6/8 Primaries - AR, CA, IA, ME, MT, NV, NJ, ND, SC, SD, VA (results links in OP)

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Noem is hanging on to a lead in SD-AL. She's at 40-37 with over half the precincts in.

[ajc0918]

HALEY IS AT 50.42%

WOOO

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Libby Mitchell takes the lead in Maine. 32-31 over Rowe with 10% in. LePage seems to be running away with the Republican nomination, he's up to 35-19.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

AP calls South Carolina...

...

...

Runoff between Haley and Barrett.

(The Price is Right "you lose" trombones)

[Progressive]

Politico has Barrett and Haley at a runoff.
I'm very nervous about Halter. any news?

[Lunar]

Btw, if anyone cares - Halter's going to go down by 5%-7%, possibly more.  You heard it hear first.

(I reserve the right to be completely wrong, of course - this is a very early call based on a lot of incomplete info, but I have to occasionally gamble so I can be vague at other points.  )

I heard that the AR establishment was leaking that they expected Halter to win by 3-10% this morning (and I believe that rumor).

Depressing.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Just for laughs, it's not yet certain if there will be a Pratt/Harrelson runoff in SC-6 to see who gets to lose to Clyburn in the fall.  My personal opinion is that the idiots running were hoping to lay down some markers in hope of getting a leg up in 2012 if after redistricting with an added 7th district  they ended up being in a district a Republican could hope to win.

[ajc0918]

Why would AP call a runoff for Haley when SC Elections has her at 50.44% ?

[Sam Spade]

Politico has Barrett and Haley at a runoff.
I'm very nervous about Halter. any news?

County by county comparison says he's in deep sh!t.  Nearly all counties have not reported fully (which is the ray of hope - given usual weird Southern voting patterns).

[JohnnyLongtorso]

The AP has 1890/2109 precincts in with Haley at 49%.

Sipprelle takes the lead in NJ-12; he should pull off a win, since Middlesex (which he's winning 60-40) is about all that's left.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Why would AP call a runoff for Haley when SC Elections has her at 50.44% ?

Because they have Haley at 49% and have been reporting results faster.  If there is a runoff, it will be Haley/Barrett based on what still has yet to report, but I agree it's too soon to rule out the possibility of an outright victory.

[Lunar]

Go Haley, wow.  49%.

Anyone want to bet that Bauer is the guy that refuses the run-off, if anyone does?

[cinyc]

The AP has 1890/2109 precincts in with Haley at 49%.

Sipprelle takes the lead in NJ-12; he should pull off a win, since Middlesex (which he's winning 60-40) is about all that's left.

Also, Somerset.  I wouldn't call anything without knowing what parts of Middlesex are in.  It's another dividing-line county that's more New York than Philly but sometimes both.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

She's so damn close to the majority! I doubt she'll get it though, now that Columbia and Charleston have already reported.

[ajc0918]

COME ON HALEY!!!

PULL THROUGH!!
I love you...lol jk

[Ronnie]

It's getting exciting in AR...lol

[President Mitt]

The only good things to happen to me tonight are Sheheen's good numbers, and Bauer's poor numbers.

COME ON HALEY!!!

PULL THROUGH!!
I love you...lol jk

Why do you hate my state?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Looks like a Scott/Thurmond runoff in SC-01, a Cash/Duncan runoff in SC-03, and Gowdy/Inglis in SC-04.

[ajc0918]

It's getting exciting in AR...lol

BLANCHE LINCOLN 2010!

[Progressive]

WHOA!!! Look at Politico's names for the Nev. Senate GOP candidates. Is it just me or is that like not the actual list of ppl?

[Sam Spade]

Probably need to lower the Lincoln margin of victory to 3%-5% now with the more complete results I'm seeing which suggests even splitting going on, actually.

[ajc0918]

WHOA!!! Look at Politico's names for the Nev. Senate GOP candidates. Is it just me or is that like not the actual list of ppl?

LOL!!!

[Dan the Roman]

The thing to remember in AR is that Halter gained over the course of the reporting in almost every county, so using anything other than fully reported counties as a baseline might be dangerious. For evidence, see Jefferson, which he trailed in by nearly 30 points with early votes in, but has improved to only trailing by 17. That said it looks bad.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

In personal reporting, since it's my district, SC House 39, it looks like Frye will be facing a runoff, probably against Kennedy.  Right now with all of the Lexington County precincts in and none of the Saluda County precincts in, it's a Frye/Kennedy runoff, but Frye's the only one of the three who are running who is actually from Saluda County.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Wow, North Dakota had the most boring primary ever. There were a whopping three contested races -- one for district judge, one in the state house, and one for the US House, where Rick Berg is winning 89-11.