6/8 Primaries - AR, CA, IA, ME, MT, NV, NJ, ND, SC, SD, VA (results links in OP)

[Torie]

Also, the birther queen is running for CA SoS.  If the CA GOP ends up nominating Orly Taitz, even though whoever they nominate is guaranteed to lose, it will be hilar

A quite charismatic black man is running for SOS in CA in the GOP primary, Damon Dunn. You might want to check him out.

And you can check out Dunn's opponent, Orly Taitz, here.  To put it as charitably as possible, what Taitz needs, in addition to a new hairdo, is a new research assistant.

[Torie]

Link to the SC vote results as the State Election Commission releases them.

http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/16117/index.html

There are primaries on the Lord's day of rest?

[Torie]

Just for the record, the crazy lady is a dentist in my home town of Laguna Niguel. Maybe I should go check her out.

[Torie]

AP hasn't called it yet, but I'm pretty sure Noem will win in South Dakota.  What's out seems to be largely Pennington County (Rapid City) and various small counties largely on Indian reservations.  So far, Noem is winning Pennington and surrounding counties and there aren't many Republicans on the reservations.  Noem should hold on.

Good.

[Torie]

I'm calling Arkansas, for good this time, so long as someone doesn't f-up the data entry again.  

The unions just spent 10 million bucks against Lincoln in order to try to intimidate Dem "moderates" to toe the Pelosi/Obama line (not that I consider Lincoln a moderate, but just like most Arkansans, not into unions) proving that they are relatively toothless.  I wonder where else they can be induced to waste their money?  Maybe Crist?

[Torie]

New Jersey update... rich people suck. Diane Gooch is looking likely to lose in NJ-06, while John Aslanian lost big in NJ-09.

Who are these people, and does it mean anything?

[Torie]

First precinct in from Nevada (Elko County)... Angle ahead of Lowden by a 10-vote margin. None of These Candidates in second place behind Reid, 56-19.

Angle is supposed to dominate in the Cow counties, but Elko is heavily Mormon, which maybe distinguishes it a bit - maybe.  Tark if he has any hope, depends on Clark.

[Torie]

I think Hooker Counties is a better description than Cow Counties. (Though granted I'm sure there are far more hookers in Clark than those places.)

I think just a couple of near empty counties are hooker counties.

[Torie]

Yes Sam, no doubt the Bubba factor was huge in a Dem primary. I wonder how the black vote went in Arkansas, with both Bubba and Obama supporting Lincoln.

[Torie]

Lowden ahead in the Clark County absentees, 37-33. Tarkanian wins the Mineral County absentees, 39-26-25. Tarkanianmentum!

I think Mineral is a hooker county. Lowden doing that well with the absentees in Clark may be good news for Angle. Who got 33% in Clark and what was the third percentage?  Granted, they may be relatively early absentee ballots, when Lowden had not yet tanked as much as she did in the last 10 days.

[Torie]

Yes Sam, no doubt the Bubba factor was huge in a Dem primary. I wonder how the black vote went in Arkansas, with both Bubba and Obama supporting Lincoln.

Lincoln dominated the black vote first time around too.  Just moreso this time, it seems.

Southwest Arkansas swung against her hard, which I'm wondering if Al can explain.

Hope is in Southwest Arkansas. Go figure. Doesn't Texarkana still have some yellow dog Dems who are not dead yet?

[Torie]

Lowden ahead in the Clark County absentees, 37-33. Tarkanian wins the Mineral County absentees, 39-26-25. Tarkanianmentum!

People actually live in Mineral County?

Yes, the hookers, and ancillary service personnel, and a few cattle people, and anti social retirees living on their social security. It is a huge county, and maybe has 2,000 folks living in it or something.

[Torie]

Just as bad news for Dems is that the black is ahead in AR-02, 53-47 (still only 66% in)

Is that the Little Rock seat?

[Torie]

Angle is really cleaning up in the Reno area.  The only question is whether Lowden can stem the tide in Vegas.

The trick here is to figure out if the vote in so far is disproportionately in Clark, or outside Clark. Lowden is stronger in Clark than elsewhere.

[Torie]

Angle is really cleaning up in the Reno area.  The only question is whether Lowden can stem the tide in Vegas.

The trick here is to figure out if the vote in so far is disproportionately in Clark, or outside Clark. Lowden is stronger in Clark than elsewhere.

Remember that Clark is Tark's base #1 as well, for obvious reasons.

Yes, but his absentee ballot count was weak in Clark. He's out.

[Torie]

3.6% reporting in California.

Here are some of the interesting races

GOP Governor: Whitman is spanking Poinzer 65-25
Dem Lt Gov: Newsome is currently leading Hahn 49-39
GOP Lt Gov: Maldonado leads 47-27
GOP SOS: Dunn leads Orly 73-26

GOP Senate: Fiornia is spanking Campbell and DeVore 61-20-17

While the uncontroversial 13 has 86%, the other 4 are going the opposite of how I'd like them to go
14 has 61%
15 has 43%
16 has 52%
17 has 55%

Hopefully this is just because more conservative areas tend to report first in California.

Indeed.

Early absentees should be more pro Prop 16 and 17, than the balance that will come in. We shall see. 17 might be close however. I would be surprised if 16 passes.

[Torie]

Campbell's winning Santa Cruz, fwiw. Probably one of the counties that carries the least weight in a GOP primary.

Campbell may well carry the Bay area. Pity that the number of Republicans there can fit into a ballroom.

[Torie]

Angle-Lowden could end up to be a skin tight race. We need another vote dump of today votes in Clark to know.

[Torie]

Campbell's winning Santa Cruz, fwiw. Probably one of the counties that carries the least weight in a GOP primary.

Campbell may well carry the Bay area. Pity that the number of Republicans there can fit into a ballroom.

The day any Republican wins the Bay Area (especially Berkeley), I will eat my hat.

He meant in the primary.

I know that.  But as he said, the amount of GOP in the Bay Area literally fits into one ballroom.  Thus, it's almost impossible for any GOP candidate to win the Bay Area (in the current status of CA that is)

     Well he is obviously exaggerating. Off the top of my head, 11% of registered voters in San Francisco County are Republicans, which works out to about 50,000 voters. You got the point, at any rate.

San Francisco has more McCain voters per square mile than Orange County.

Not in the Vietnamese zone in the great OC, even with the lower voter spatial density.

[Torie]

Angle-Lowden could end up to be a skin tight race. We need another vote dump of today votes in Clark to know.

I (sadly) don't see it. Angle is now leading by 7, with 32% in. These are extremely disappointing results. Everyone prepare for another session with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

Look at the numbers below:

Total   679/2126   

Angle 32,647

Lowden 26,996


Clark   107/1181   

Angle 17,714

Lowden 18,693

[Torie]

Could well be Cinyc, which is why I wanted to see another vote dump from Clark. If Angle breaks even with that dump, or close, than it is time to call the election.

[Torie]

Updated Clark from their website:

Precincts Reporting: 375 of 1175 (31.91%)
Candidate   Graph   Votes   %
Angle, Sharron    22,470    35.74%
Lowden, Sue           20,901    33.24%
Tarkanian, Danny     13,185    20.97%


Not looking good for Lowden.

http://www.accessclarkcounty.com/election/2010/prim/results_prim.htm

OK, it is over. Reid must be happy.

[Torie]

Could well be Cinyc, which is why I wanted to see another vote dump from Clark. If Angle breaks even with that dump, or close, than it is time to call the election.

I posted another Clark County dump from the county's website, which the AP hasn't reflected yet.  It broke to Angle.  The fat lady is warming up, probably already singing.

She sang, and the curtain came down.

[Torie]

I don't see how Harris loses the AG bit especially with all of San Francisco still out. And the Birther lady is gaining.

Gaining to what?

[Torie]

32%. I take it you did not vote for her and are very embarrassed by 1 out of 3 California Republicans?

Of course!  I will concede that a third of the GOP are nutters (more in some places), if you concede that close to an equal percentage of the Dems are of the same ilk. How about that?