the 1992 election, Perot is included in the polls until mid-june, then disappears and reappears in the beginning of September ? What happened at these times ?