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Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
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Topic: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh? (Read 5214 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #25 on:
May 09, 2010, 08:33:18 pm »
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman HappyWarrior on May 09, 2010, 08:15:39 pm
Quote from: Bugs Bunny on May 09, 2010, 08:05:16 pm
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman HappyWarrior on May 09, 2010, 08:00:10 pm
Quote from: Derek on May 09, 2010, 12:51:35 am
Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.
Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.
Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.
The theoretical idea was to increase turnout and votes from Jewish voters in order to win Florida.
Gore was overwhelmingly winning Jewish voters become Lieberman came along anyway, and I don't think Jews are as influenced by identity politics as other groups are. Also, Jews are a very small voting block, so energizing them a little bit more would have little impact electorally. Other than Jews, I don't see any other group Lieberman managed to appeal to. Also, Gore might have lost some anti-Semtiic votes by picking Lieberman (which there aren't many of, but you never know). I think that in terms of strategy, Gore should have either picked a liberal or a competent woman as VP. For instances, Russ Feingold would have been able to appeal to both the Democtaic base and Jewish voters, while Dianne Feinstein would ahve appealed to females and Jewish voters. Lieberman's appeal was too limited. Frankly, if it wasn't for Bush Jr.'s DUI story coming out right before the election, Gore and Lieberman probably wouldn't have even come very close in Florida.
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phk
phknrocket1k
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Posts: 13015
Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #26 on:
May 09, 2010, 10:49:59 pm »
Quote from: Cubby on May 09, 2010, 12:31:38 am
Another consideration was that Biden's replacement in the Senate would have been picked by Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner. If Bayh had been chosen, Republican Mitch Daniels would have picked a Republican to replace him, altering the balance of power.
Biden was a much better choice than Bayh.
This.
Obama would have been stuck at 59 seats.
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #27 on:
May 09, 2010, 11:03:00 pm »
Quote from: phknrocket1k on May 09, 2010, 10:49:59 pm
Quote from: Cubby on May 09, 2010, 12:31:38 am
Another consideration was that Biden's replacement in the Senate would have been picked by Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner. If Bayh had been chosen, Republican Mitch Daniels would have picked a Republican to replace him, altering the balance of power.
Biden was a much better choice than Bayh.
This.
Obama would have been stuck at 59 seats.
It would be 58 seats right now, or possibly 57 if Franken lost in MN due to the butterfly effect.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #28 on:
May 10, 2010, 12:17:00 am »
Quote from: Bugs Bunny on May 09, 2010, 08:05:16 pm
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman HappyWarrior on May 09, 2010, 08:00:10 pm
Quote from: Derek on May 09, 2010, 12:51:35 am
Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.
Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.
Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.
Foreign policy wasn't a significant factor in 2000. Yes, Cheney helped Bush while in office, but not to win the white house. Seriously, who on this forum was on the fence but chose Bush because Cheney was his runningmate?
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HappyWarrior
hannibal
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Posts: 7209
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Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #29 on:
May 10, 2010, 09:46:10 am »
Quote from: Derek on May 10, 2010, 12:17:00 am
Quote from: Bugs Bunny on May 09, 2010, 08:05:16 pm
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman HappyWarrior on May 09, 2010, 08:00:10 pm
Quote from: Derek on May 09, 2010, 12:51:35 am
Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.
Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.
Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.
Foreign policy wasn't a significant factor in 2000. Yes, Cheney helped Bush while in office, but not to win the white house. Seriously, who on this forum was on the fence but chose Bush because Cheney was his runningmate?
Whether foreign policy was an issue at the time, people wanted someone who would be strong on foreign policy at any time.
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"Destiny is not a matter of chance; it is a matter of choice. It is not a thing to be waited for; it is a thing to be achieved."
-William Jennings Bryan
Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #30 on:
May 10, 2010, 10:15:27 am »
They wouldn't have thought that far into it because the VP isn't a top issue. That doesn't have to do with Biden being picked by Obama so that he could LOOK good on defense.
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phk
phknrocket1k
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Posts: 13015
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E: 1.42, S: -1.22
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #31 on:
May 10, 2010, 11:53:34 am »
In reality I think Obama's preferences were actually something like
Kaine > (Bayh ~ Biden)
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Ringorules
Sr. Member
Posts: 334
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #32 on:
May 10, 2010, 01:42:48 pm »
Quote from: phknrocket1k on May 10, 2010, 11:53:34 am
In reality I think Obama's preferences were actually something like
Kaine > (Bayh ~ Biden)
And I think you are right. If Kaine had a little bit more experience, he might easily have been on the ticket.
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"If nominated, I shall run to Mexico. If elected, I shall fight extradiction."- Morris K. Udall
Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #33 on:
May 10, 2010, 05:09:35 pm »
If Obama got to pick it would've been Kaine.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #34 on:
May 10, 2010, 05:49:41 pm »
French allies? Communists not being evil? sounds like Massachusetts
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
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Posts: 8581
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E: -2.58, S: -5.22
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #35 on:
May 10, 2010, 06:16:53 pm »
Quote from: Derek on May 10, 2010, 05:49:41 pm
French allies? Communists not being evil? sounds like Massachusetts
Hey, DWTL. Why you moved to Pennsylvania?
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Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #36 on:
May 10, 2010, 06:35:57 pm »
Quote from: phknrocket1k on May 10, 2010, 11:53:34 am
In reality I think Obama's preferences were actually something like
Kaine > (Bayh ~ Biden)
That's what I read as well. But the Russo-Georgian war in August changed everything.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #37 on:
May 11, 2010, 10:11:21 am »
I doubt Obama made the decision and if he would have it would have nothing to do with any current affairs bbesides the polls and what young voters in college wanted to see.
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dmwestmi
Full Member
Posts: 171
Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -1.91
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #38 on:
May 12, 2010, 07:23:11 am »
After flipping through David Plouffe's book, I remember him saying that Joe Biden provided a nice balance to the ticket--in terms of age, blue-collar upbringing, foreign policy experience, and experience in the Senate. Bayh is (relatively) young, did not have a hardscrabble upbringing, and represents a Midwestern state in the Senate.
In my opinion, the Obama team was likely looking to make up for his lack of foreign policy experience--something that the McCain campaign and the MSM kept highlighting. Though he served on the Armed Services Committee, foreign policy is not Sen. Bayh's strength. Gov. Kaine's foreign policy experience was limited to missionary trips. This left one option. Furthermore, Biden is a household name--he ran for President twice, and he'd been in the Senate for three decades. Any worries that older progressives had about voting for Obama would have then been put to rest.
Sen. Bayh would have prevented all of the "Sarah Palin has more executive experience than all of the candidates put together LOL" nonsense, and would have balanced the ticket ideologically--Bayh has a strong moderate record, whereas Biden and Obama voted almost in lockstep. And as Mr. Plouffe put it, he was a guy who wasn't going to color outside of the lines. I'm guessing that his drawbacks were his crippling lack of charisma, lack of name recognition outside of Indiana, and his wife's corporate board experience. These seemed to be of more concern than plagiarism and making baffling comments about Indians and convenience stores.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #39 on:
May 12, 2010, 10:48:14 am »
lack of foreign policy is the key phrase there buddy. We're seeing it now in the case of the xmas day bomber and his apologies for America's success now. Biden is a dork and full of gaffes.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
Posts: 8581
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #40 on:
May 12, 2010, 03:30:12 pm »
Quote from: Derek on May 12, 2010, 10:48:14 am
lack of foreign policy is the key phrase there buddy. We're seeing it now in the case of the xmas day bomber and his apologies for America's success now. Biden is a dork and full of gaffes.
Welcome back JSojourner. We missed you.
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Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
President Mitt
Giovanni
YaBB God
Posts: 3670
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #41 on:
May 12, 2010, 03:43:29 pm »
Bayh's seat would have been lost. Biden's seat...well...it
seemed
then it would have been kept.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #42 on:
May 12, 2010, 06:17:06 pm »
yep pure politics, nothing else
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #43 on:
May 29, 2010, 09:16:30 am »
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman HappyWarrior on May 10, 2010, 09:46:10 am
Quote from: Derek on May 10, 2010, 12:17:00 am
Quote from: Bugs Bunny on May 09, 2010, 08:05:16 pm
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman HappyWarrior on May 09, 2010, 08:00:10 pm
Quote from: Derek on May 09, 2010, 12:51:35 am
Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.
Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.
Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.
Foreign policy wasn't a significant factor in 2000. Yes, Cheney helped Bush while in office, but not to win the white house. Seriously, who on this forum was on the fence but chose Bush because Cheney was his runningmate?
Whether foreign policy was an issue at the time, people wanted someone who would be strong on foreign policy at any time.
That's only Republicans. Look at Blumenthal. The democrats sure voted for him in a hurry despite his lies about being in Vietnam.
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GPORTER
gporter
YaBB God
Posts: 6297
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #44 on:
May 30, 2010, 01:53:48 pm »
Quote from: Cubby on May 09, 2010, 12:31:38 am
Another consideration was that Biden's replacement in the Senate would have been picked by Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner. If Bayh had been chosen, Republican Mitch Daniels would have picked a Republican to replace him, altering the balance of power.
Biden was a much better choice than Bayh.
So, it was just purely politics?
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Alaska for Deukmjican and South Dakota going for Bradley. Four states remain. Ohio and South Dakota big news of the hour. Dems hold Montana senate seat.
Duekmjican: 257
Bradley: 194
Paul: 0
"So, I leave you all tonight with a full heart and a fervent prayer that we will meet again and we will meet often in this land where miracles are always happening, where every day is a new beginning and every life a blessing from God.
So I want to say thanks to each one of you here. Thank y
Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #45 on:
May 30, 2010, 03:25:01 pm »
Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.
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Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #46 on:
May 30, 2010, 04:07:56 pm »
Quote from: Derek on May 30, 2010, 03:25:01 pm
Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.
Same for many other Presidents, including Reagan and Bush Jr.
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Derek
YaBB God
Posts: 4704
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #47 on:
May 31, 2010, 03:20:49 am »
Quote from: Holden Caulfield on May 30, 2010, 04:07:56 pm
Quote from: Derek on May 30, 2010, 03:25:01 pm
Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.
Same for many other Presidents, including Reagan and Bush Jr.
I thought Bush Jr. was as middle America as you can get with his cowboy attire and stuttering.
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HappyWarrior
hannibal
YaBB God
Posts: 7209
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Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #48 on:
May 31, 2010, 07:57:11 am »
Quote from: Derek on May 31, 2010, 03:20:49 am
Quote from: Holden Caulfield on May 30, 2010, 04:07:56 pm
Quote from: Derek on May 30, 2010, 03:25:01 pm
Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.
Same for many other Presidents, including Reagan and Bush Jr.
I thought Bush Jr. was as middle America as you can get with his cowboy attire and stuttering.
Other than the whole being born into a millionaire family with political family members who had already reached high office.
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"Destiny is not a matter of chance; it is a matter of choice. It is not a thing to be waited for; it is a thing to be achieved."
-William Jennings Bryan
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 30757
Re: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
«
Reply #49 on:
May 31, 2010, 07:59:58 am »
The most obvious answer is that Obama served in the Senate, and knew both of them, and used his personal judgment in evaluating them both.
You couldn't be a coworker with someone for four years without forming an opinion of them.
«
Last Edit: May 31, 2010, 08:05:06 am by Lunar
»
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