6/8 Primaries - AR, CA, IA, ME, MT, NV, NJ, ND, SC, SD, VA (results links in OP) (user search)
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  6/8 Primaries - AR, CA, IA, ME, MT, NV, NJ, ND, SC, SD, VA (results links in OP) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 6/8 Primaries - AR, CA, IA, ME, MT, NV, NJ, ND, SC, SD, VA (results links in OP)  (Read 39535 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: June 08, 2010, 12:15:10 AM »

So according to the SUSA poll Harris has a 6 point lead, though 26% with 15% undecided doesn't exactly lock things up. And this Delgadillo guy isn't far enough behind to count him out if you dislike both Harris and Kelly.

Yeah, I still haven't decided on this or the Lt. Governor race.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2010, 12:24:53 AM »

Oh SUSA also has a Tea Party subsection now. So Campbell does horribly among teabaggers. Funny because he's actually quite conservative economically. But I guess he doesn't hateth teh gays enough for that racist, homophobic bigoted bunch.

The Tea Partiers are just idiots. See their support for Prop. 16 and 17.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2010, 09:34:39 PM »

So someone entered in Pulaski backwards?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2010, 09:48:20 PM »

Crap, this looks like an epic fail by Arkansas Democrats. How many of these guys are total DINOs? They appear to be voting for a right-winger who will lose in November over a not quite so right-winger who has a chance in November.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2010, 09:50:51 PM »

Crap, this looks like an epic fail by Arkansas Democrats

One very much assisted by the national party establishment, of course.

Well, you can count on them for epic fail, too.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2010, 09:53:40 PM »

There is not a single county in the country that voted for McCain that I'd like to live in.

I think Hooker Counties is a better description than Cow Counties. (Though granted I'm sure there are far more hookers in Clark than those places.)

Of course you wouldn't want to live in any of the Hooker Counties.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2010, 09:59:27 PM »

Well, Lincoln increased her lead to 51.7%. Next up, Republicans in California like Carlyfiornia.

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2010, 10:07:21 PM »



Rove got it wrong too, but predicting only 93% in a run-off is especially good ... Wink

Rove did pretty well at Halter's percentage of the vote. Of course, his prediction has a pretty serious problem.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2010, 10:24:39 PM »

3.6% reporting in California.

Here are some of the interesting races

GOP Governor: Whitman is spanking Poinzer 65-25
Dem Lt Gov: Newsome is currently leading Hahn 49-39
GOP Lt Gov: Maldonado leads 47-27
GOP SOS: Dunn leads Orly 73-26

GOP Senate: Fiornia is spanking Campbell and DeVore 61-20-17

While the uncontroversial 13 has 86%, the other 4 are going the opposite of how I'd like them to go
14 has 61%
15 has 43%
16 has 52%
17 has 55%

Hopefully this is just because more conservative areas tend to report first in California.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #9 on: June 08, 2010, 10:37:47 PM »

You can't assume anything with 3.6% in, especially in California.

Eh, the counties are somewhat representative, though OC and much of the Bay Area isn't in yet.  Fiorina will win big.  She has 60% of the vote in L.A. County with a little less than 10% in.

Usually the more conservative areas tend to report first, but yes, I couldn't write the early results off as just Orange county or something.

Anyways, now it's 8.6% in, and the candidates I mentioned have solidified their leads.

Prop. 14 has 60.4%, and so will almost certainly pass
Prop. 15 has 42.7%, and so will almost certainly fail
Prop. 16 has 51.7%, and I think has a good chance of flipping when more liberal areas report
Prop. 17 has 54.8%, and could possibly flip when more liberal areas report.

Probably not helping the situation was that the higher-tier primary races were on the Republican side.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #10 on: June 08, 2010, 10:43:40 PM »

Campbell's winning Santa Cruz, fwiw. Probably one of the counties that carries the least weight in a GOP primary.

Campbell may well carry the Bay area. Pity that the number of Republicans there can fit into a ballroom.

The day any Republican wins the Bay Area (especially Berkeley), I will eat my hat.

Berkeley had a Republican mayor and a Republican city council into the 1960s.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #11 on: June 08, 2010, 10:45:03 PM »


We like to pass sh**tty Propositions that screw over the state and then wonder why the state is dysfunctional.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #12 on: June 08, 2010, 10:49:36 PM »

Whitman and Fiornia are currently leading in every county that has results.


Campbell's winning Santa Cruz, fwiw. Probably one of the counties that carries the least weight in a GOP primary.

Campbell may well carry the Bay area. Pity that the number of Republicans there can fit into a ballroom.

The day any Republican wins the Bay Area (especially Berkeley), I will eat my hat.

Berkeley had a Republican mayor and a Republican city council into the 1960s.

As in right now.

Out of curiosity, does anybody know how much of the UC demonstration movement were actually active voters during their college life?
Campbell's winning Santa Cruz, fwiw. Probably one of the counties that carries the least weight in a GOP primary.

Campbell may well carry the Bay area. Pity that the number of Republicans there can fit into a ballroom.

The day any Republican wins the Bay Area (especially Berkeley), I will eat my hat.

Berkeley had a Republican mayor and a Republican city council into the 1960s.

As in right now.

Out of curiosity, does anybody know how much of the UC demonstration movement were actually active voters during their college life?

Not so many before the 26th amendment was passed.

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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2010, 11:02:10 PM »


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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #14 on: June 08, 2010, 11:05:24 PM »

Earlier I posted about how stupid Arkansas voters were. I'm afraid that my own state's voters aren't really any better. In particular, Prop. 16 passing would be an epic fail.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2010, 11:08:37 PM »

Updated Clark from their website:

Precincts Reporting: 375 of 1175 (31.91%)
Candidate   Graph   Votes   %
Angle, Sharron    22,470    35.74%
Lowden, Sue           20,901    33.24%
Tarkanian, Danny     13,185    20.97%


Not looking good for Lowden.

http://www.accessclarkcounty.com/election/2010/prim/results_prim.htm

OK, it is over. Reid must be happy.

I don't think it matters much who gets the nomination. Lowden may have been the stronger candidate before her chicken comment.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #16 on: June 08, 2010, 11:11:30 PM »


Are we going to get more demon sheep ads, now?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2010, 11:21:16 PM »

32%. I take it you did not vote for her and are very embarrassed by 1 out of 3 California Republicans?

You talking about Carly "Israel" Fiorina?

Fiornia and the other American worker hating CEO did a lot better than 32%.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2010, 11:26:39 PM »

32%. I take it you did not vote for her and are very embarrassed by 1 out of 3 California Republicans?

You talking about Carly "Israel" Fiorina?

Fiornia and the other American worker hating CEO did a lot better than 32%.

This is why I hate active threads like this.  I quoted the wrong post, I think.  I assume it was DeVore who got 32%.

No, the Birther lady.

     How about you tell us her name?

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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2010, 11:40:49 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2010, 11:43:52 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

    Updated proposition numbers!

Proposition 1385.4% AYE14.6% NAY
Proposition 1460.3% AYE39.7% NAY
Proposition 1542.9% AYE57.1% NAY
Proposition 1651.4% AYE48.6% NAY
Proposition 1753.3% AYE46.7% NAY

     I am deeply disappointed with Propositon 14 passing. I'm also somewhat disappointed that Proposition 16 is currently passing, but it might yet fail.

Well, hopefully 16 and 17 go down. There is 13.4% reporting statewide, but only 5.5% from Los Angeles, and 0% from Alameda and Santa Clara, so the areas that have yet to report are somewhat more liberal.

Of course low turnout, with no high-tier primaries on the Democratic side, could help this garbage get passed. The crazy thing about Prop. 16 is that it's another ing Constitutional amendment.

Edit: Oh crap, Orange county is improving 16 and 17's margins.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #20 on: June 08, 2010, 11:58:24 PM »

Well, I'm back. Disappointed in Arkansas, but all Lincoln really won was the chance to be humiliated in November with a Santorum-esque defeat.

Luckily it looks like the GOP voted correctly in NV-Sen and CA.

Was there that much difference between the NV Republicans? Obviously Fiornia's resume isn't going to go over well

1. Offshored American jobs
2. Was fired from HP
3. Was fired by McCain campaign

Yeah, that's a winner.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #21 on: June 09, 2010, 12:38:26 AM »
« Edited: June 09, 2010, 12:39:57 AM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Props. 16 and 17 are looking like they won't be able to be called for several hours.

The really retarded thing about Prop. 16 is that it only needs a 1/2 vote to amend the Constitution so that a 2/3rds vote is needed to tell PG&E to take a hike.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #22 on: June 09, 2010, 01:51:45 AM »
« Edited: June 09, 2010, 01:54:01 AM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Once again proving how great it is, San Francisco was the only county of significance to vote against Prop 14.

     We defeated it by 10% to boot! For the first time in my adult life, I am proud of my county. Cheesy

Strange bedfellows among the counties most against it. San Francisco, Marin, Orange, and Fresno plus some other counties near Fresno.

With 44.3% reporting
Prop 16 has flipped to no, now getting 49.2%, and Prop. 17 is at 50.9%. As I said before, those will probably have to wait a while to be called. For what it's worth, both of these Props are at 47 1/2% in San Benito, California's bellwether.
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