PPP: President Obama (D) beats everyone

[pbrower2a]

any poll taken shows dems winning, just look at the last 2 election. Hell they even had Mondale and Dukakis winning. All polls pretty much show democrats winning. Don't let these numbers worry you Republican friends.

Not those of March and April 2008.

Mondale and Dukakis are now more relevant to any GOP nominee for President in 2012. Take your pick -- or take Adlai Stevenson or Bob Dole.

For good reason the 2006 and 2008 elections showed the Democrats doing well -- more precisely the Republicans doing badly. The GOP was doing badly then, wasn't it?

If you look at the behavior of elected GOP members of Congress with their lockstep voting, you can recognize that the GOP has taken a high-stakes gamble with the potential for big wins -- or big losses. Time alone will tell whether that gamble pays off.

[pbrower2a]

Incumbent Presidents running for re-election have won 13 of the last 18 times (going back to McKinley in 1900 -- Cleveland was a fluke). Unless the incumbent President is a certifiable at something serious (like having no agenda, having no experience in even statewide campaigns, mishandling an economic catastrophe or diplomatic calamity) failure, the incumbent wins. Dubya won in 2004, dammit! Maybe the consequences of his lies and his economic bungling took place too late to prevent his re-election.

God forbid that President Obama should get elected despite such -- which implies that I hope that he does nothing bad.   

[pbrower2a]

You ppl who are surprised are just out of touch with conservative Americans.

It is the Party of No that is out of touch with "ordinary" Americans.

[pbrower2a]

I'm suprised at Obama's dead heat with Huckabee.

Huckabee does extremely well in the South because he fits the political culture (see Bill Clinton). Elsewhere?

Huckabee could win some southern states by 30% and still lose 55-45 to Obama because of the Blue Firewall in which a majority can be expected to vote against any Southern reactionary as a Presidential nominee.