Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2013, 10:29:57 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results
| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | | |-+  Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 Print
Author Topic: Why did Obama pick Biden over Bayh?  (Read 5244 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14429
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #25 on: May 09, 2010, 08:33:18 pm »
Ignore

Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.

Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.

Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.

The theoretical idea was to increase turnout and votes from Jewish voters in order to win Florida.

Gore was overwhelmingly winning Jewish voters become Lieberman came along anyway, and I don't think Jews are as influenced by identity politics as other groups are. Also, Jews are a very small voting block, so energizing them a little bit more would have little impact electorally. Other than Jews, I don't see any other group Lieberman managed to appeal to. Also, Gore might have lost some anti-Semtiic votes by picking Lieberman (which there aren't many of, but you never know). I think that in terms of strategy, Gore should have either picked a liberal or a competent woman as VP. For instances, Russ Feingold would have been able to appeal to both the Democtaic base and Jewish voters, while Dianne Feinstein would ahve appealed to females and Jewish voters. Lieberman's appeal was too limited. Frankly, if it wasn't for Bush Jr.'s DUI story coming out right before the election, Gore and Lieberman probably wouldn't have even come very close in Florida.
Logged

phk
phknrocket1k
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13015


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

View Profile
« Reply #26 on: May 09, 2010, 10:49:59 pm »
Ignore

Another consideration was that Biden's replacement in the Senate would have been picked by Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner. If Bayh had been chosen, Republican Mitch Daniels would have picked a Republican to replace him, altering the balance of power.

Biden was a much better choice than Bayh.


This.

Obama would have been stuck at 59 seats.
Logged

Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14429
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #27 on: May 09, 2010, 11:03:00 pm »
Ignore

Another consideration was that Biden's replacement in the Senate would have been picked by Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner. If Bayh had been chosen, Republican Mitch Daniels would have picked a Republican to replace him, altering the balance of power.

Biden was a much better choice than Bayh.


This.

Obama would have been stuck at 59 seats.

It would be 58 seats right now, or possibly 57 if Franken lost in MN due to the butterfly effect.
Logged

Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #28 on: May 10, 2010, 12:17:00 am »
Ignore

Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.

Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.

Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.

Foreign policy wasn't a significant factor in 2000. Yes, Cheney helped Bush while in office, but not to win the white house. Seriously, who on this forum was on the fence but chose Bush because Cheney was his runningmate?
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
HappyWarrior
hannibal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7208


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -0.35

View Profile WWW
« Reply #29 on: May 10, 2010, 09:46:10 am »
Ignore

Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.

Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.


Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.

Foreign policy wasn't a significant factor in 2000. Yes, Cheney helped Bush while in office, but not to win the white house. Seriously, who on this forum was on the fence but chose Bush because Cheney was his runningmate?

Whether foreign policy was an issue at the time, people wanted someone who would be strong on foreign policy at any time.
Logged


"Destiny is not a matter of chance; it is a matter of choice. It is not a thing to be waited for; it is a thing to be achieved."
-William Jennings Bryan
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #30 on: May 10, 2010, 10:15:27 am »
Ignore

They wouldn't have thought that far into it because the VP isn't a top issue. That doesn't have to do with Biden being picked by Obama so that he could LOOK good on defense.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
phk
phknrocket1k
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13015


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

View Profile
« Reply #31 on: May 10, 2010, 11:53:34 am »
Ignore

In reality I think Obama's preferences were actually something like

Kaine > (Bayh ~ Biden)

Logged

Ringorules
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 334


View Profile
« Reply #32 on: May 10, 2010, 01:42:48 pm »
Ignore

In reality I think Obama's preferences were actually something like

Kaine > (Bayh ~ Biden)



And I think you are right.  If Kaine had a little bit more experience, he might easily have been on the ticket. 
Logged

"If nominated, I shall run to Mexico.  If elected, I shall fight extradiction."- Morris K. Udall
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #33 on: May 10, 2010, 05:09:35 pm »
Ignore

If Obama got to pick it would've been Kaine.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #34 on: May 10, 2010, 05:49:41 pm »
Ignore

French allies? Communists not being evil? sounds like Massachusetts
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8515
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #35 on: May 10, 2010, 06:16:53 pm »
Ignore

French allies? Communists not being evil? sounds like Massachusetts

Hey, DWTL. Why you moved to Pennsylvania?
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14429
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #36 on: May 10, 2010, 06:35:57 pm »
Ignore

In reality I think Obama's preferences were actually something like

Kaine > (Bayh ~ Biden)



That's what I read as well. But the Russo-Georgian war in August changed everything.
Logged

Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #37 on: May 11, 2010, 10:11:21 am »
Ignore

I doubt Obama made the decision and if he would have it would have nothing to do with any current affairs bbesides the polls and what young voters in college wanted to see.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
dmwestmi
Full Member
***
Posts: 171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -1.91

View Profile
« Reply #38 on: May 12, 2010, 07:23:11 am »
Ignore

After flipping through David Plouffe's book, I remember him saying that Joe Biden provided a nice balance to the ticket--in terms of age, blue-collar upbringing, foreign policy experience, and experience in the Senate. Bayh is (relatively) young, did not have a hardscrabble upbringing, and represents a Midwestern state in the Senate.

In my opinion, the Obama team was likely looking to make up for his lack of foreign policy experience--something that the McCain campaign and the MSM kept highlighting. Though he served on the Armed Services Committee, foreign policy is not Sen. Bayh's strength. Gov. Kaine's foreign policy experience was limited to missionary trips. This left one option. Furthermore, Biden is a household name--he ran for President twice, and he'd been in the Senate for three decades. Any worries that older progressives had about voting for Obama would have then been put to rest.

Sen. Bayh would have prevented all of the "Sarah Palin has more executive experience than all of the candidates put together LOL" nonsense, and would have balanced the ticket ideologically--Bayh has a strong moderate record, whereas Biden and Obama voted almost in lockstep. And as Mr. Plouffe put it, he was a guy who wasn't going to color outside of the lines. I'm guessing that his drawbacks were his crippling lack of charisma, lack of name recognition outside of Indiana, and his wife's corporate board experience. These seemed to be of more concern than plagiarism and making baffling comments about Indians and convenience stores.
Logged
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #39 on: May 12, 2010, 10:48:14 am »
Ignore

lack of foreign policy is the key phrase there buddy. We're seeing it now in the case of the xmas day bomber and his apologies for America's success now. Biden is a dork and full of gaffes.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8515
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #40 on: May 12, 2010, 03:30:12 pm »
Ignore

lack of foreign policy is the key phrase there buddy. We're seeing it now in the case of the xmas day bomber and his apologies for America's success now. Biden is a dork and full of gaffes.

Welcome back JSojourner. We missed you.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
President Mitt
Giovanni
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3669
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #41 on: May 12, 2010, 03:43:29 pm »
Ignore

Bayh's seat would have been lost. Biden's seat...well...it seemed then it would have been kept.
Logged

[This space is available for purchase]
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #42 on: May 12, 2010, 06:17:06 pm »
Ignore

yep pure politics, nothing else
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #43 on: May 29, 2010, 09:16:30 am »
Ignore

Yep it's all political. Bush chose Cheney. Honestly, someone convince me that it was politically motivated. How much do you think Cheney helped Bush in the 2000 or even 2004 election? Then again, Cheney was the head of Bush's VP committee and he picked himself. Bush could've said no though.

Cheney provided foreign policy experience and a measure of defense gravitas to the ticket, considering he was a former respected Secretary of Defense and was considered an old hand.


Exactly. Bush Jr. was attacked as inexperienced on the campaign trail (especially on foreign policy), so he needed someone to give him more credentials in that department. I still can't understand why Gore picked Lieberman, though. Unlike Cheney, he added nothing to the ticket.

Foreign policy wasn't a significant factor in 2000. Yes, Cheney helped Bush while in office, but not to win the white house. Seriously, who on this forum was on the fence but chose Bush because Cheney was his runningmate?

Whether foreign policy was an issue at the time, people wanted someone who would be strong on foreign policy at any time.

That's only Republicans. Look at Blumenthal. The democrats sure voted for him in a hurry despite his lies about being in Vietnam.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
GPORTER
gporter
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6296
United States


View Profile
« Reply #44 on: May 30, 2010, 01:53:48 pm »
Ignore

Another consideration was that Biden's replacement in the Senate would have been picked by Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner. If Bayh had been chosen, Republican Mitch Daniels would have picked a Republican to replace him, altering the balance of power.

Biden was a much better choice than Bayh.
So, it was just purely politics?
Logged

Alaska for Deukmjican and South Dakota going for Bradley. Four states remain. Ohio and South Dakota big news of the hour. Dems hold Montana senate seat.

Duekmjican: 257
Bradley: 194
Paul: 0

"So, I leave you all tonight with a full heart and a fervent prayer that we will meet again and we will meet often in this land where miracles are always happening, where every day is a new beginning and every life a blessing from God.

So I want to say thanks to each one of you here. Thank y
Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #45 on: May 30, 2010, 03:25:01 pm »
Ignore

Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14429
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #46 on: May 30, 2010, 04:07:56 pm »
Ignore

Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.

Same for many other Presidents, including Reagan and Bush Jr.
Logged

Derek
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4703
United States


View Profile
« Reply #47 on: May 31, 2010, 03:20:49 am »
Ignore

Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.

Same for many other Presidents, including Reagan and Bush Jr.

I thought Bush Jr. was as middle America as you can get with his cowboy attire and stuttering.
Logged

I'm Derek and I approve this message.
HappyWarrior
hannibal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7208


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -0.35

View Profile WWW
« Reply #48 on: May 31, 2010, 07:57:11 am »
Ignore

Everything Obama has ever done has been pure politics. He has nothing in common with the average ordinary individual.

Same for many other Presidents, including Reagan and Bush Jr.

I thought Bush Jr. was as middle America as you can get with his cowboy attire and stuttering.

Other than the whole being born into a millionaire family with political family members who had already reached high office.
Logged


"Destiny is not a matter of chance; it is a matter of choice. It is not a thing to be waited for; it is a thing to be achieved."
-William Jennings Bryan
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30756
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #49 on: May 31, 2010, 07:59:58 am »
Ignore

The most obvious answer is that Obama served in the Senate, and knew both of them, and used his personal judgment in evaluating them both.

You couldn't be a coworker with someone for four years without forming an opinion of them.

« Last Edit: May 31, 2010, 08:05:06 am by Lunar »Logged

this is real
Pages: 1 [2] 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory