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| | |-+  The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest  (Read 23123 times)
riceowl
riceowl315
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E: 0.52, S: -0.70

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« Reply #75 on: November 01, 2004, 05:32:27 pm »
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I'm boring!!!



Bush - 295
Kerry - 242
1 fe
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lidaker
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E: 0.88, S: -4.67

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« Reply #76 on: November 01, 2004, 06:45:27 pm »
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Quote from: riceowl315 on November 01, 2004, 05:32:27 pm
I'm boring!!!

Well, it's not about being funny.



Bush 296
Kerry 242

PV:
Bush 49,5%
Kerry: 49,2%
Other: 1,3%
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Long live the memory of Edmund Burke
riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #77 on: November 01, 2004, 07:02:56 pm »
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huzzah for identical predictions..?
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Akno21
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« Reply #78 on: November 01, 2004, 07:05:18 pm »
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Kerry/Edwards 277
Bush/Cheney 261

Kerry/Edwards 48.9%
Bush/Cheney 48.7%
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The Vorlon
Vorlon
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E: 8.00, S: -4.21

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« Reply #79 on: November 01, 2004, 08:20:23 pm »
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Final Update by 12.00 Noon Tomorrow - Likely sooner
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 09:16:52 pm by The Vorlon »Logged
No man's liberty is safe while Congress is in session...Thomas Jefferson


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P36x8rTb3jI
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bavou_SEj1Epresidential
Beef
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E: -0.84, S: -2.70

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« Reply #80 on: November 01, 2004, 08:37:24 pm »
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Because, like, 20 people have the exact same prediction I have, I'm flipping OH to Kerry, and going against every instinct in my body and flipping PA to Bush.

Gotta be unique...



Bush 297 (or 296 with 1 FE)
Kerry 241
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A little beef...
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
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« Reply #81 on: November 01, 2004, 08:38:38 pm »
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Quote from: The Vorlon on November 01, 2004, 08:20:23 pm


Final Update by 12.00 Noon Tomorrow - Likely sooner

Vorlon - can't you get a place to upload this stuff? Your images are always broken. Sad
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 09:15:18 pm by The Vorlon »Logged
n/c
True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #82 on: November 01, 2004, 08:39:37 pm »
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Well here is my final prediction.

Kerry 289
Bush 268
McCain 1

Edwards 289
Cheney 269

My gut tells me that all that early voting in Florida is going to help Kerry more than the polls have predicted.  Wisconsin was very borderline and that is the state I see as likliest to be plagued with lawyers after the election, particularly if I got Florida wrong so that it determines who wins all by its lonesome.  The one vote for McCain is from the faithless WV elector who will try to mend fences while still doing what he said he would do by staying with the ticket for the VP race.  Save for some of the percentages, it's the same map as sgpine has way back on page 1 of this thread.
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“Always it is easier to pay homage to prophets than to heed the direction of their vision.”
                Clinton Lee Scott
Read Fat Man on a Diet, an alternate history in which the history of atomic weapons does not go as it did in our timeline.
© Tweed the Younger
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #83 on: November 01, 2004, 08:50:06 pm »
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Bush 286
Kerry 252
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"If the Constitution means anything, it surely means that the president does not have unreviewable authority to summarily execute any American whom he concludes is an enemy of the state"

registered somewhere in Georgia AFE
Nation
of_thisnation
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E: 1.06, S: 1.14

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« Reply #84 on: November 01, 2004, 09:33:56 pm »
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i dont know, but i've been told
that a yankee politician ain't got no soul
Firefly
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E: -4.13, S: -7.83

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« Reply #85 on: November 01, 2004, 09:37:23 pm »
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I don't know how to post a pic, but you can find my prediction at the following link.

Link to Prediction

Kerry- 331
Bush- 207


Edited by Dave Leip to place url in bbcode
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 09:54:42 pm by Dave Leip »Logged
Beef
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E: -0.84, S: -2.70

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« Reply #86 on: November 01, 2004, 09:40:05 pm »
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Quote from: Alcon on November 01, 2004, 08:38:38 pm
Quote from: The Vorlon on November 01, 2004, 08:20:23 pm


Final Update by 12.00 Noon Tomorrow - Likely sooner

Vorlon - can't you get a place to upload this stuff? Your images are always broken. Sad

http://www.imageshack.us

Never once has failed me.
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A little beef...
Dave Leip
leip
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« Reply #87 on: November 01, 2004, 09:52:53 pm »
Since the Prediction are closed starting at 11pm EST tonight (about an hour from this post), I've uploaded a not-yet-final version of the ev calculator that includes maps with percentages.  you can play with it here
Dave
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No more McShame
FuturePrez R-AZ
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« Reply #88 on: November 01, 2004, 10:02:09 pm »
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Link to Prediction

Edited by Dave Leip to place link in bbcode
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 10:56:21 pm by Dave Leip »Logged
Political Compass
Economic Left/Right: 7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 0.31

My political view's summarized
WMS
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E: -0.52, S: 0.35

P P P
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« Reply #89 on: November 01, 2004, 10:04:18 pm »
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As I stated in the main thread on predictions, it's the final one. Very close, and it won't be decided until very late.
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Quote from: Sam Spade on June 07, 2008, 10:56:40 am
The political class has demonized the working class because the political class no longer represents the working class.  Neither Republicans or Democrats.
Political Beliefs Summarized:
No more McShame
FuturePrez R-AZ
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« Reply #90 on: November 01, 2004, 10:16:02 pm »
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Bush 305 (50.4%)
Kerry 232 (48.5%)
Abstain 1

Link to map on previous post.  Forgot PV numbers.
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Political Compass
Economic Left/Right: 7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 0.31

My political view's summarized
WMS
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Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 0.35

P P P
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« Reply #91 on: November 01, 2004, 10:21:48 pm »
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Link to map above, on my previous post. Also forgot the bloody percentages.

Bush 49%
Kerry 48%
Badnarik 1%
Nader 1%
Others 1%
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Quote from: Sam Spade on June 07, 2008, 10:56:40 am
The political class has demonized the working class because the political class no longer represents the working class.  Neither Republicans or Democrats.
Political Beliefs Summarized:
KerryAlva
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« Reply #92 on: November 01, 2004, 10:28:40 pm »
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http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=step3

This is my Final Answer
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I am a Conservative GOP supporting John Kerry because I believe America needs a fresh start.  I want to see both parties forced to work together.  I want to see more of the coalition brought back to the table in support of Iraq and I want our troops home ASAP! He will cut taxes for the middle class
KerryAlva
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« Reply #93 on: November 01, 2004, 10:30:48 pm »
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Quote from: KerryAlva on November 01, 2004, 10:28:40 pm
http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=step3

This is my Final Answer

 If this link doesn't work, you can go view it by searching for BushAlva Version 11.

The map shows Kerry sweeping the Big 3 and Little 3
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I am a Conservative GOP supporting John Kerry because I believe America needs a fresh start.  I want to see both parties forced to work together.  I want to see more of the coalition brought back to the table in support of Iraq and I want our troops home ASAP! He will cut taxes for the middle class
Platypus
hughento
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« Reply #94 on: November 01, 2004, 10:32:33 pm »
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On my map i forgot to give NE percentages, cos its stuck down at the bottom-I predict all over 60% Bush. Also I didn't hear about the faithless West Virginian until half an hour ago, so 269-268. No coverage of him/her in our news.
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Nation
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E: 1.06, S: 1.14

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« Reply #95 on: November 01, 2004, 10:52:21 pm »
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Percentages:

Kerry - 48%
Bush - 48%
Nader - 1%
Badnarik - 2%
Other - 1%
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i dont know, but i've been told
that a yankee politician ain't got no soul
TheOldLine
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« Reply #96 on: November 01, 2004, 10:54:45 pm »
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I'm not quite sure how to post replies, but my final prediction is Bush 290.

Take the 2000 map, Kerry picks up OH and NH.

Bush picks up NM, IA, WI, MN, and HI.

TheOldLine
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Erc
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« Reply #97 on: November 01, 2004, 10:56:47 pm »
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4 minutes until the 2004 Prediction Map closes forever...
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Reds4
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« Reply #98 on: November 01, 2004, 11:00:27 pm »
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I will go with Kerry 272 Bush 266
popular vote: Kerry 49.4% Bush 48.9%  (I hope so badly that I am wrong!!!)
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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E: 2.84, S: 0.00

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« Reply #99 on: November 01, 2004, 11:02:59 pm »
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Prediction: Bush 50.07, Kerry 47.93, Nader 0.93, Other 1.07

Bush wins EV 307-231 for Kerry.

Bush takes New Mexico, Iowa, Hawaii, and Michigan from Kerry (I am entitled to a little weirdness)

Kerry takes New Hampshire from Bush.

Closest state:  Wisconsin, won by Kerry by 0.08%
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