The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest
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Author Topic: The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest  (Read 43232 times)
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StatesRights
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« on: October 29, 2004, 01:51:14 PM »

The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest[/i]

This thread is a thread to post your FINAL  prediction map. What you think will happen on the evening of November 2nd. Their won't be a prize for the winner (like me flying you to Orlando or something). So don't hope for one. Tongue I have a basic set of rules here and they are pretty easy to follow. So don't break them and get disqualified please. Smiley

  • Editing of the posts is NOT allowed under any circumstances. If you make a spelling error, so be it because it's forgivable.
  • Please don't post messages in the thread. It's not a discussion of the maps. The only messages allowed will be explanations of the maps.
  • Please post maps with percentages only please. Maps made from the calculator will be disqualified.

  • Map posts will commence today and be accepted until November 2nd at 7pm EST. No later or it will be disqualified.
  • The poster who's map is correct will be named the OFFICIAL Atlas Forum Election 2004 Prediction Champ. Once again the only thing you get for it is bragging rights and maybe to be drooled on by my daughter!


  • But the most important rule is : Lets keep it civil and have fun![/i]

    Good luck and may the best poster in.




    (Note : Dave, please don't move me Smiley I hope for everyone to participate in this and some who read this board only participate in this section of the forum. Smiley  Thanks Smiley )
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2004, 01:53:29 PM »


What do you mean by percentages?
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StatesRights
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2004, 01:58:22 PM »


A map from the Prediction page..not from the caculator.
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Erc
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2004, 02:02:19 PM »

What if nobody's right?  (It's a long shot that one person will get every single percentage right in every state)

I'll post mine in a subsequent post come Monday night.

When's the deadline?  Midnight on Monday?  0700 on Tuesday?  17:59 EST on Tuesday?
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StatesRights
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2004, 02:03:39 PM »

What if nobody's right?  (It's a long shot that one person will get every single percentage right in every state)

I'll post mine in a subsequent post come Monday night.

When's the deadline?  Midnight on Monday?  0700 on Tuesday?  17:59 EST on Tuesday?

The rules say 7pm EST on Tuesday. End discussions please. Smiley
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StatesRights
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2004, 02:18:56 PM »

I will now enter my prediction map :



Bush -  328[/b]

Kerry -  210[/b]

Popular vote guess.

Bush 51%
Kerry 47%
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Redefeatbush04
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2004, 02:27:59 PM »

This has been my final prediction for a while. I stand by it.

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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2004, 02:33:23 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2004, 03:18:12 PM by Alcon »



PV:
Bush 50%
Kerry 47%
Nader 1%
Other 2%

Other includes Badnarik, who I give about a 50% chance of being able to eek out enough votes to round to 1%. I give Nader about a 65% chance of this.

EDIT:

Oh yes, and EV's:

Bush 283
Kerry 254
Abstain 1
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2004, 02:33:46 PM »



Kerry - 272
Bush - 266

PV
Bush - 49%
Kerry - 48%
Badnarik - 1%
Nader, Peroutka, write-in - 2%
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sgpine
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2004, 02:57:25 PM »

Kerry 289, Bush 248, 1 Abstain.
Final Totals:
Bush: 49.2%
Kerry: 48.6%
Nadar: 1.3%
Other: 0.9%
Call it 2000's mirror image.
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khirkhib
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2004, 03:15:20 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2004, 05:28:44 PM by khirkhib »

Watch it.  By Tuesday Arkansas, West Virginia and Colorado could switch back to Kerry.  The Bush story is unraveling.

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A18
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2004, 03:53:49 PM »



EVs: Bush 349, Kerry 189

Bush 52%, Kerry 46%
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Blue Rectangle
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2004, 04:34:11 PM »


Bush 301/50.1%
Kerry 237/47.6%

I'll be different and say that Bush can pull off NH in a fairly close election.
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Fritz
JLD
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2004, 06:51:14 PM »

Kerry 272, Bush 266

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The Dowager Mod
texasgurl
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2004, 07:00:32 PM »

272 Kerry
265 Bush
-1 faithless elector
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AuH2O
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2004, 07:22:47 PM »



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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2004, 09:48:17 PM »

What if nobody's right?  (It's a long shot that one person will get every single percentage right in every state)

I'll post mine in a subsequent post come Monday night.

When's the deadline?  Midnight on Monday?  0700 on Tuesday?  17:59 EST on Tuesday?

The rules say 7pm EST on Tuesday. End discussions please. Smiley

Dude, there will be several sets of Exit Polls leaked by then.  I suggest no later than 12 noon EST on Tuesday....7am EST (before any votes are cast) would be the fairest.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2004, 05:13:51 AM »

Bush 296, Kerry 240, 2 not voting (WV and DC)

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Friar
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2004, 05:26:13 AM »

How do I post my map? I have a map generated but don't know the html code to post it here. Someone please enlighten me, so I can take part in the contest.

Thanks
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mddem2004
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« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2004, 07:11:10 AM »



KERRY 284     50.5%
BUSH  254     48.0%
OTHER             1.5%   
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Akno21
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« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2004, 08:04:11 AM »

How do I post my map? I have a map generated but don't know the html code to post it here. Someone please enlighten me, so I can take part in the contest.

Thanks

Right click on it, go to properties, copy the info there. Then go here, do  and post it.
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nini2287
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« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2004, 08:33:19 AM »



Kerry--271 EV
Bush--266 EV
Abstain--1 EV

Bush-49.2%
Kerry-48.7%
Nader-.8%
Others-1.3%

Oh, sweet irony.
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Redefeatbush04
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« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2004, 04:07:28 PM »

bringing this thread to the front of the board
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2004, 09:28:30 PM »

HERE IS MINE:
Bush: 296
Kerry: 242

Popular vote: Bush 51 Kerry: 49


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jacob_101
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2004, 12:00:55 AM »

Final Prediction:

Bush 311
Kerry 227

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