KY-SurveyUSA: Conway catches Mongiardo, Paul still far ahead in GOP primary

[Tender Branson]

DEM Primary:

Mongiardo: 38%
Conway: 37%
Price: 7%
Buckmaster: 3%
Sweeney: 3%
Undecided: 12%

GOP Primary:

Paul: 49%
Grayson: 33%
Martin: 3%
Stephenson: 3%
Scribner: 1%
Undecided: 11%

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,100 KY adults 05/09/10 through 05/11/10. Of them, 1,882 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 448 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/18/10 GOP Primary; 660 were determined to be likely to vote in the 05/18/10 Democratic primary. Incumbent Republican US Senator Jim Bunning is not seeking re-election.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f6c7ca78-483d-4b8f-9c73-b43f616a412c&c=160

[Meeker]

I really hope Conway wins.

Also keep in mind Kentucky has runoffs if no one reaches 40%.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I really hope Conway wins.

Also keep in mind Kentucky has runoffs if no one reaches 40%.

Doesn't look like it:

http://www.lrc.state.ky.us/KRS/118-00/245.PDF

There used to be runoffs for gubernatorial nominations, but they repealed that in 2008.

[Holmes]

I always thought it would only be Halter that won on Tuesday, but now it seems it might be Sestak and Conway, and not him.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I always thought it would only be Halter that won on Tuesday, but now it seems it might be Sestak and Conway, and not him.

It depends what you mean by win. There will be a runoff so whether Halter comes first or second it's irrelevant.

[Holmes]

As awesome as that would be, is it even probable?