Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 30, 2014, 08:56:20 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
| | |-+  The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 Print
Author Topic: The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest  (Read 24848 times)
riceowl
riceowl315
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3247


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: -0.70

View Profile
« Reply #75 on: November 01, 2004, 05:32:27 pm »
Ignore

I'm boring!!!



Bush - 295
Kerry - 242
1 fe
Logged
lidaker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 750
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: 0.88, S: -4.67

View Profile WWW
« Reply #76 on: November 01, 2004, 06:45:27 pm »
Ignore

I'm boring!!!

Well, it's not about being funny.



Bush 296
Kerry 242

PV:
Bush 49,5%
Kerry: 49,2%
Other: 1,3%
Logged

Long live the memory of Edmund Burke
riceowl
riceowl315
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3247


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: -0.70

View Profile
« Reply #77 on: November 01, 2004, 07:02:56 pm »
Ignore

huzzah for identical predictions..?
Logged
Akno21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9138
View Profile
« Reply #78 on: November 01, 2004, 07:05:18 pm »
Ignore



Kerry/Edwards 277
Bush/Cheney 261

Kerry/Edwards 48.9%
Bush/Cheney 48.7%
Logged

The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4567


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

View Profile
« Reply #79 on: November 01, 2004, 08:20:23 pm »
Ignore



Final Update by 12.00 Noon Tomorrow - Likely sooner
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 09:16:52 pm by The Vorlon »Logged

No man's liberty is safe while Congress is in session...Thomas Jefferson
Beef
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2645
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.42, S: -6.70

P
View Profile
« Reply #80 on: November 01, 2004, 08:37:24 pm »
Ignore

Because, like, 20 people have the exact same prediction I have, I'm flipping OH to Kerry, and going against every instinct in my body and flipping PA to Bush.

Gotta be unique...



Bush 297 (or 296 with 1 FE)
Kerry 241
Logged

Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29661
United States
View Profile
« Reply #81 on: November 01, 2004, 08:38:38 pm »
Ignore



Final Update by 12.00 Noon Tomorrow - Likely sooner

Vorlon - can't you get a place to upload this stuff? Your images are always broken. Sad
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 09:15:18 pm by The Vorlon »Logged

n/c
True Federalist
Ernest
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28312
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #82 on: November 01, 2004, 08:39:37 pm »
Ignore

Well here is my final prediction.

Kerry 289
Bush 268
McCain 1

Edwards 289
Cheney 269

My gut tells me that all that early voting in Florida is going to help Kerry more than the polls have predicted.  Wisconsin was very borderline and that is the state I see as likliest to be plagued with lawyers after the election, particularly if I got Florida wrong so that it determines who wins all by its lonesome.  The one vote for McCain is from the faithless WV elector who will try to mend fences while still doing what he said he would do by staying with the ticket for the VP race.  Save for some of the percentages, it's the same map as sgpine has way back on page 1 of this thread.
Logged

My November ballot:
Ervin(I) Gov.
Sellers(D) Lt. Gov.
Hammond(R) Sec. of State
Diggs(D) Att. Gen.
Herbert(D) Comptroller Gen.
Spearman(R) Supt. of Education
DeFelice(American) Commissioner of Agriculture
Hutto(D) US Sen (full)
Scott(R) US Sen (special)
Geddings(Labor) US House SC-2
Quinn(R) SC House District 69
Yes: Amendment 1 (Gen. Assembly may allow and regulate charity raffles)
No: Amendment 2 (end election of the Adjutant General)
tweed
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 35536
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.52, S: -8.00

View Profile
« Reply #83 on: November 01, 2004, 08:50:06 pm »
Ignore



Bush 286
Kerry 252
Logged

there's no ghosts in the graveyard, that's not where they live
they live in between a, 'what is' and 'what if?'
Nation
of_thisnation
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5587
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.06, S: 1.14

View Profile
« Reply #84 on: November 01, 2004, 09:33:56 pm »
Ignore

Logged

i dont know, but i've been told
that a yankee politician ain't got no soul
Firefly
Full Member
***
Posts: 248
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -7.83

P
View Profile
« Reply #85 on: November 01, 2004, 09:37:23 pm »
Ignore

I don't know how to post a pic, but you can find my prediction at the following link.

Link to Prediction

Kerry- 331
Bush- 207


Edited by Dave Leip to place url in bbcode
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 09:54:42 pm by Dave Leip »Logged
Beef
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2645
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.42, S: -6.70

P
View Profile
« Reply #86 on: November 01, 2004, 09:40:05 pm »
Ignore



Final Update by 12.00 Noon Tomorrow - Likely sooner

Vorlon - can't you get a place to upload this stuff? Your images are always broken. Sad

http://www.imageshack.us

Never once has failed me.
Logged

Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2381
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #87 on: November 01, 2004, 09:52:53 pm »

Since the Prediction are closed starting at 11pm EST tonight (about an hour from this post), I've uploaded a not-yet-final version of the ev calculator that includes maps with percentages.  you can play with it here
Dave
Logged
No more McShame
FuturePrez R-AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1092


View Profile
« Reply #88 on: November 01, 2004, 10:02:09 pm »
Ignore

Link to Prediction

Edited by Dave Leip to place link in bbcode
« Last Edit: November 01, 2004, 10:56:21 pm by Dave Leip »Logged

Political Compass
Economic Left/Right: 7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 0.31

My political view's summarized
WMS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5821


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 0.35

P
View Profile
« Reply #89 on: November 01, 2004, 10:04:18 pm »
Ignore



As I stated in the main thread on predictions, it's the final one. Very close, and it won't be decided until very late.
Logged

The political class has demonized the working class because the political class no longer represents the working class.  Neither Republicans or Democrats.
Political Beliefs Summarized:
No more McShame
FuturePrez R-AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1092


View Profile
« Reply #90 on: November 01, 2004, 10:16:02 pm »
Ignore

Bush 305 (50.4%)
Kerry 232 (48.5%)
Abstain 1

Link to map on previous post.  Forgot PV numbers.
Logged

Political Compass
Economic Left/Right: 7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 0.31

My political view's summarized
WMS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5821


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 0.35

P
View Profile
« Reply #91 on: November 01, 2004, 10:21:48 pm »
Ignore

Link to map above, on my previous post. Also forgot the bloody percentages.

Bush 49%
Kerry 48%
Badnarik 1%
Nader 1%
Others 1%
Logged

The political class has demonized the working class because the political class no longer represents the working class.  Neither Republicans or Democrats.
Political Beliefs Summarized:
KerryAlva
Newbie
*
Posts: 16


View Profile
« Reply #92 on: November 01, 2004, 10:28:40 pm »
Ignore

http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=step3

This is my Final Answer
Logged

I am a Conservative GOP supporting John Kerry because I believe America needs a fresh start.  I want to see both parties forced to work together.  I want to see more of the coalition brought back to the table in support of Iraq and I want our troops home ASAP! He will cut taxes for the middle class
KerryAlva
Newbie
*
Posts: 16


View Profile
« Reply #93 on: November 01, 2004, 10:30:48 pm »
Ignore


 If this link doesn't work, you can go view it by searching for BushAlva Version 11.

The map shows Kerry sweeping the Big 3 and Little 3
Logged

I am a Conservative GOP supporting John Kerry because I believe America needs a fresh start.  I want to see both parties forced to work together.  I want to see more of the coalition brought back to the table in support of Iraq and I want our troops home ASAP! He will cut taxes for the middle class
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21431
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #94 on: November 01, 2004, 10:32:33 pm »
Ignore

On my map i forgot to give NE percentages, cos its stuck down at the bottom-I predict all over 60% Bush. Also I didn't hear about the faithless West Virginian until half an hour ago, so 269-268. No coverage of him/her in our news.
Logged

Nation
of_thisnation
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5587
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.06, S: 1.14

View Profile
« Reply #95 on: November 01, 2004, 10:52:21 pm »
Ignore

Percentages:

Kerry - 48%
Bush - 48%
Nader - 1%
Badnarik - 2%
Other - 1%
Logged

i dont know, but i've been told
that a yankee politician ain't got no soul
TheOldLine
Full Member
***
Posts: 183


View Profile
« Reply #96 on: November 01, 2004, 10:54:45 pm »
Ignore

I'm not quite sure how to post replies, but my final prediction is Bush 290.

Take the 2000 map, Kerry picks up OH and NH.

Bush picks up NM, IA, WI, MN, and HI.

TheOldLine
Logged
Erc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4686
Slovenia


View Profile
« Reply #97 on: November 01, 2004, 10:56:47 pm »
Ignore

4 minutes until the 2004 Prediction Map closes forever...
Logged
Reds4
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 768


View Profile
« Reply #98 on: November 01, 2004, 11:00:27 pm »
Ignore

I will go with Kerry 272 Bush 266
popular vote: Kerry 49.4% Bush 48.9%  (I hope so badly that I am wrong!!!)
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27871


View Profile
« Reply #99 on: November 01, 2004, 11:02:59 pm »
Ignore

Prediction: Bush 50.07, Kerry 47.93, Nader 0.93, Other 1.07

Bush wins EV 307-231 for Kerry.

Bush takes New Mexico, Iowa, Hawaii, and Michigan from Kerry (I am entitled to a little weirdness)

Kerry takes New Hampshire from Bush.

Closest state:  Wisconsin, won by Kerry by 0.08%
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines